RBC Bearings is a precision bearings manufacturer with a perfect Piotroski F-Score of 9 out of 9, a 4-for-4 earnings beat streak averaging 6.0% positive surprise, and a golden cross breakout pattern, but trading above analyst price targets with -1.5% negative upside at a forward P/E of 37.6x limits the near-term entry case.
Thesis pillars
- Industrial Segment Concentration↑Improving
- Perfect Piotroski Breakout Alignment→Stable
- Consistent Earnings Beat Streak↑Improving
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed May 15, 2026
RBC Bearings Incorporated (RBC) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup
Industrials · Tools & Accessories
Wait for pullback to $473.36. At $495.74 the A.R:R is 1.4:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $473.36 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Product: Industrial segment (58.0%); Thin upside margin: 8.6%.
RBC Bearings manufactures precision bearings, gearing, and engineered components for Industrial (58% of net sales) and Aerospace & Defense (42% of net sales) markets, operating 65 facilities across 11 countries with 5,816 employees. Revenue flows through OEM program wins and... Read more
Wait for pullback to $473.36. At $495.74 the A.R:R is 1.4:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $473.36 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Product: Industrial segment (58.0%); Thin upside margin: 8.6%. Chart setup: RSI 46 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Earnings today. Wait until post-earnings. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.
About RBC Bearings Incorporated
About RBC Bearings Incorporated
RBC Bearings carried a $2.3 billion order backlog as of March 28, 2026—more than double the $0.9 billion recorded at March 29, 2025—with $1.1 billion attributable to marine-related programs and $0.6 billion to VACCO programs. The Industrial segment contributed 58% of net sales for the fiscal year ended March 28, 2026, with Aerospace & Defense accounting for the remaining 42%. The company employed 5,816 people across 44 manufacturing facilities in 11 countries, and the top ten customers collectively accounted for approximately 35% of net sales during fiscal 2026, down from 44% in fiscal 2024.
RBC Bearings earns revenue through a mix of OEM program design-ins and aftermarket replacement parts across Industrial and Aerospace & Defense end markets. Industrial customers include Caterpillar, Komatsu, and Halliburton alongside aftermarket distributors such as Motion Industries and Applied Industrial Technologies. In Aerospace & Defense, the company supplies Boeing, Airbus, Lockheed Martin, Northrop Grumman, Raytheon, Newport News Shipbuilding, and Blue Origin, with many products custom-designed during original aircraft or weapons development—often making RBC Bearings the sole or primary supplier for the product life. Steel, primarily stainless and chrome grades, is the principal raw material; costs are partially recoverable through surcharges on select contracts, though many fixed-price contracts limit pass-through during inflation. Principal competitors include SKF, Timken, and Regal Rexnord.
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The $1.1 billion marine backlog—spanning naval vessels and submarine applications—exposes the company to U.S. government contract risk: the 10-K notes those sales may be subject to renegotiation of profit or termination at the election of the U.S. government. In fiscal 2026, approximately 1% of net sales went directly to the U.S. government and an estimated additional 7% indirectly, and the Aerospace & Defense segment's share of total revenue has grown from 33% in fiscal 2024 to 42% in fiscal 2026, increasing exposure to defense appropriation cycles and program cancellation risk.
See also: Industrials · Tools & Accessories
From RBC Bearings Incorporated's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.
Recent developments
updated 2026-10-30Recent Developments — RBC Bearings Incorporated
Latest news
- NEWS Graphic Packaging stock price target lowered to $10 by RBC Capital - Investing.com — Investing.com negative
- NEWS MongoDB stock maintained at Outperform by RBC Capital, $465 target - Investing.com — Investing.com positive
- NEWS RBC Bearings (RBC) Rolls Ahead on Aerospace Strength - ca.finance.yahoo.com — ca.finance.yahoo.com positive
- NEWS RBC Bearings (RBC) Lags Amid Yield Headwinds Despite Strong Operating Execution - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance negative
- NEWS RBC Capital Is Feeling Bullish on Atlassian Stock. Here's Why. - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance neutral
Generated 2026-10-30T10:27:55Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMCustomertop ten customers35%10-K Item 1A: 'Our top ten customers collectively accounted for approximately 35%, 44% and 44% of our net sales during fiscal 2026, 2025 and 2024, respectively.'
- HIGHProductIndustrial segment58%10-K Item 1: 'Industrial Market (58% of net sales for the fiscal year ended March 28, 2026)'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
1 ceiling hit
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Wait for pullback to $473.36. At $495.74 the A.R:R is 1.4:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $473.36 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Product: Industrial segment (58.0%); Thin upside margin: 8.6%. Chart setup: RSI 46 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Earnings today. Wait until post-earnings. Target $538.43 (+8.6%), stop $451.75 (−9.7%), A.R:R 1.4:1. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $538.43 (+8.6% upside). Target $538.43 (+8.6%), stop $451.75 (−9.7%), A.R:R 1.4:1. Stop-loss: $451.75.
Concentration risk — Product: Industrial segment (58.0%); Thin upside margin: 8.6%; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.
RBC Bearings Incorporated trades at a P/E of 49.0 (forward 29.8). TrendMatrix value score: 4.0/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).
13 analysts cover RBC with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $619.
What does RBC Bearings Incorporated do?RBC Bearings manufactures precision bearings, gearing, and engineered components for Industrial (58% of net sales) and...
RBC Bearings manufactures precision bearings, gearing, and engineered components for Industrial (58% of net sales) and Aerospace & Defense (42% of net sales) markets, operating 65 facilities across 11 countries with 5,816 employees. Revenue flows through OEM program wins and aftermarket distribution; backlog stood at $2.3 billion as of March 28, 2026.