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KMTKennametal Inc.Sell6.2·$33.75-0.76%
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Kennametal Inc. (KMT) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Tools & Accessories

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $33.75 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1).

OVERVIEW With more than 85 years of materials expertise, Kennametal Inc. (the Company) is a global industrial technology leader, that helps customers across the General Engineering, Transportation, Earthworks, Energy and Aerospace & Defense end markets build their products with... Read more

$33.75+7.3% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#1 of 8 Tools & Accessories
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield2.89%
IncomeYield2.35%(5y avg 3.00%)Payout44.94%sustainable
Stop $31.42Target $36.26(resistance)A.R:R -0.4:1
Analyst target$37.64+11.5%7 analysts
$36.26our TP
$33.75price
$37.64mean
$48

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $33.75 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1). Chart setup: RSI 42 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 55d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-10
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202655d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1)
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.1
P/E (Fwd)8.7
Mkt Cap$2.6B
EV/EBITDA9.0
Profit Mgn6.4%
ROE10.8%
Rev Growth21.8%
Beta1.37
Dividend2.35%
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.70neutral
IV61%elevated
Max Pain$55+63.0% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesA.R:R -0.4=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.3<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.3>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 55d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
42 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $31.71Resistance $37.00

Price Targets

$31
$36
A.Upside+7.4%
A.R:R-0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.1% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (55d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KMT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $33.75 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1). Chart setup: RSI 42 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $31.42. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the KMT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $36.26 (+7.3% upside). Prior stop was $31.42. Stop-loss: $31.42.

What are the risks of investing in KMT?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Is KMT overvalued or undervalued?

Kennametal Inc. trades at a P/E of 19.1 (forward 8.7). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about KMT?

15 analysts cover KMT with a consensus score of 2.3/5. Average price target: $38.

What does Kennametal Inc. do?OVERVIEW With more than 85 years of materials expertise, Kennametal Inc. (the Company) is a global industrial...

OVERVIEW With more than 85 years of materials expertise, Kennametal Inc. (the Company) is a global industrial technology leader, that helps customers across the General Engineering, Transportation, Earthworks, Energy and Aerospace & Defense end markets build their products with precision and efficiency. The Company was founded based on a tungsten carbide technology breakthrough in 1938 and was incorporated in Pennsylvania in 1943 as a manufacturer of tungsten carbide metal cutting tooling.

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