Simpson Manufacturing earns a perfect Piotroski F-Score of 9/9 and has beaten earnings estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, but the stock has already reached the analyst consensus price target and offers effectively no near-term upside at current prices.
Thesis pillars
- Target Reached Limited Upside↑Improving
- Piotroski Perfect Quality Score↑Improving
- North America Geographic Concentration↓Deteriorating
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Simpson Manufacturing Company, (SSD) Stock Analysis
Temporary headwind edge
Basic Materials · Lumber & Wood Production
Wait for pullback to $171.37. At $186.67 the A.R:R is 0.2:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $171.37 (Rr Min Solve Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Geographic: North America segment (77.8%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.
Simpson Manufacturing designs, engineers, and manufactures structural connectors, anchors, fasteners, and lateral-force resisting systems for wood and concrete construction. The North America segment contributed approximately 77.8% of 2025 net sales, with $619.0 million (roughly... Read more
Wait for pullback to $171.37. At $186.67 the A.R:R is 0.2:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $171.37 (Rr Min Solve Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Geographic: North America segment (77.8%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 88d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-30Recent Developments — Simpson Manufacturing Company,
Latest news
- NEWS These Analysts Raise Their Forecasts On Simpson Manufacturing Following Strong Q1 Results - Sahm — Sahm positive
- NEWS Livforsakringsbolaget Skandia Omsesidigt Purchases New Holdings in Simpson Manufacturing Company, Inc. $SSD - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS Simpson Manufacturing : 2026 Proxy Statement - marketscreener.com — marketscreener.com neutral
- NEWS Can Sandisk's QLC SSD Portfolio Drive Sustainable Growth Ahead? - TradingView — TradingView positive
- NEWS The Strong-Drive SDWH Timber-Hex Screw from SSD - a heavy-duty fastener built for engineered wood - AD HOC NEWS — AD HOC NEWS neutral
Generated 2026-07-30T22:23:47Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHGeographicNorth America segment78%10-K Item 1: 'the North America Segment accounting for approximately 77.8% of net sales for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025'
- MEDIUMCustomerlargest customers10-K Item 1A: 'Our largest customers accounted for a significant portion of net sales for the years ended December 31, 2025, 2024, and 2023.'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Wait for pullback to $171.37. At $186.67 the A.R:R is 0.2:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $171.37 (Rr Min Solve Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Geographic: North America segment (77.8%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $189.49 (+1.5%), stop $158.38 (−17.9%), A.R:R 0.2:1. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $189.49 (+1.5% upside). Target $189.49 (+1.5%), stop $158.38 (−17.9%), A.R:R 0.2:1. Stop-loss: $158.38.
Concentration risk — Geographic: North America segment (77.8%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum.
Simpson Manufacturing Company, trades at a P/E of 20.8 (forward 19.5). TrendMatrix value score: 6.4/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).
10 analysts cover SSD with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $218.
What does Simpson Manufacturing Company, do?Simpson Manufacturing designs, engineers, and manufactures structural connectors, anchors, fasteners, and lateral-force...
Simpson Manufacturing designs, engineers, and manufactures structural connectors, anchors, fasteners, and lateral-force resisting systems for wood and concrete construction. The North America segment contributed approximately 77.8% of 2025 net sales, with $619.0 million (roughly 26.5%) from international markets. Products reach builders through dealers, home centers, distributors, and contractors globally.