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TEXTerex CorporationSell6.4·$62.22-3.62%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Terex Corporation delivered 41% revenue growth year-over-year and has beaten earnings estimates in all 4 of the last 4 quarters, but the stock has essentially reached its analyst price target leaving only 1.3% upside against 7% downside, and an extreme put-to-call ratio of 19x signals hedging pressure.

Thesis pillars

  • Revenue Growth LeadershipStable
  • Earnings Beat StreakImproving
  • Options Market Hedging PressureDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Terex Corporation (TEX) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthModerate Confidence

Industrials · Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $62.22: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.4/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 37.75; Below-average business quality.

Terex manufactures industrial equipment across three segments—Environmental Solutions (refuse/recycling/utility), Materials Processing (crushing/screening/specialty), and Aerials (aerial work platforms/telehandlers)—sold globally through distributors and rental companies.... Read more

$62.22+11.1% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#2 of 17 Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield2.21%
IncomeYield0.99%(5y avg 1.22%)Payout33.17%sustainable
Stop $58.63Target $69.13(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.1:1
Analyst target$79.46+27.7%12 analysts
$69.13our TP
$62.22price
$79.46mean
$100

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $62.22: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.4/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 37.75; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost earnings 0.70, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-31
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 2026· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Recent Earnings detected in news
Risks
Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)33.5
P/E (Fwd)11.1
Mkt Cap$7.4B
EV/EBITDA18.9
Profit Mgn1.9%
ROE3.2%
Rev Growth41.1%
Beta1.49
Dividend0.99%
Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C37.75bearish
IV54%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.9
Roe
1.1
Roa
1.7
Moat
5.6
Current Ratio
6.5
Piotroski F
8.9
Fcf Quality
9.9
Excellent cash conversion: 147% FCF/NIStrong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9
GatesMomentum 4.1<4.5A.R:R 1.1 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST EARNINGS 0.70EARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
37 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $60.44Resistance $71.50

Price Targets

$59
$69
A.Upside+11.1%
A.R:R1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)
! momentum at 4.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 1.1 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TEX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $62.22: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.4/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 37.75; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $58.63. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TEX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $69.13 (+11.1% upside). Prior stop was $58.63. Stop-loss: $58.63.

What are the risks of investing in TEX?

Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0).

Is TEX overvalued or undervalued?

Terex Corporation trades at a P/E of 33.5 (forward 11.1). TrendMatrix value score: 5.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TEX?

19 analysts cover TEX with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $79.

What does Terex Corporation do?Terex manufactures industrial equipment across three segments—Environmental Solutions (refuse/recycling/utility),...

Terex manufactures industrial equipment across three segments—Environmental Solutions (refuse/recycling/utility), Materials Processing (crushing/screening/specialty), and Aerials (aerial work platforms/telehandlers)—sold globally through distributors and rental companies. Revenue comes from new equipment sales and lifecycle parts/service support. In February 2026, Terex completed its merger with REV Group.

Related stocks: FSS (Federal Signal Corporation) · OSK (Oshkosh Corporation (Holding Co) · AEBI (Aebi Schmidt Holding AG) · AGCO (AGCO Corporation) · BLBD (Blue Bird Corporation)
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