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ROSTRoss Stores, Inc.Hold6.1·$242.94+1.60%
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Ross Stores, Inc. (ROST) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Retail

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $242.94, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.1% away).

Ross Stores, Inc. and its subsidiaries ("we", "our", or the "Company") operate two brands of off-price retail apparel and home fashion stores-Ross Dress for Less® ("Ross") and dd's DISCOUNTS®.

$242.94-0.9% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#1 of 12 Apparel Retail
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield2.66%
IncomeYield0.74%(5y avg 1.03%)Payout23.18%sustainable
Stop $227.89Target $237.95(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$256.18+5.4%17 analysts
$237.95our TP
$242.94price
$256.18mean
$176
$290

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $242.94, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.1% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 56, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 67d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-14
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 20, 202667d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Positive momentum
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (1.1% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)33.5
P/E (Fwd)28.0
Mkt Cap$77.0B
EV/EBITDA22.6
Profit Mgn9.7%
ROE39.0%
Rev Growth20.6%
Beta0.87
Dividend0.74%
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.86neutral
IV49%normal
Max Pain$65-73.2% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesA.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.3>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 67d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
56 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $207.79Resistance $242.81

Price Targets

$228
$238
A.Upside-2.1%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-4.0% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-20 (67d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ROST stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $242.94, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.1% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 56, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $237.95 (-2.1%), stop $227.89 (−6.6%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ROST stock price target?

Take-profit target: $237.95 (-0.9% upside). Target $237.95 (-2.1%), stop $227.89 (−6.6%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Stop-loss: $227.89.

What are the risks of investing in ROST?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.1% away).

Is ROST overvalued or undervalued?

Ross Stores, Inc. trades at a P/E of 33.5 (forward 28.0). TrendMatrix value score: 4.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about ROST?

26 analysts cover ROST with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $256.

What does Ross Stores, Inc. do?Ross Stores, Inc. and its subsidiaries ("we", "our", or the "Company") operate two brands of off-price retail apparel...

Ross Stores, Inc. and its subsidiaries ("we", "our", or the "Company") operate two brands of off-price retail apparel and home fashion stores-Ross Dress for Less® ("Ross") and dd's DISCOUNTS®.

Related stocks: GAP (Gap, Inc. (The)) · TJX (TJX Companies, Inc. (The)) · LULU (lululemon athletica inc.) · BURL (Burlington Stores, Inc.)
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