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RRyder System, Inc.Sell4.9·$270.25-2.42%
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Ryder System, Inc. (R) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Rental & Leasing Services

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $270.25: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.69; Below-average business quality.

Ryder System is a leading North American outsourced logistics and transportation company operating through three segments: Fleet Management Solutions (full-service leasing, commercial rental, maintenance for 141,700 lease vehicles), Supply Chain Solutions (port-to-door logistics... Read more

$270.25+1.5% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#12 of 16 Rental & Leasing Services
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield6.76%
IncomeYield1.31%(5y avg 2.41%)Payout29.40%sustainable
Stop $255.59Target $274.39(resistance)A.R:R -1.0:1
Analyst target$264.63-2.1%8 analysts
$274.39our TP
$270.25price
$264.63mean
$245
$290

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $270.25: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.69; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.70, earnings proximity 42d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-11

Recent Developments — Ryder System, Inc.

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:47Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 23, 202642d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Target reached (-14.8% upside)
Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)22.5
P/E (Fwd)15.8
Mkt Cap$10.7B
EV/EBITDA6.9
Profit Mgn3.9%
ROE16.9%
Rev Growth-0.2%
Beta1.02
Dividend1.31%
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C1.69bearish
IV55%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomertop-10 customers in SCS and DTS
    10-K Item 1A: 'During 2025, sales to our top ten customers in each of SCS and DTS accounted for approximately one-third of total revenue and operating revenue for each segment.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -0.2% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
2.5
Earnings Growth
2.5
Declining revenue: -0%

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
2.0
Roa
2.6
Current Ratio
2.7
Operating Margin
2.8
Moat
3.6
Piotroski F
4.4
Roe
5.6
Fcf Quality
9.9
Excellent cash conversion: 147% FCF/NINo competitive moat
GatesA.R:R -1.0=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.4>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.70EARNINGS PROXIMITY 42d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
85 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $224.09Resistance $279.99

Price Targets

$256
$274
A.Upside+1.5%
A.R:R-1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-14.8% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-23 (42d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is R stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $270.25: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.69; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $255.59. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the R stock price target?

Take-profit target: $274.39 (+1.5% upside). Prior stop was $255.59. Stop-loss: $255.59.

What are the risks of investing in R?

Target reached (-14.8% upside); Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0).

Is R overvalued or undervalued?

Ryder System, Inc. trades at a P/E of 22.5 (forward 15.8). TrendMatrix value score: 5.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about R?

16 analysts cover R with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $265.

What does Ryder System, Inc. do?Ryder System is a leading North American outsourced logistics and transportation company operating through three...

Ryder System is a leading North American outsourced logistics and transportation company operating through three segments: Fleet Management Solutions (full-service leasing, commercial rental, maintenance for 141,700 lease vehicles), Supply Chain Solutions (port-to-door logistics across 319 warehouses), and Dedicated Transportation Solutions (turnkey private fleet management). Revenues are contractual with long-term customer agreements; FMS contributed 38%, SCS 43%, and DTS 18% of 2025 consolidated revenue.

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