UFP Industries, Inc. (UFPI) Stock Analysis
Falling Knife setup
Basic Materials · Lumber & Wood Production
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $85.92: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10 and A.R:R 1.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.00; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.
UFP Industries designs, manufactures, and supplies products made from wood, wood composites, and other materials to retail, packaging, and construction markets through subsidiaries in the U.S., Mexico, Canada, Spain, India, and Australia. Revenue from three segments; The Home... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $85.92: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10 and A.R:R 1.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.00; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 28, MACD bearish. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.50, earnings proximity 87d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- LOWCustomerThe Home Depot17%10-K Item 1A: 'Our sales to The Home Depot and Lowes comprised 17% and 11%, respectively, of our total net sales in fiscal 2025'
- LOWCustomerLowes11%10-K Item 1A: 'Our sales to The Home Depot and Lowes comprised 17% and 11%, respectively, of our total net sales in fiscal 2025'
- MEDIUMCommoditylumber42%10-K Item 1A: 'Our lumber costs, including plywood, as a percentage of net sales were 41.6% in 2025'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-04-22Item 5.01LOWPatrick M. Benton appointed EVP of Operation Integration effective July 1, 2026. Mike Ellerbrook appointed President of UFP Construction, LLC effective July 1, 2026. Routine officer role changes; no departures.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $85.92: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10 and A.R:R 1.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.00; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 28, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $83.21. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $96.57 (+12.4% upside). Prior stop was $83.21. Stop-loss: $83.21.
Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0).
UFP Industries, Inc. trades at a P/E of 19.5 (forward 14.7). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Sell.
11 analysts cover UFPI with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $111.
What does UFP Industries, Inc. do?UFP Industries designs, manufactures, and supplies products made from wood, wood composites, and other materials to...
UFP Industries designs, manufactures, and supplies products made from wood, wood composites, and other materials to retail, packaging, and construction markets through subsidiaries in the U.S., Mexico, Canada, Spain, India, and Australia. Revenue from three segments; The Home Depot and Lowe's together account for 28% of net sales.