Atlassian Corporation (TEAM) Stock Analysis
Technology · Software - Application
Sell if holding. Momentum 4.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $84.42 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.0); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.
Atlassian develops enterprise team collaboration software (Jira, Confluence, Loom, Rovo, etc.) serving 300,000+ customers across 200+ countries via a product-led flywheel model. Subscription revenue is ratable; R&D was 51% of fiscal 2025 revenue. No single customer exceeded 2%... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 4.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $84.42 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.0); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 78d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.
Recent Developments — Atlassian Corporation
Latest news
- Earnings To Watch: Atlassian (TEAM) Reports Q1 Results Tomorrow - StockStory — StockStory neutral
- Is Atlassian’s (TEAM) AI-Powered Confluence Shift Reframing Its Long-Term Competitive Moat? - Sahm — Sahm neutral
- Atlassian: The Market Is Reacting To Fear Rather Than Real Data (NASDAQ:TEAM) - Seeking Alpha — Seeking Alpha positive
- Atlassian Corporation Plc (TEAM) News, Articles, Events & Latest Updates - Stocktwits — Stocktwits neutral
- I Bought Atlassian Stock When It Was Down 87%, and Now It's Soaring. These Were My Reasons. - AOL.com — AOL.com negative
Generated 2026-05-20T23:51:20Z.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-03-11Item 2.05MEDIUMAtlassian announced restructuring eliminating ~10% of workforce. Estimated charges of $225-236M ($169-174M cash severance; $56-62M office-space exit). Purpose: rebalance to accelerate AI-era teamwork strategy.SEC filing →
- 2026-02-18Item 5.02MEDIUMJames Chuong appointed as CFO effective March 30, 2026, succeeding to the principal financial officer role. Previously CFO at LinkedIn (Microsoft subsidiary) since July 2021. Successor named.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 4.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $84.42 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.0); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $80.19. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $131.73 (+52.8% upside). Prior stop was $80.19. Stop-loss: $80.19.
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.0); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5.
Atlassian Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 14.0). TrendMatrix value score: 8.4/10. Verdict: Sell.
39 analysts cover TEAM with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $143.
What does Atlassian Corporation do?Atlassian develops enterprise team collaboration software (Jira, Confluence, Loom, Rovo, etc.) serving 300,000+...
Atlassian develops enterprise team collaboration software (Jira, Confluence, Loom, Rovo, etc.) serving 300,000+ customers across 200+ countries via a product-led flywheel model. Subscription revenue is ratable; R&D was 51% of fiscal 2025 revenue. No single customer exceeded 2% of revenue.