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TTCToro Company (The)Hold5.7·$107.38
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Toro Company has achieved four consecutive earnings beats with excellent free cash flow conversion of 197% and a strong Piotroski score, but the stock offers only 5% upside to analyst targets and the reward-to-risk profile does not yet meet the bar for adding a new position.

Thesis pillars

  • Free Cash Flow Conversion→Stable
  • Earnings Beat Streak↑Improving
  • Thin Upside Asymmetry↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Dec 17, 2025

Full reasoning →

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Toro Company (The) (TTC) Stock Analysis

HoldGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Tools & Accessories

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $107.38, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.4% away).

Toro Company designs and manufactures outdoor maintenance equipment across two segments: Professional (turf maintenance, snow and ice management, underground construction, irrigation) at 80.3% of fiscal 2025 net sales and Residential at 19.0%, distributed through dealers,... Read more

$107.38-10.1% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#6 of 8 Tools & Accessories
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield5.98%
IncomeYield1.45%(5y avg 1.49%)Payout41.44%sustainable
Stop $102.66Analyst target $96.57(reached)A.R:R -0.9:1
Analyst consensus$111.00+3.4%5 analysts
$107.38price
$111.00mean
$100
$120

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $107.38, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.4% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 47d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Toro Company (The)

About Toro Company (The)

The Toro Company splits its fiscal 2025 net sales between its Professional segment at 80.3%, serving golf courses, sports fields, municipalities, landscaping contractors, and construction companies, and its Residential segment at 19.0%, targeting homeowners with mowers, snow throwers, and yard tools. International net sales represented 19.5% of consolidated net sales in fiscal 2025, spanning manufacturing in eight countries and sales offices across ten. In December 2025, Toro acquired Tornado Infrastructure Equipment of Calgary, Alberta for CAD $279.3 million, broadening its underground construction portfolio.

The Professional segment drives the vast majority of revenue through original equipment sales distributed via a network of distributors and dealers, as well as directly to government customers and rental companies, under brands including Toro, Ditch Witch, eXmark, Ventrac, BOSS, Spartan, and American Augers. The Residential segment sells Toro-branded mowers, snow throwers, and yard tools primarily through mass retailers and home centers. The company generates additional revenue from separately priced extended warranty coverage on select products. The cost structure faces exposure to steel, aluminum, petroleum-based resins, copper, rubber, and engines. Tariffs on certain engines imported from China have been a recurring headwind. Toro has historically partially offset commodity cost increases through selective pricing adjustments and Lean manufacturing productivity initiatives, though these measures have not consistently neutralized margin compression during periods of elevated material costs.

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Single-source supplier dependence is the most explicitly quantified supply chain risk in the 10-K: certain components are sourced from specific suppliers with no practical short-term alternatives, a configuration that has caused actual availability disruptions in recent fiscal years when those suppliers could not meet production requirements and substitutes could not be found in time. The underlying exposure is compounded by antidumping and countervailing duty petitions on certain engines imported from China, specifically flagged as an ongoing cost headwind. The company's manufacturing footprint across eight countries provides geographic flexibility in final assembly but that flexibility does not extend to inputs sourced from single-supplier relationships, creating a structural vulnerability that geographic diversification cannot fully offset.

See also: Industrials · Tools & Accessories

From Toro Company (The)'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 16, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-30
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Dec 17, 202647d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Earnings estimates trending UP
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (0.4% away)
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)28.7
P/E (Fwd)21.1
Mkt Cap$10.2B
EV/EBITDA16.4
Profit Mgn7.6%
ROE26.4%
Rev Growth8.4%
Beta0.67
Dividend1.45%
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.67bullish
IV34%normal
Max Pain$85-20.8% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
3.8
Growth Rank
3.8
Quality Rank
5.6

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.3
Bollinger
0.6
52w Position
9.9
GatesA.R:R -0.9=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.2>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 47d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
90 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $95.35Resistance $107.78

Price Targets

A.Upside-10.1%
A.R:R-0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-10.1% upside)
! News modifier +1: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-12-17 (47d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TTC stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $107.38, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.4% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Analyst target $96.57 reached (−10.1%), stop $102.66 (−4.6%), A.R:R -0.9:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TTC stock price target?

Analyst target $96.57 reached (−10.1% from $107.38); no take-profit level is published. Analyst target $96.57 reached (−10.1%), stop $102.66 (−4.6%), A.R:R -0.9:1. Stop-loss: $102.66.

What are the risks of investing in TTC?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.4% away); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Is TTC overvalued or undervalued?

Toro Company (The) trades at a P/E of 28.7 (forward 21.1). TrendMatrix value score: 4.8/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about TTC?

11 analysts cover TTC with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $111.

What does Toro Company (The) do?Toro Company designs and manufactures outdoor maintenance equipment across two segments: Professional (turf...

Toro Company designs and manufactures outdoor maintenance equipment across two segments: Professional (turf maintenance, snow and ice management, underground construction, irrigation) at 80.3% of fiscal 2025 net sales and Residential at 19.0%, distributed through dealers, distributors, mass retailers, and direct channels globally. International net sales represented 19.5% of fiscal 2025 consolidated net sales; in December 2025, Toro acquired Tornado Infrastructure Equipment of Calgary, Alberta for CAD $279.3 million.

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