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CCUCompania Cervecerias Unidas, S.Sell4.9·$10.63
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

A forward earnings multiple of 12.9x at a PEG of 0.38 and a perfect Piotroski financial health score of 9 out of 9 offer valuation and quality support, but the stock is already above its analyst price target, the dividend yield is flagged as potentially uncovered, and a death cross places the price below a declining long-term average, making the risk/reward of 0.07-to-1 unattractive at current levels.

Thesis pillars

  • Dividend Yield Safety Concern→Stable
  • Price Above Target Poor Asymmetry→Stable
  • Valuation Discount To Growth→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Compania Cervecerias Unidas, S. (CCU) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Beverages - Brewers

Earnings in 5 days (2026-11-03). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.63: Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend.

Compañía Cervecerías Unidas S.A., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a diversified beverage company in Chile, Argentina, Bolivia, Colombia, Paraguay, and Uruguay. It operates through three segments: Chile, International Business, and Wine. The company offers wines,... Read more

$10.63-13.7% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#6 of 8 Beverages - Brewers
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield3678.10%
IncomeYield3.28%(5y avg 3.31%)Payout58.45%sustainable
Stop $10.09Analyst target $9.17(reached)A.R:R -2.7:1
Analyst consensus$10.54-0.8%6 analysts
$10.63price
$10.54mean
$6
$15

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.63: Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 3, 20265d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-13.7% upside)
Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)17.4
P/E (Fwd)13.7
Mkt Cap$2.0B
EV/EBITDA—
Profit Mgn3.5%
ROE7.9%
Rev Growth4.8%
Beta0.26
Dividend3.28%
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

IV116%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
2.0
Quality Rank
3.8
Growth Rank
5.0

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
3.5
Volume
5.9
Macd
6.1
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.6%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 3.5<4.5A.R:R -2.7=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
39 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $10.14Resistance $11.30

Price Targets

A.Upside-13.7%
A.R:R-2.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-13.7% upside)
! Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0)
! momentum at 3.5 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-03 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CCU stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.63: Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $10.09. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CCU stock price target?

Analyst target $9.17 reached (−13.7% from $10.63); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $10.09. Stop-loss: $10.09.

What are the risks of investing in CCU?

Target reached (-13.7% upside); Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0).

Is CCU overvalued or undervalued?

Compania Cervecerias Unidas, S. trades at a P/E of 17.4 (forward 13.7). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CCU?

15 analysts cover CCU with a consensus score of 2.6/5. Average price target: $11.

What does Compania Cervecerias Unidas, S. do?Compañía Cervecerías Unidas S.A., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a diversified beverage company in Chile,...

Compañía Cervecerías Unidas S.A., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a diversified beverage company in Chile, Argentina, Bolivia, Colombia, Paraguay, and Uruguay. It operates through three segments: Chile, International Business, and Wine. The company offers wines, soft, isotonic, and sports drinks, nectars, iced tea, pisco, rum, cider, liquors, beers, spirits, cocktails, coolers, and cockail wines; and spring, bottled, mineral, and saborized water. It provides its products under the Cristal, Escudo, Royal Guard, Morenita, Dorada, Andes, Bavaria, Stones, Heineken, Sol, Coors, Austral, Polar Imperial, Patagonia, Kunstmann, Guayacán, D´olbek, Mahina, Volcanes del Sur, Bilz, Pap, Kem, Kem Xtreme, Nobis, Pop, Cachantun, Mas, Mas Woman, Porvenir, Manantial, Red Bull, Rockstar, Perrier, Mistral, Tres Erres, Campanario, Horcón Quemado, Control Valle del Encanto, Espíritu de los Andes, La Serena, Iceberg, Hard Fresh, Ruta, Cocktail, Sabor Andino Sour, Horcón Quemado Sour, Sierra Morena, Cabo Viejo, Kantal, Fehrenberg, Barsol, Puklaro, Pernod Ricard, Fratelli Branca, Sidra 1888, La Pizka, Palermo, Santa Fé, Salta, Córdoba, Isenbeck, Norte, Iguana, Miller Genuine Draft, Amstel, Warsteiner, Grolsch, Blue Moon, Sidra Real, La Victoria, Pehuenia, El Abuelo, Eugenio Bustos, La Celia, Colón, Graffina, Santa Silvia, Villavicencio, Villa del Sur, Levité, Ser, Brío, Altaïr, Cabo de Hornos, Sideral, 1865, Castillo de Molina, Epica, Gato, GatoNegro, Reserva, Gran Reserva, Single Vineyard, Lot series, Misiones de Rengo Varietal, Reserva, Cuvée, Gran Reserva Black, Mision, Sparkling line, Alpaca, Reservado, Siglo de Oro Reserva de Viña Santa Helena, Viñamar, Donnaluna, Manquehuito, Graffigna, Colón, Colón Selecto, Nativa, Nix, Watt's, FullSport, 1888, Imperial, Escudo Silver, Kuntsmann, Miller, and Schneider brands. The company was founded in 1850 and is based in Santiago, Chile. Compañía Cervecerías Unidas S.A. operates as a subsidiary of Inversiones y Rentas S.A.

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