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CCUCompania Cervecerias Unidas, S.Sell4.9·$11.64-0.09%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

A forward earnings multiple of 12.9x at a PEG of 0.38 and a perfect Piotroski financial health score of 9 out of 9 offer valuation and quality support, but the stock is already above its analyst price target, the dividend yield is flagged as potentially uncovered, and a death cross places the price below a declining long-term average, making the risk/reward of 0.07-to-1 unattractive at current levels.

Thesis pillars

  • Dividend Yield Safety ConcernDeteriorating
  • Price Above Target Poor AsymmetryStable
  • Valuation Discount To GrowthStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Compania Cervecerias Unidas, S. (CCU) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellGrowthModerate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Beverages - Brewers

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $11.64: Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend.

Compañía Cervecerías Unidas S.A., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a diversified beverage company in Chile, Argentina, Bolivia, Colombia, Paraguay, and Uruguay. It operates through three segments: Chile, International Business, and Wine. The company offers wines,... Read more

$11.64-15.0% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#5 of 8 Beverages - Brewers
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield3.00%(5y avg 5.40%)Payout57.05%sustainable
Stop $11.03Target $12.56(resistance)A.R:R -2.4:1
Analyst target$11.38-2.3%6 analysts
$12.56our TP
$11.64price
$11.38mean
$6
$15

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $11.64: Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 37, MACD bearish. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 51d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 3, 202651d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-15.0% upside)
Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.1
P/E (Fwd)13.7
Mkt Cap
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn3.5%
ROE7.9%
Rev Growth4.8%
Beta0.27
Dividend3.00%
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

IV201%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.5
Macd
2.8
Rsi
3.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope flat

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
1.2
Erm
2.5
Earnings History
3.3
Dividend Safety
4.5
Earnings Timing
5.0

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
2.0
Quality Rank
3.8
Growth Rank
6.3
GatesMomentum 1.8<4.5A.R:R -2.4=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 51d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Moderate
RSI
37 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $11.37Resistance $12.82

Price Targets

$11
$13
A.Upside-15.0%
A.R:R-2.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-15.0% upside)
! Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0)
! momentum at 1.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-03 (51d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CCU stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $11.64: Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 37, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $11.03. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CCU stock price target?

Take-profit target: $12.56 (-15.0% upside). Prior stop was $11.03. Stop-loss: $11.03.

What are the risks of investing in CCU?

Target reached (-15.0% upside); Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0).

Is CCU overvalued or undervalued?

Compania Cervecerias Unidas, S. trades at a P/E of 19.1 (forward 13.7). TrendMatrix value score: 7.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CCU?

16 analysts cover CCU with a consensus score of 2.6/5. Average price target: $11.

What does Compania Cervecerias Unidas, S. do?Compañía Cervecerías Unidas S.A., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a diversified beverage company in Chile,...

Compañía Cervecerías Unidas S.A., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a diversified beverage company in Chile, Argentina, Bolivia, Colombia, Paraguay, and Uruguay. It operates through three segments: Chile, International Business, and Wine. The company offers wines, soft, isotonic, and sports drinks, nectars, iced tea, pisco, rum, cider, liquors, beers, spirits, cocktails, coolers, and cockail wines; and spring, bottled, mineral, and saborized water. It provides its products under the Cristal, Escudo, Royal Guard, Morenita, Dorada, Andes, Bavaria, Stones, Heineken, Sol, Coors, Austral, Polar Imperial, Patagonia, Kunstmann, Guayacán, D´olbek, Mahina, Volcanes del Sur, Bilz, Pap, Kem, Kem Xtreme, Nobis, Pop, Cachantun, Mas, Mas Woman, Porvenir, Manantial, Red Bull, Rockstar, Perrier, Mistral, Tres Erres, Campanario, Horcón Quemado, Control Valle del Encanto, Espíritu de los Andes, La Serena, Iceberg, Hard Fresh, Ruta, Cocktail, Sabor Andino Sour, Horcón Quemado Sour, Sierra Morena, Cabo Viejo, Kantal, Fehrenberg, Barsol, Puklaro, Pernod Ricard, Fratelli Branca, Sidra 1888, La Pizka, Palermo, Santa Fé, Salta, Córdoba, Isenbeck, Norte, Iguana, Miller Genuine Draft, Amstel, Warsteiner, Grolsch, Blue Moon, Sidra Real, La Victoria, Pehuenia, El Abuelo, Eugenio Bustos, La Celia, Colón, Graffina, Santa Silvia, Villavicencio, Villa del Sur, Levité, Ser, Brío, Altaïr, Cabo de Hornos, Sideral, 1865, Castillo de Molina, Epica, Gato, GatoNegro, Reserva, Gran Reserva, Single Vineyard, Lot series, Misiones de Rengo Varietal, Reserva, Cuvée, Gran Reserva Black, Mision, Sparkling line, Alpaca, Reservado, Siglo de Oro Reserva de Viña Santa Helena, Viñamar, Donnaluna, Manquehuito, Graffigna, Colón, Colón Selecto, Nativa, Nix, Watt's, FullSport, 1888, Imperial, Escudo Silver, Kuntsmann, Miller, and Schneider brands. The company was founded in 1850 and is based in Santiago, Chile. Compañía Cervecerías Unidas S.A. operates as a subsidiary of Inversiones y Rentas S.A.

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