Cavco Industries, Inc. (CVCO) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Consumer Cyclical · Residential Construction
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $578.31, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Texas; Concentration risk — Counterparty: single assumed reinsurance entity.
Cavco Industries is one of the largest U.S. producers of manufactured homes, operating 31 homebuilding production lines in 29 states and Mexico, distributed through 80 company-owned retail stores (46 in Texas) and a network of independent distributors in 48 states. Revenue comes... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $578.31, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Texas; Concentration risk — Counterparty: single assumed reinsurance entity. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 89. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.5/10, high confidence.
Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 50d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-10Recent Developments — Cavco Industries, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Cavco Industries Announces Building New Manufacturing Facility in El Mirage, Arizona - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance positive
- NEWS Cavco Industries (CVCO) Earnings Preview: EPS Seen at $5.30 on Housing Demand - Meyka — Meyka positive
- NEWS CAVCO INDUSTRIES ($CVCO) Releases Q4 2026 Earnings - Quiver Quantitative — Quiver Quantitative neutral
- NEWS Factory-built home maker Cavco hits record sales, launches $150M buyback - Stock Titan — Stock Titan positive
- NEWS Cavco Industries Inc (CVCO) Shares Surge 6.5% -- What GF Score o - GuruFocus — GuruFocus positive
Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHGeographicTexas10-K Item 1A: 'Our operations are concentrated in certain states, most notably Texas, California, Florida, Arizona, and Oregon... of the 80 Company-owned retail stores, 46 are located in Texas'
- HIGHcounterpartysingle assumed reinsurance entity10-K Item 1A: 'Substantially all of our assumed reinsurance is with one entity'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $578.31, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Texas; Concentration risk — Counterparty: single assumed reinsurance entity. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 89. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $580.50 (+0.4%), stop $537.83 (−7.5%), A.R:R -0.5:1. Score 5.5/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $580.50 (+0.4% upside). Target $580.50 (+0.4%), stop $537.83 (−7.5%), A.R:R -0.5:1. Stop-loss: $537.83.
Concentration risk — Geographic: Texas; Concentration risk — Counterparty: single assumed reinsurance entity; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.
Cavco Industries, Inc. trades at a P/E of 24.1 (forward 19.7). TrendMatrix value score: 5.7/10. Verdict: Hold.
8 analysts cover CVCO with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $625.
What does Cavco Industries, Inc. do?Cavco Industries is one of the largest U.S. producers of manufactured homes, operating 31 homebuilding production lines...
Cavco Industries is one of the largest U.S. producers of manufactured homes, operating 31 homebuilding production lines in 29 states and Mexico, distributed through 80 company-owned retail stores (46 in Texas) and a network of independent distributors in 48 states. Revenue comes from wholesale home sales to independent distributors (79% of factory-built housing sales) and company-owned retail; financial services and insurance subsidiaries provide additional revenue. No independent distributor exceeded 10% of factory-built housing revenue.