Value
4.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 4.2 |
| P/S | 8.4 |
| EV/EBITDA | 0.0 |
| Fwd P/E | 4.4 |
| PEG | 3.4 |
| Analyst target | 5.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 27.9x
- ▸PEG: 3.46
TJX · Why this verdict
Why TJX Companies, Inc. (The) (TJX) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score5.7/10
ConfidenceHIGH
MacroRISK_OFF
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
6.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 10.0 |
| ROA | 9.2 |
| Gross margin | 2.3 |
| Op margin | 4.7 |
| Net margin | 4.7 |
| Current ratio | 4.4 |
| FCF quality | 5.6 |
| Moat | 5.4 |
| Piotroski F | 7.8 |
- ▸Excellent ROE: 61%
- ▸Earnings quality warning: 75% FCF/NI
- ▸No competitive moat
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9
Growth
6.3/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 4.8 |
| EPS growth | 7.9 |
Momentum
7.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 5.0 |
| MACD | 10.0 |
| OBV | 10.0 |
| MA position | 9.0 |
| Volume | 2.8 |
- ▸Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
- ▸Above 200-day MA
Sentiment
7.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 8.9 |
| Price target | 6.6 |
| erm sentiment | 4.9 |
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 5.1 |
- ▸Insider selling (low materiality) — $16,648,116 (0.009% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
4.5/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 1.2 |
| quality rank | 7.5 |
| growth rank | 4.2 |
- ▸Superior ROE vs peers
Technical
4.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 2.1 |
| support resistance | 1.5 |
| 52w position | 9.3 |
Risk (lower is worse)
5.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 9.4 |
| days to cover | 7.8 |
| volatility | 6.8 |
| put call | 0.0 |
| implied vol | 5.7 |
| max pain risk | 3.0 |
| beta | 9.3 |
| debt equity | 4.3 |
- ▸Elevated put/call: 26.82
- ▸Above max pain $80
Catalyst
6.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 10.0 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 6.9 |
| dividend safety | 5.2 |
- ▸Perfect beat streak: 4Q
- ▸Dividend: 119.0%
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_SELLPassed (7)
- MOMENTUM:7.4>=5.5
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:72d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
- ASYMMETRY:0.0<1.5@spot
Warning (0)
none
Reward-to-Risk
0.01
Upside
+0.1%
Downside
8.8%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupBREAKOUT — Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 67, MACD bullish
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityMODERATE — Balanced profile
Investment implication
The F-path SELL output reflects an overall score of 3.7 below the 5.6 soft trigger — multiple weakening dimensions accumulated rather than a single hard-floor breach. The strongest dimension ( Momentum at 7.4) was not enough to lift the adjusted overall above the threshold. Co-occurring failed gates ( ASYMMETRY:0.0<1.5@spot) reinforce the read. Current asymmetry R:R is 0.01 — supplementary context, not the trigger for this path.
The strongest dimensions are Momentum at 7.4, Sentiment at 7.1, and Catalyst at 6.4; the weakest are Value at 4.2, Technical at 4.3, and Peer rank at 4.5. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 0.01 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.