Ross Stores, Inc. (ROST) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the ROST stock price target?

Take-profit $225.83 (-1.3% upside). Prior stop was $221.19.

Q: What are the risks of investing in ROST?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.7% away); Expensive valuation; Target reached (-7.8% upside); Momentum score 3.0/10 — below 4.5 minimum.

Q: Is ROST overvalued or undervalued?

Ross Stores, Inc. trades at a P/E of 34.5 (forward 28.0). TrendMatrix value score: 4.0/10. Overall verdict: Sell.

Q: What do analysts say about ROST?

25 analysts cover ROST with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $234.

Catalyst-Driven edge

SellModerate ConfidenceUpdated 2026-05-01

Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Retail

Ross Stores, Inc. and its subsidiaries ("we", "our", or the "Company") operate two brands of off-price retail apparel and home fashion stores-Ross Dress for Less® ("Ross") and dd's DISCOUNTS®.

$229.02-1.3% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#9 of 12 Apparel Retail

Stop $221.19Target $225.83(resistance)A.R:R -1.3:1

Analyst target$234.44+2.4%16 analysts

$225.83our TP

$229.02price

$234.44mean

$158

$290

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $229.02 — A.R:R is negative (-1.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.7% away). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 20d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards

Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)

Risks

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Near 52-week high (0.7% away)

Expensive valuation

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)34.5

P/E (Fwd)28.0

Mkt Cap$73.7B

EV/EBITDA23.0

Profit Mgn9.4%

ROE36.7%

Rev Growth12.2%

Beta0.93

Dividend0.78%

Rating analysts25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.94neutral

IV39%normal

Max Pain$170-25.8% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value4.015%0.60

Quality6.115%0.91

Growth5.015%0.75

Momentum3.010%0.30

Sentiment6.210%0.62

Insider Activity5.010%0.50

Peer Rank4.610%0.46

Technical Setup4.25%0.21

Risk Profile6.95%0.35

Catalyst7.05%0.35

Overall (Σ contributions)5.05

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd

0.0

Volume

0.0

Obv

1.0

Rsi

5.0

Ma Position

9.0

Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

GatesMomentum 3.0<4.5A.R:R -1.3=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 20d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate

RSI

69 · Neutral

↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $215.12Resistance $230.44

Price Targets

$221

$226

A.Upside-1.4%

A.R:R-1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-7.8% upside)

! Momentum score 3.0/10 — below 4.5 minimum

! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

4/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-05-21 (20d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is ROST stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $229.02 — A.R:R is negative (-1.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.7% away). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $221.19. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ROST stock price target?

Take-profit target: $225.83 (-1.3% upside). Prior stop was $221.19. Stop-loss: $221.19.

What are the risks of investing in ROST?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.7% away); Expensive valuation.

Is ROST overvalued or undervalued?

Ross Stores, Inc. trades at a P/E of 34.5 (forward 28.0). TrendMatrix value score: 4.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ROST?

25 analysts cover ROST with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $234.

What does Ross Stores, Inc. do?Ross Stores, Inc. and its subsidiaries ("we", "our", or the "Company") operate two brands of off-price retail apparel...

Ross Stores, Inc. and its subsidiaries ("we", "our", or the "Company") operate two brands of off-price retail apparel and home fashion stores-Ross Dress for Less® ("Ross") and dd's DISCOUNTS®.