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TAP-AMolson Coors Beverage CompanySell4.9·$45.22+9.20%
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Molson Coors Beverage Company (TAP-A) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Beverages - Brewers

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $45.22: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

Molson Coors Beverage manufactures and markets beer and other beverages globally through Americas (U.S., Canada, Latin America) and EMEA&APAC segments, with brands including Coors Light, Miller Lite, Blue Moon, Carling, and Staropramen. No single customer accounted for more than... Read more

$45.22+15.0% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#7 of 8 Beverages - Brewers
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield9.22%
IncomeYield4.25%(5y avg 2.31%)Payout35.90%sustainable
Stop $44.62Target $52.00(default +15%)A.R:R 0.0:1

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $45.22: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 100. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)
Mkt Cap$8.4B
EV/EBITDA6.1
Profit Mgn-18.9%
ROE-18.1%
Rev Growth2.0%
Beta0.42
Dividend4.25%
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Value Rank
4.3
Growth Rank
5.0

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.0
Bollinger
3.1
52w Position
5.8

Unprofitable operations — net margin -18.9%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Current Ratio
2.1
Roa
3.0
Gross Margin
3.7
Moat
4.6
Operating Margin
5.0
Piotroski F
8.9
No competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9
GatesA.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
100 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $39.54Resistance $45.22

Price Targets

$45
$52
A.Upside+15.0%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0)

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for TAP-A.
The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TAP-A stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $45.22: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 100. Prior stop was $44.62. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TAP-A stock price target?

Take-profit target: $52.00 (+15.0% upside). Prior stop was $44.62. Stop-loss: $44.62.

What are the risks of investing in TAP-A?

Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0).

Is TAP-A overvalued or undervalued?

Molson Coors Beverage Company trades at a P/E of N/A (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 5.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TAP-A?

26 analysts cover TAP-A with a consensus score of 3.2/5.

What does Molson Coors Beverage Company do?Molson Coors Beverage manufactures and markets beer and other beverages globally through Americas (U.S., Canada, Latin...

Molson Coors Beverage manufactures and markets beer and other beverages globally through Americas (U.S., Canada, Latin America) and EMEA&APAC segments, with brands including Coors Light, Miller Lite, Blue Moon, Carling, and Staropramen. No single customer accounted for more than 10% of consolidated net sales; the U.K. represents over 55% of EMEA&APAC segment net sales.

Related stocks: FMX (Fomento Economico Mexicano S.A.) · ABEV (Ambev S.A.) · TAP (Molson Coors Beverage Company) · CCU (Compania Cervecerias Unidas, S.) · STZ (Constellation Brands, Inc.)
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