Oshkosh Corporation offers deep value at 9.7x forward earnings and a PEG of 0.17, but two consecutive earnings misses, a thin 6.8% upside, an inverted asymmetry ratio, and negative news flow create a hold-not-buy situation at current prices.
Thesis pillars
- Consecutive Earnings Misses↓Deteriorating
- Deep Value Low Peg→Stable
- News Flow Negative Signal→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 17, 2026
Oshkosh Corporation (Holding Co (OSK) Stock Analysis
Industrials · Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery
Sell if holding. At $135.27, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 8.8%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9).
Oshkosh Corporation designs and manufactures purpose-built vehicles across three segments: Access equipment (43% of 2025 net sales), Vocational vehicles (36%), and Transport/defense (20%), spanning aerial work platforms, fire apparatus, defense vehicles, and refuse collection.... Read more
Sell if holding. At $135.27, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 8.8%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-10-30Recent Developments — Oshkosh Corporation (Holding Co
Latest news
- NEWS Oshkosh reports 3.2% EPS miss falling short of analyst estimates - Trend Analysis - Newser — Newser negative
- NEWS Valuation Analysis | Oshkosh reports 3.2% EPS miss falling short of analyst estimates - Share Repurchase - Newser — Newser negative
- NEWS Oshkosh (OSK) Stock May Be 44% Undervalued After Defense Energy Partnership - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance positive
- NEWS Oshkosh (OSK) Stock May Be 44% Undervalued After Defense Energy Partnership - Yahoo Finance UK — Yahoo Finance UK positive
- NEWS Oshkosh (OSK) to report earnings tomorrow: here is what to expect - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance neutral
Generated 2026-10-30T10:27:54Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- LOWCustomerU.S. government20%10-K Item 1A: 'Approximately 20% of our net sales in 2025 were to the U.S. government'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
10 dimensions · all in-band
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $135.27, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 8.8%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $126.07. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.
Analyst target: $147.14 (+8.8% upside). Prior stop was $126.07. Stop-loss: $126.07.
Thin upside margin: 8.8%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.
Oshkosh Corporation (Holding Co trades at a P/E of 17.1 (forward 9.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.2/10. Verdict: Sell.
22 analysts cover OSK with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $163.
What does Oshkosh Corporation (Holding Co do?Oshkosh Corporation designs and manufactures purpose-built vehicles across three segments: Access equipment (43% of...
Oshkosh Corporation designs and manufactures purpose-built vehicles across three segments: Access equipment (43% of 2025 net sales), Vocational vehicles (36%), and Transport/defense (20%), spanning aerial work platforms, fire apparatus, defense vehicles, and refuse collection. About 20% of annual net sales derive from U.S. government contracts, primarily multi-year DoD tactical vehicle programs and a 10-year NGDV contract with the USPS for up to 165,000 vehicles. The company operates 37 manufacturing facilities.