Taylor Morrison Home Corporatio (TMHC) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Consumer Cyclical · Residential Construction
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $71.93 — A.R:R is negative (-1.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.8% away).
Taylor Morrison is a national homebuilder with $7.8B in 2025 home closings revenue and 12,997 closings, serving entry-level, move-up, and resort lifestyle buyers under Taylor Morrison, Esplanade, and Yardly brands across multiple U.S. markets. Ancillary businesses include TMHF... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $71.93 — A.R:R is negative (-1.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.8% away). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 93. Score 4.1/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/9 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 37d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-15Recent Developments — Taylor Morrison Home Corporatio
Latest news
- NEWS Is Taylor Morrison Home Corp (TMHC) Overvalued After 4.9% Rally? - GuruFocus — GuruFocus neutral
- NEWS Taylor Morrison Home Corporation 2026 Q1 - Results - Earnings Call Presentation (NYSE:TMHC) 2026-04-22 - Seeking Alpha — Seeking Alpha neutral
- NEWS Taylor Morrison Home (TMHC) Stock Trades Up, Here Is Why - TradingView — TradingView positive
- NEWS Taylor Morrison Home (TMHC) Stock Trades Up, Here Is Why - FinancialContent — FinancialContent positive
- NEWS Compared to Estimates, Taylor Morrison (TMHC) Q1 Earnings: A Look at Key Metrics - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance neutral
Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:47Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-03-17Item 5.02LOWBoard member David Merritt notified company of intent to retire from the Board effective at the 2026 Annual Meeting of Stockholders. Not due to any disagreement. Board size reducing from 9 to 8.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Show full disclosure ▾Hide full disclosure ▴
About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.
Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.
Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.
No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.
No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.
Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.
Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Revenue shrinking — -26.8% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Negative sentiment — recent news tone and/or analyst downgrades drag the composite below neutral.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $71.93 — A.R:R is negative (-1.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.8% away). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 93. Prior stop was $69.01. Score 4.1/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $70.61 (-1.8% upside). Prior stop was $69.01. Stop-loss: $69.01.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.8% away); Negative news sentiment (-0.67).
Taylor Morrison Home Corporatio trades at a P/E of 10.7 (forward 11.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.0/10. Verdict: Sell.
16 analysts cover TMHC with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $65.
What does Taylor Morrison Home Corporatio do?Taylor Morrison is a national homebuilder with $7.8B in 2025 home closings revenue and 12,997 closings, serving...
Taylor Morrison is a national homebuilder with $7.8B in 2025 home closings revenue and 12,997 closings, serving entry-level, move-up, and resort lifestyle buyers under Taylor Morrison, Esplanade, and Yardly brands across multiple U.S. markets. Ancillary businesses include TMHF mortgage origination, Inspired Title, and TMIS insurance.