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TEXTerex CorporationSell6.1·$63.80+1.62%
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Terex Corporation (TEX) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $63.80: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.1/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

Terex manufactures specialized industrial equipment across Environmental Solutions (waste/utility), Materials Processing (crushers/screens), and Aerials (boom lifts/telehandlers) segments globally. The company completed the acquisition of REV Group on February 2, 2026,... Read more

$63.80+3.7% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#2 of 13 Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield2.24%
IncomeYield1.07%(5y avg 1.22%)Payout33.17%sustainable
Stop $59.33Target $66.16(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.3:1
Analyst target$76.05+19.2%11 analysts
$66.16our TP
$63.80price
$76.05mean
$95

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $63.80: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.1/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 65, MACD bullish. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 46d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-13
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202646d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)31.1
P/E (Fwd)11.0
Mkt Cap$7.3B
EV/EBITDA18.7
Profit Mgn1.9%
ROE3.2%
Rev Growth41.1%
Beta1.54
Dividend1.07%
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.30bullish
IV75%elevated
Max Pain$40-37.3% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-06Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Stephen Johnston (VP, Chief Accounting Officer and Controller) departed March 2, 2026 in connection with REV integration. Joseph LaDue (former VP/CAO at REV since 2022) appointed as successor effective March 2, 2026.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.9
Roe
1.1
Roa
1.7
Moat
5.6
Current Ratio
6.5
Piotroski F
8.9
Fcf Quality
9.9
Excellent cash conversion: 147% FCF/NIStrong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
1.0
Support Resistance
1.8
Gap
5.0
52w Position
7.9
GatesA.R:R 0.2 < 1.5@spotExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 7.2>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 46d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
65 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $54.02Resistance $65.95

Price Targets

$59
$66
A.Upside+3.7%
A.R:R0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)
! asymmetry at 0.2 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (46d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TEX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $63.80: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.1/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 65, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $59.33. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TEX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $66.16 (+3.7% upside). Prior stop was $59.33. Stop-loss: $59.33.

What are the risks of investing in TEX?

Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0).

Is TEX overvalued or undervalued?

Terex Corporation trades at a P/E of 31.1 (forward 11.0). TrendMatrix value score: 5.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TEX?

18 analysts cover TEX with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $76.

What does Terex Corporation do?Terex manufactures specialized industrial equipment across Environmental Solutions (waste/utility), Materials...

Terex manufactures specialized industrial equipment across Environmental Solutions (waste/utility), Materials Processing (crushers/screens), and Aerials (boom lifts/telehandlers) segments globally. The company completed the acquisition of REV Group on February 2, 2026, significantly expanding into ambulances, fire apparatus, and recreational vehicles.

Related stocks: FSS (Federal Signal Corporation) · AEBI (Aebi Schmidt Holding AG) · OSK (Oshkosh Corporation (Holding Co) · AGCO (AGCO Corporation) · BLBD (Blue Bird Corporation)
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