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FSSFederal Signal CorporationHold6.4·$109.11-1.09%
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Federal Signal Corporation (FSS) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Industrials · Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $109.11, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Below 200-day MA.

Federal Signal designs and manufactures specialty vehicles and public safety equipment in two segments: Environmental Solutions Group (street sweepers, sewer cleaners, refuse vehicles, waterblasting) and Safety and Security Systems Group (lightbars, sirens, public warning... Read more

$109.11+13.3% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#1 of 13 Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield2.12%
IncomeYield0.54%(5y avg 0.66%)Payout12.95%sustainable
Stop $101.85Target $123.66(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.8:1
Analyst target$142.14+30.3%7 analysts
$123.66our TP
$109.11price
$142.14mean
$155

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $109.11, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Below 200-day MA. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 43. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 46d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-13
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202646d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Below 200-day MA

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)25.1
P/E (Fwd)19.9
Mkt Cap$6.7B
EV/EBITDA15.3
Profit Mgn11.6%
ROE20.5%
Rev Growth34.9%
Beta1.26
Dividend0.54%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C5.91bearish
IV54%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.7>=5.5A.R:R 1.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 46d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
43 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $101.19Resistance $117.07

Price Targets

$102
$124
A.Upside+13.3%
A.R:R1.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Analyst Consensus

Analysts10
Consensus4.0/5
Avg Target$142

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (46d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FSS stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $109.11, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Below 200-day MA. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 43. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $123.66 (+13.3%), stop $101.85 (−7.1%), A.R:R 1.8:1. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FSS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $123.66 (+13.3% upside). Target $123.66 (+13.3%), stop $101.85 (−7.1%), A.R:R 1.8:1. Stop-loss: $101.85.

What are the risks of investing in FSS?

Below 200-day MA.

Is FSS overvalued or undervalued?

Federal Signal Corporation trades at a P/E of 25.1 (forward 19.9). TrendMatrix value score: 5.6/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about FSS?

10 analysts cover FSS with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $142.

What does Federal Signal Corporation do?Federal Signal designs and manufactures specialty vehicles and public safety equipment in two segments: Environmental...

Federal Signal designs and manufactures specialty vehicles and public safety equipment in two segments: Environmental Solutions Group (street sweepers, sewer cleaners, refuse vehicles, waterblasting) and Safety and Security Systems Group (lightbars, sirens, public warning systems). Revenue comes from municipal, governmental, industrial and commercial customers; no single customer exceeded 10% of net sales.

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