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TJXTJX Companies, Inc. (The)Sell5.7·$159.75-0.60%
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TJX Companies, Inc. (The) (TJX) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellHigh Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Retail

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $159.75 — A.R:R 0.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.7% away).

We have over 5,200 stores and six branded e-commerce sites that offer a rapidly changing assortment of quality, fashionable, brand name and designer merchandise at prices generally 20% to 60% below full-price retailers' (including department, specialty, and major online... Read more

$159.75+0.1% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#7 of 12 Apparel Retail
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield2.43%
IncomeYield1.19%(5y avg 1.33%)Payout33.07%sustainable
Stop $152.39Target $159.87(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.0:1
Analyst target$177.63+11.2%19 analysts
$159.87our TP
$159.75price
$177.63mean
$125
$197

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $159.75 — A.R:R 0.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.7% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Score 5.7/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 72d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-08
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 19, 202672d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive momentum
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (3.7% away)
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)31.3
P/E (Fwd)27.9
Mkt Cap$177.5B
EV/EBITDA21.1
Profit Mgn9.4%
ROE61.3%
Rev Growth9.2%
Beta0.62
Dividend1.19%
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C26.82bearish
IV46%normal
Max Pain$80-49.9% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R 0.0 < 1.5@spotMomentum 7.4>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 72d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
67 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $145.66Resistance $162.19

Price Targets

$152
$160
A.Upside+0.1%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (0.1% upside)
! asymmetry at 0.0 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-19 (72d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TJX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $159.75 — A.R:R 0.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.7% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $152.39. Score 5.7/10, high confidence.

What is the TJX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $159.87 (+0.1% upside). Prior stop was $152.39. Stop-loss: $152.39.

What are the risks of investing in TJX?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.7% away); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.

Is TJX overvalued or undervalued?

TJX Companies, Inc. (The) trades at a P/E of 31.3 (forward 27.9). TrendMatrix value score: 4.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TJX?

26 analysts cover TJX with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $178.

What does TJX Companies, Inc. (The) do?We have over 5,200 stores and six branded e-commerce sites that offer a rapidly changing assortment of quality,...

We have over 5,200 stores and six branded e-commerce sites that offer a rapidly changing assortment of quality, fashionable, brand name and designer merchandise at prices generally 20% to 60% below full-price retailers' (including department, specialty, and major online retailers) regular prices on comparable merchandise, every day.

Related stocks: ROST (Ross Stores, Inc.) · BURL (Burlington Stores, Inc.) · TCOM (Trip.com Group Limited) · LVS (Las Vegas Sands Corp.) · BKNG (Booking Holdings Inc. Common St)
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