Skip to main content
ABEVAmbev S.A.Sell5.3·$3.31+1.69%
Open full analysis

Ambev S.A. (ABEV) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Beverages - Brewers

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $3.31 — A.R:R is negative (-1.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.3% away).

Ambev S.A., through its subsidiaries, engages in the production, distribution, and sale of beer, draft beer, soft drinks, malt and food, and other beverages in Brazil, Central America and Caribbean, Latin America South, and Canada. The company offers beer, ready-to-drink... Read more

$3.31-1.2% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#3 of 8 Beverages - Brewers
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield36.10%
IncomeYield4.76%(5y avg 4.99%)Payout80.49%at-risk
Stop $3.14Target $3.26(resistance)A.R:R -1.4:1
Analyst target$3.39+2.6%10 analysts
$3.26our TP
$3.31price
$3.39mean
$3
$4

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $3.31 — A.R:R is negative (-1.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.3% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 53, MACD bullish. Score 5.3/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 45d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202645d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.3% away)
Leverage penalty (D/E 3.4): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)17.1
P/E (Fwd)14.9
Mkt Cap$50.4B
EV/EBITDA1.3
Profit Mgn17.7%
ROE17.3%
Rev Growth-0.1%
Beta0.27
Dividend4.76%
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.33bullish
Max Pain$3-24.5% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Revenue shrinking — -0.1% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
2.5
Earnings Growth
2.5
Declining revenue: -0%
GatesA.R:R -1.4=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.2>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 45d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
53 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $3.05Resistance $3.33

Price Targets

$3
$3
A.Upside-1.5%
A.R:R-1.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-10.5% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (45d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ABEV stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $3.31 — A.R:R is negative (-1.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.3% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 53, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $3.14. Score 5.3/10, high confidence.

What is the ABEV stock price target?

Take-profit target: $3.26 (-1.2% upside). Prior stop was $3.14. Stop-loss: $3.14.

What are the risks of investing in ABEV?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.3% away); Leverage penalty (D/E 3.4): -1.5.

Is ABEV overvalued or undervalued?

Ambev S.A. trades at a P/E of 17.1 (forward 14.9). TrendMatrix value score: 6.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ABEV?

20 analysts cover ABEV with a consensus score of 2.5/5. Average price target: $3.

What does Ambev S.A. do?Ambev S.A., through its subsidiaries, engages in the production, distribution, and sale of beer, draft beer, soft...

Ambev S.A., through its subsidiaries, engages in the production, distribution, and sale of beer, draft beer, soft drinks, malt and food, and other beverages in Brazil, Central America and Caribbean, Latin America South, and Canada. The company offers beer, ready-to-drink cocktails and spritzers, soft drinks, water, teas, and isotonic drinks under the Brahma, Skol, Antarctica, Original, Quilmes, Andes Origen, Patricia, Paceha, Huari, Pilsen, Presidente, Balboa, Guaraná Antarctica, and Beats brands. It sells its products to distributors, supermarkets, and retailers within a broad distribution network. The company was founded in 1853 and is headquartered in São Paulo, Brazil. Ambev S.A. operates as a subsidiary of Interbrew International B.V.

Related stocks: BUD (Anheuser-Busch Inbev SA Sponsor) · FMX (Fomento Economico Mexicano S.A.) · TAP (Molson Coors Beverage Company) · STZ (Constellation Brands, Inc.) · TAP-A (Molson Coors Beverage Company)
Home Stocks ABEV

Latest news

Latest News

TipRanks47d ago
MarketBeat48d agoEarnings
AD HOC NEWS49d ago
MarketBeat49d ago
MarketBeat41d ago
StocksToTrade41d ago
TipRanks41d agoEarnings
TipRanks41d agoRestructuring
TipRanks41d ago
Yahoo Finance46d ago
MSN47d agoAnalyst
Yahoo Finance42d ago
Newser45d ago
TipRanks45d ago
TipRanks45d ago
TipRanks45d ago
Benzinga32d agoAnalyst
Benzinga40d agoAnalyst
Benzinga41d ago
Benzinga41d ago
Loading more...