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TEXTerex CorporationSell5.7·$56.55
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Terex Corporation delivered 41% revenue growth year-over-year and has beaten earnings estimates in all 4 of the last 4 quarters, but the stock has essentially reached its analyst price target leaving only 1.3% upside against 7% downside, and an extreme put-to-call ratio of 19x signals hedging pressure.

Thesis pillars

  • Revenue Growth Leadership↑Improving
  • Earnings Beat Streak↓Deteriorating
  • Options Market Hedging Pressure↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 13, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Terex Corporation (TEX) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5ValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Industrials · Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $56.55: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 3.43; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

Terex manufactures industrial equipment across three segments—Environmental Solutions (refuse/recycling/utility), Materials Processing (crushing/screening/specialty), and Aerials (aerial work platforms/telehandlers)—sold globally through distributors and rental companies.... Read more

$56.55+14.8% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#8 of 18 Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield—
IncomeYield1.20%(5y avg 1.21%)Payout32.54%sustainable
Stop $52.59Analyst target $64.93(−13% haircut)A.R:R 1.1:1
Analyst consensus$74.63+32.0%13 analysts
$64.93Analyst target
$56.55price
$74.63mean
$87

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $56.55: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 3.43; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.70, earnings proximity 102d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-30
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Feb 10, 2027102d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 7.6), Material insider selling (4 sells, 0.02% of cap)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)26.2
P/E (Fwd)9.6
Mkt Cap$6.5B
EV/EBITDA—
Profit Mgn2.6%
ROE5.6%
Rev Growth58.4%
Beta1.47
Dividend1.20%
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C3.43bearish
IV50%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
1.3
Roe
1.9
Roa
1.9
Moat
5.6
Current Ratio
6.3
Piotroski F
8.9
Strong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.9
Support Resistance
2.0
52w Position
5.2
Gap
6.0
GatesA.R:R 1.1 < 1.5@spotMomentum 7.1>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.70EARNINGS PROXIMITY 102d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
66 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $48.92Resistance $58.41

Price Targets

$53
$65
A.Upside+14.8%
A.R:R1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 7.6), Material insider selling (4 sells, 0.02% of cap)
! asymmetry at 1.1 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-10 (102d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TEX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $56.55: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 3.43; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $52.59. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TEX stock price target?

Analyst target: $64.93 (+14.8% upside). Prior stop was $52.59. Stop-loss: $52.59.

What are the risks of investing in TEX?

Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 7.6), Material insider selling (4 sells, 0.02% of cap).

Is TEX overvalued or undervalued?

Terex Corporation trades at a P/E of 26.2 (forward 9.6). TrendMatrix value score: 6.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TEX?

18 analysts cover TEX with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $75.

What does Terex Corporation do?Terex manufactures industrial equipment across three segments—Environmental Solutions (refuse/recycling/utility),...

Terex manufactures industrial equipment across three segments—Environmental Solutions (refuse/recycling/utility), Materials Processing (crushing/screening/specialty), and Aerials (aerial work platforms/telehandlers)—sold globally through distributors and rental companies. Revenue comes from new equipment sales and lifecycle parts/service support. In February 2026, Terex completed its merger with REV Group.

Related stocks: BLBD (Blue Bird Corporation) · OSK (Oshkosh Corporation (Holding Co) · FSS (Federal Signal Corporation) · PCAR (PACCAR Inc.) · AEBI (Aebi Schmidt Holding AG)
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