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ASAmer Sports, Inc.Hold6.8·$28.07+2.41%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

A wide economic moat, a perfect Piotroski F-Score of 9 out of 9, 32% revenue growth, and a risk/reward of roughly 2.7-to-1 with 25% upside to the analyst target define a high-quality growth setup; the primary near-term caveat is a technical death cross that, while showing early signs of recovery with MACD improving and RSI stabilizing at 44, has not yet fully confirmed the reversal.

Thesis pillars

  • Wide Moat Quality FranchiseStable
  • Strong Growth Beat StreakImproving
  • Favorable Risk Reward UpsideImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Amer Sports, Inc. (AS) Stock Analysis

HoldGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Leisure

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $28.07, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Negative momentum.

Amer Sports, Inc. designs, manufactures, markets, distributes, and sells sports equipment, apparel, footwear, and accessories in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Americas, Mainland China, Hong Kong, Macau, Taiwan, and the Asia Pacific. It operates through three segments:... Read more

$28.07+59.3% A.UpsideScore 6.8/10#1 of 14 Leisure
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield3.35%
Stop $26.39Target $44.71(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 8.0:1
Analyst target$49.68+77.0%23 analysts
$44.71our TP
$28.07price
$49.68mean
$67

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $28.07, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 6.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.70, news boost analyst cluster(8), earnings proximity 64d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-14
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 17, 202664d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.96)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)29.2
P/E (Fwd)17.4
Mkt Cap$16.3B
EV/EBITDA13.8
Profit Mgn7.3%
ROE9.1%
Rev Growth32.1%
Beta1.98
DividendNone
Rating analysts29

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWide

Options Flow

P/C0.55bullish
IV61%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·2 ceiling hits

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Volume
2.5
Rsi
3.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 26, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+0.3%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 1.7<4.5A.R:R 8.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.70NEWS BOOST ANALYST CLUSTER(8)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 64d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
26 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $27.21Resistance $34.84

Price Targets

$26
$45
A.Upside+59.3%
A.R:R8.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! News modifier +2: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! momentum at 1.7 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-17 (64d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AS stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $28.07, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $44.71 (+59.3%), stop $26.39 (−6.4%), A.R:R 8.0:1. Score 6.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $44.71 (+59.3% upside). Target $44.71 (+59.3%), stop $26.39 (−6.4%), A.R:R 8.0:1. Stop-loss: $26.39.

What are the risks of investing in AS?

Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Negative momentum.

Is AS overvalued or undervalued?

Amer Sports, Inc. trades at a P/E of 29.2 (forward 17.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about AS?

29 analysts cover AS with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $50.

What does Amer Sports, Inc. do?Amer Sports, Inc. designs, manufactures, markets, distributes, and sells sports equipment, apparel, footwear, and...

Amer Sports, Inc. designs, manufactures, markets, distributes, and sells sports equipment, apparel, footwear, and accessories in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Americas, Mainland China, Hong Kong, Macau, Taiwan, and the Asia Pacific. It operates through three segments: Technical Apparel, Outdoor Performance, and Ball & Racquet Sports. The Technical Apparel segment offers outdoor apparel, footwear, and accessories, which include climbing gear. The Outdoor Performance segment provides hiking and running footwear, functional apparel, skiing and snowboarding gear, and lifestyle footwear products. The Ball & Racquet Sports segment offers sports equipment for tennis, baseball, American football, basketball, golf, and various other professional and recreational sports, as well as functional athletic apparel. This segment provides custom-fitting protective gear and apparel for baseball, softball, football, and lacrosse. The company sells its products under the Arc'teryx, PeakPerformance, Salomon, Atomic, Armada, Wilson, Louisville Slugger, DeMarini, EvoShield, and Atec brands. It distributes its products through retail stores, general sporting goods retailers, specialty stores, independently operated partner stores, and distributors, as well as retailer-owned and third-party e-commerce websites. The company was formerly known as Amer Sports Management Holding (Cayman) Limited and changed its name to Amer Sports, Inc. in August 2023. Amer Sports, Inc. was founded in 1950 and is based in Helsinki, Finland.

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