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LECOLincoln Electric Holdings, Inc.Hold5.4·$251.54-0.60%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Lincoln Electric is a financially sound industrial franchise — with a 38% return on equity, a Piotroski F-Score of 8 out of 9, and four straight earnings beats — but with the stock now trading above its price target and free cash flow converting at only 33% of stated earnings, the margin of safety for new entry has largely been consumed.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Price Momentum BreakoutDeteriorating
  • Consistent Earnings OutperformanceImproving
  • High Quality Business FundamentalsStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Lincoln Electric Holdings, Inc. (LECO) Stock Analysis

HoldQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Tools & Accessories

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $251.54, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 5.5%; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

The Company is a high-performance industrial machinery and technology leader who helps customers manufacture and maintain vital equipment and infrastructure. The Company's innovative solutions enable higher quality and productivity across a variety of processes including... Read more

$251.54+5.5% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#6 of 8 Tools & Accessories
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield2.23%
IncomeYield1.25%(5y avg 1.40%)Payout31.20%sustainable
Stop $236.31Target $265.27(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.7:1
Analyst target$304.91+21.2%11 analysts
$265.27our TP
$251.54price
$304.91mean
$238
$340

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $251.54, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 5.5%; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 45d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Oct 29, 202645d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.1 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Earnings estimates trending UP
Risks
Thin upside margin: 5.5%
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)25.3
P/E (Fwd)20.2
Mkt Cap$13.8B
EV/EBITDA16.7
Profit Mgn12.4%
ROE37.7%
Rev Growth12.0%
Beta1.22
Dividend1.25%
Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C1.28bearish
IV53%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-08-11Item 5.02MEDIUM
    On August 10, 2026, Michael J. Whitehead, Executive Vice President, President of Americas Welding, notified Lincoln Electric Holdings, Inc. (the "Company") of his decision to resign from the Company, effective August 28, 2026, to pursue other business opportunities outside of the Company. Mr.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 28, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+2.8%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 1.2<4.5A.R:R 0.7 < 1.5@spotExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 45d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
28 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $243.62Resistance $292.63

Price Targets

$236
$265
A.Upside+5.5%
A.R:R0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! News modifier +1: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! momentum at 1.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.7 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-29 (45d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LECO stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $251.54, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 5.5%; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $265.27 (+5.5%), stop $236.31 (−6.4%), A.R:R 0.7:1. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LECO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $265.27 (+5.5% upside). Target $265.27 (+5.5%), stop $236.31 (−6.4%), A.R:R 0.7:1. Stop-loss: $236.31.

What are the risks of investing in LECO?

Thin upside margin: 5.5%; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Negative momentum.

Is LECO overvalued or undervalued?

Lincoln Electric Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of 25.3 (forward 20.2). TrendMatrix value score: 5.6/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about LECO?

19 analysts cover LECO with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $305.

What does Lincoln Electric Holdings, Inc. do?The Company is a high-performance industrial machinery and technology leader who helps customers manufacture and...

The Company is a high-performance industrial machinery and technology leader who helps customers manufacture and maintain vital equipment and infrastructure. The Company's innovative solutions enable higher quality and productivity across a variety of processes including welding, cutting, brazing, machining, process automation, and field repair.

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