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TTETotalEnergies SEBuy Wait6.5·$92.88
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

TotalEnergies is deeply oversold with an RSI of 28 and one of the most attractive valuations in the energy sector at a forward P/E of 8.4x and PEG of 0.68, but three consecutive earnings misses and a put/call ratio of 2.59 signal that the bear case is actively being priced in.

Thesis pillars

  • Dividend Yield Sustainability→Stable
  • Oversold Valuation Setup→Stable
  • Consecutive Earnings Misses→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

TotalEnergies SE (TTE) Stock Analysis

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 3/5ValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Integrated

Earnings today — results expected after close (2026-10-29). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $91.71. Price sits above the model's entry target of $91.71; the risk/reward becomes favorable on a pullback. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.4% away).

TotalEnergies SE, an integrated energy company, produces and markets oil and biofuels, natural gas, biogas and low-carbon hydrogen, renewables, and electricity in France, the United States, Europe, Africa, and internationally. It operates through Exploration & Production,... Read more

$92.88-6.7% A.UpsideScore 6.5/10#10 of 17 Oil & Gas Integrated
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield6.62%
IncomeYield4.36%(5y avg 5.12%)Payout49.62%sustainable
Entry $91.71(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $88.05Analyst target $86.70(reached)A.R:R -0.6:1
Analyst consensus$99.65+7.3%10 analysts
$92.88price
$99.65mean
$81
$119

Wait for pullback to $91.71. Price sits above the model's entry target of $91.71; the risk/reward becomes favorable on a pullback. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.4% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Earnings today. Wait until post-earnings. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Oct 29, 2026Earnings today — results expected after close· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Energy): +1.2
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (1.4% away)
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)11.6
P/E (Fwd)8.0
Mkt Cap$204.6B
EV/EBITDA6.1
Profit Mgn9.1%
ROE14.5%
Rev Growth27.8%
Beta0.09
Dividend4.36%
Rating analysts32

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.25bullish
IV38%normal
Max Pain$55-40.8% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
2.4
Quality Rank
3.8
Value Rank
4.2
GatesA.R:R -0.6=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 0d<=7dMomentum 6.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
73 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $83.15Resistance $94.03

Price Targets

A.Upside-6.7%
A.R:R-0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-6.7% upside)
! Earnings today - binary event risk
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-29 (Earnings today — results expected after close)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TTE stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $91.71. Price sits above the model's entry target of $91.71; the risk/reward becomes favorable on a pullback. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.4% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Earnings today. Wait until post-earnings. Analyst target $86.70 reached (−6.7%), stop $88.05 (−5.5%), A.R:R -0.6:1. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TTE stock price target?

Analyst target $86.70 reached (−6.7% from $92.88); no take-profit level is published. Analyst target $86.70 reached (−6.7%), stop $88.05 (−5.5%), A.R:R -0.6:1. Stop-loss: $88.05.

What are the risks of investing in TTE?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.4% away); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3).

Is TTE overvalued or undervalued?

TotalEnergies SE trades at a P/E of 11.6 (forward 8.0). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about TTE?

32 analysts cover TTE with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $100.

What does TotalEnergies SE do?TotalEnergies SE, an integrated energy company, produces and markets oil and biofuels, natural gas, biogas and...

TotalEnergies SE, an integrated energy company, produces and markets oil and biofuels, natural gas, biogas and low-carbon hydrogen, renewables, and electricity in France, the United States, Europe, Africa, and internationally. It operates through Exploration & Production, Integrated LNG, Integrated Power, Refining & Chemicals, and Marketing & Services segments. The Exploration & Production segment engages in the activities of exploration and production of oil and natural gas, as well as carbon storage. The Integrated LNG segment is involved in the upstream and midstream LNG activities, as well as biogas and synthetic methane activities, as well as gas trading. The Integrated Power segment engages in the generation, storage, electricity trading, and B2B-B2C distribution of gas and electricity. The Refining & Chemicals segment is involved in the industrial hub activities comprising the activities of refining, petrochemicals and specialty chemicals. This segment also includes the activities of oil supply, trading and marine shipping, as well as hydrogen activities. The Marketing & Services segment engages in the marketing activities in the field of petroleum products, as well as corresponding supply and logistics activities. The company was formerly known as TOTAL SE and changed its name to TotalEnergies SE in June 2021. TotalEnergies SE was incorporated in 1924 and is headquartered in Courbevoie, France.

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