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MHOM/I Homes, Inc.Sell5.1·$135.53-1.31%
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M/I Homes, Inc. (MHO) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup

SellModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Residential Construction

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $135.53: Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

The Company commenced homebuilding activities in 1976 marking 2026 as our 50th year in business. Since that time, the Company has sold over 168,200 homes. Unless this Form 10-K otherwise indicates or the context otherwise requires, the terms the "Company," "we," "us" and "our"... Read more

$135.53+0.3% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#4 of 16 Residential Construction
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield4.88%
Stop $127.57Target $136.00(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.0:1
Analyst target$160.00+18.1%2 analysts
$136.00our TP
$135.53price
$160.00mean
$165

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $135.53: Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 70, MACD bullish. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 44d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 22, 202644d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (0.3% upside)
Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)10.3
P/E (Fwd)8.9
Mkt Cap$3.5B
EV/EBITDA7.5
Profit Mgn8.2%
ROE11.6%
Rev Growth-5.7%
Beta1.64
DividendNone
Rating analysts7

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV63%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-04Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Exhibit No. | | Description of Exhibit | | 99.1 | | [Press release dated March 4, 2026.](https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/799292/000079929226000012/exhibit991pressreleasenorm.htm) | | 104 | | Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document).* *Submitted electroni...
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
1.1
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/2M

Revenue shrinking — -5.7% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
1.1
Earnings Growth
5.2
Declining revenue: -6%
GatesA.R:R 0.0 < 1.5@spotMomentum 5.1<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.1>=4.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 44d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
70 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $120.43Resistance $141.31

Price Targets

$128
$136
A.Upside+0.3%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (0.3% upside)
! Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0)
! asymmetry at 0.0 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-22 (44d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MHO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $135.53: Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 70, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $127.57. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MHO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $136.00 (+0.3% upside). Prior stop was $127.57. Stop-loss: $127.57.

What are the risks of investing in MHO?

Target reached (0.3% upside); Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0).

Is MHO overvalued or undervalued?

M/I Homes, Inc. trades at a P/E of 10.3 (forward 8.9). TrendMatrix value score: 9.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MHO?

7 analysts cover MHO with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $160.

What does M/I Homes, Inc. do?The Company commenced homebuilding activities in 1976 marking 2026 as our 50th year in business. Since that time, the...

The Company commenced homebuilding activities in 1976 marking 2026 as our 50th year in business. Since that time, the Company has sold over 168,200 homes. Unless this Form 10-K otherwise indicates or the context otherwise requires, the terms the "Company," "we," "us" and "our" refer to M/I Homes, Inc. and its subsidiaries.

Related stocks: CVCO (Cavco Industries, Inc.) · IBP (Installed Building Products, In) · SKY (Champion Homes, Inc.) · GRBK (Green Brick Partners, Inc.) · TOL (Toll Brothers, Inc.)
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