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LYFTLyft, Inc.Hold5.7·$13.52-1.38%
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Lyft, Inc. (LYFT) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $13.52, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: ridesharing marketplace; Earnings expected to decline ~69% (cyclical peak).

Lyft operates a global mobility platform offering ridesharing, taxis, private hire vehicles, bikes, and scooters; it expanded internationally in 2025 through acquisitions of Freenow (Europe, 9 countries/180+ cities) and TBR Global Chauffeuring (luxury chauffeuring, thousands of... Read more

$13.52+26.7% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#44 of 98 Software - Application
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield23.68%
Stop $12.59Target $17.15(analyst − 8%)A.R:R 3.0:1
Analyst target$18.64+37.9%35 analysts
$17.15our TP
$13.52price
$18.64mean
$30

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $13.52, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: ridesharing marketplace; Earnings expected to decline ~69% (cyclical peak). Chart setup: RSI 46 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 52d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-14
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202652d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Margin of safety: 87%
Wide economic moat
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: ridesharing marketplace
Earnings expected to decline ~69% (cyclical peak)
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)2.0
P/E (Fwd)6.5
Mkt Cap$5.1B
EV/EBITDA-705.1
Profit Mgn43.8%
ROE147.8%
Rev Growth13.8%
Beta1.82
DividendNone
Rating analysts55

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.48bullish
IV69%elevated
Max Pain$38+181.1% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductridesharing marketplace
    10-K Item 1: 'Substantially all of our revenue is generated from our ridesharing marketplace that connects drivers and riders'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.5
Volume
1.6
Macd
3.3
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope flat
GatesMomentum 2.4<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 3.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 52d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
46 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $12.76Resistance $15.28

Price Targets

$13
$17
A.Upside+26.8%
A.R:R3.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Cyclical trap - fwd PE 6x vs trail 2x (3.3x)
! momentum at 2.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (52d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LYFT stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $13.52, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: ridesharing marketplace; Earnings expected to decline ~69% (cyclical peak). Chart setup: RSI 46 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Target $17.15 (+26.8%), stop $12.59 (−7.4%), A.R:R 3.0:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LYFT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $17.15 (+26.7% upside). Target $17.15 (+26.8%), stop $12.59 (−7.4%), A.R:R 3.0:1. Stop-loss: $12.59.

What are the risks of investing in LYFT?

Concentration risk — Product: ridesharing marketplace; Earnings expected to decline ~69% (cyclical peak); Negative momentum.

Is LYFT overvalued or undervalued?

Lyft, Inc. trades at a P/E of 2.0 (forward 6.5). TrendMatrix value score: 9.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about LYFT?

55 analysts cover LYFT with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $19.

What does Lyft, Inc. do?Lyft operates a global mobility platform offering ridesharing, taxis, private hire vehicles, bikes, and scooters; it...

Lyft operates a global mobility platform offering ridesharing, taxis, private hire vehicles, bikes, and scooters; it expanded internationally in 2025 through acquisitions of Freenow (Europe, 9 countries/180+ cities) and TBR Global Chauffeuring (luxury chauffeuring, thousands of cities worldwide). Revenue is collected as service fees and commissions from drivers; substantially all revenue derives from the ridesharing marketplace.

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