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TDCTeradata CorporationSell5.6·$34.34
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Teradata has beaten earnings estimates in all four of the last four quarters with an average positive surprise of 184%, earns exceptional return on equity of 118% with 25% net margins and a Piotroski financial health score of 7 out of 9 — but 19% short interest, a high put-to-call ratio of 2.50, and a stock price already above the analyst target limit near-term entry.

Thesis pillars

  • Exceptional Return On Equity→Stable
  • Massive Earnings Beat Streak→Stable
  • High Short Interest Squeeze Risk↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 27, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Teradata Corporation (TDC) Stock Analysis

SellValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Earnings in 7 days (2026-11-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $34.34 — A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source components.

Teradata Corporation provides an enterprise AI and analytics platform supporting cloud, on-premises, and hybrid environments across two segments: Product Sales and Consulting Services. The company generated $1.663 billion in total revenues for calendar year 2025, with the... Read more

$34.34-15.1% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#53 of 99 Software - Infrastructure
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield10.91%
Stop $32.16Analyst target $29.14(reached)A.R:R -1.0:1
Analyst consensus$33.50-2.4%8 analysts
$34.34price
$33.50mean
$27
$49

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $34.34 — A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source components. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Teradata Corporation

About Teradata Corporation

Teradata Corporation reported total revenues of $1.663 billion for calendar year 2025 across two operating segments — Product Sales and Consulting Services — with subscription-based contracts representing the majority of revenue. The company operates from headquarters in San Diego, California, employing approximately 5,100 people globally (roughly 30% in the United States and 70% across the rest of the world), and delivered more than 150 AI engagements at customer accounts in 2025. No single customer represents 10% or more of total revenue.

Teradata generates revenue through flexibly priced subscription offerings — ranging from capacity-based to consumption-based — sold directly through a sales force in which more than 80% of employees are in customer-facing or revenue-driving roles. The platform spans public cloud deployments on AWS, Microsoft Azure, and Google Cloud, as well as private cloud and on-premises configurations. Customers are concentrated in Financial Services, Healthcare and Life Sciences, Public Sector, Manufacturing, Retail, Telecommunications, and Travel/Transportation verticals. Hardware for on-premises offerings is assembled by Flex Ltd., with key components sourced from Dell Technologies (servers), NetApp (storage disk systems), and NVIDIA (GPUs); certain components are purchased from single sources. Teradata competes against AWS, Databricks, Google Cloud, Microsoft Azure, and Snowflake in the data management and analytics market.

Show full overview

Teradata's supply chain for on-premises hardware depends on Flex Ltd. as key contract manufacturer; a disruption at Flex or at a sole-source component supplier, or a global shortage of semiconductors or GPUs, could impact the timing or profitability of customer shipments. The 10-K notes that demand for GPUs and other AI-adjacent components may exceed supply, and that tariff or inflationary pressures could compress margins. Historically, the company has offset such pressures through price adjustments and alternative sourcing, but these measures may not fully mitigate future cost increases.

See also: Technology · Software - Infrastructure

From Teradata Corporation's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 20267d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.3 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source components
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)7.2
P/E (Fwd)11.8
Mkt Cap$3.2B
EV/EBITDA8.3
Profit Mgn27.1%
ROE119.1%
Rev Growth0.5%
Beta0.62
DividendNone
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWide

Options Flow

P/C2.93bearish
IV79%elevated
Max Pain$20-41.8% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMSupplierFlex
    10-K Item 1A: 'we rely on Flex as a key contract manufacturer for certain on-premises hardware offerings'
  • HIGHSuppliersingle-source components
    10-K Item 1A: 'There are some components of our solutions that we purchase from single sources due to price, quality, technology or other reasons.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-19Item 5.02LOW
    Teradata stockholders approved the Teradata 2023 Stock Incentive Plan as Amended and Restated on May 14, 2026, adding 6,300,000 shares. No officer departure; compensatory arrangement amendment only.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
2.6
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
1.5
Bollinger
1.6
52w Position
6.4
GatesA.R:R -1.0=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 7d<=7dMomentum 5.2<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.2>=4.5Insider activity: OKSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
74 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $28.83Resistance $35.29

Price Targets

A.Upside-15.1%
A.R:R-1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-15.1% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:7d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (7d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TDC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $34.34 — A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source components. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $32.16. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TDC stock price target?

Analyst target $29.14 reached (−15.1% from $34.34); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $32.16. Stop-loss: $32.16.

What are the risks of investing in TDC?

Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source components; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

Is TDC overvalued or undervalued?

Teradata Corporation trades at a P/E of 7.2 (forward 11.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TDC?

14 analysts cover TDC with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $34.

What does Teradata Corporation do?Teradata Corporation provides an enterprise AI and analytics platform supporting cloud, on-premises, and hybrid...

Teradata Corporation provides an enterprise AI and analytics platform supporting cloud, on-premises, and hybrid environments across two segments: Product Sales and Consulting Services. The company generated $1.663 billion in total revenues for calendar year 2025, with the majority from subscription-based contracts. Teradata had approximately 5,100 employees globally at December 31, 2025, with hardware assembly outsourced to Flex Ltd.

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