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BKNGBooking Holdings Inc. Common StSell6.4·$174.02-0.18%
SellModerate Confidence

Thesis pillars

  • Consistent Earnings OutperformanceImproving
  • Attractive Growth Adjusted ValuationImproving
  • High Quality Margins And Balance SheetStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Booking Holdings Inc. Common St (BKNG) Stock Analysis

Temporary headwind edge

SellGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Travel Services

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.9/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $174.02 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.

Our mission is to make it easier for everyone to experience the world. We aim to provide consumers with a best-in-class experience with tailored planning, payment, language, and other options seamlessly connecting them with our travel service provider partners. We offer these... Read more

$174.02+26.3% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#1 of 14 Travel Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield5.91%
IncomeYield0.96%Payout17.86%sustainable
Stop $164.62Target $219.58(analyst − 8%)A.R:R 3.4:1
Analyst target$238.68+37.2%37 analysts
$219.58our TP
$174.02price
$238.68mean
$301

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.9/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $174.02 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 45d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-13
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Oct 27, 202645d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.1 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.4
P/E (Fwd)14.1
Mkt Cap$130.7B
EV/EBITDA12.9
Profit Mgn25.5%
ROE
Rev Growth8.1%
Beta1.07
Dividend0.96%
Rating analysts47

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.51bullish
IV54%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Volume
3.3
Capitulation risk (RSI 20, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+0.1%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 1.9<4.5A.R:R 3.4 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 45d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
20 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $169.71Resistance $216.80

Price Targets

$165
$220
A.Upside+26.3%
A.R:R3.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 1.9 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-27 (45d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BKNG stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.9/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $174.02 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $164.62. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BKNG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $219.58 (+26.3% upside). Prior stop was $164.62. Stop-loss: $164.62.

What are the risks of investing in BKNG?

Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Negative momentum.

Is BKNG overvalued or undervalued?

Booking Holdings Inc. Common St trades at a P/E of 19.4 (forward 14.1). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BKNG?

47 analysts cover BKNG with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $239.

What does Booking Holdings Inc. Common St do?Our mission is to make it easier for everyone to experience the world. We aim to provide consumers with a best-in-class...

Our mission is to make it easier for everyone to experience the world. We aim to provide consumers with a best-in-class experience with tailored planning, payment, language, and other options seamlessly connecting them with our travel service provider partners. We offer these services through five primary consumer-facing brands: Booking.com, Priceline, Agoda, KAYAK, and OpenTable:

Related stocks: TCOM (Trip.com Group Limited) · EXPE (Expedia Group, Inc.) · VIK (Viking Holdings Ltd) · ABNB (Airbnb, Inc.) · CCL (Carnival Corporation Ltd.)
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