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SONOSonos, Inc.Sell5.1·$15.36-0.52%
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Sonos, Inc. (SONO) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Consumer Electronics

Sell if holding. At $15.36, A.R:R 0.6:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 5.8%; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Sonos is an audio company selling smart speakers, home theater soundbars, headphones, and system components under the Sonos brand in 60+ countries to 17.1 million households. Products are sold through retailers, custom installers, and DTC; revenue is primarily hardware-driven... Read more

$15.36+5.9% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#2 of 4 Consumer Electronics
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield6.54%
Stop $14.28Target $16.26(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.6:1
Analyst target$19.13+24.5%4 analysts
$16.26our TP
$15.36price
$19.13mean
$21

Sell if holding. At $15.36, A.R:R 0.6:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 5.8%; Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 52d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15

Recent Developments — Sonos, Inc.

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:47Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202652d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Positive insider activity
Risks
Thin upside margin: 5.8%
Consecutive earnings misses (2)
Elevated risk factors

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)90.4
P/E (Fwd)14.2
Mkt Cap$1.8B
EV/EBITDA15.8
Profit Mgn1.6%
ROE6.2%
Rev Growth8.4%
Beta1.94
DividendNone
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C4.80bearish
IV86%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerBest Buy14%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Best Buy, one of our key channel partners, accounted for 14% of our revenue in fiscal 2025.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-04Item 5.02LOW
    Frank Barbieri appointed as Chief Operating Officer effective May 4, 2026. Previously VP-level roles at Walmart Inc. (2019-2026). No prior COO announced; no reason cited beyond routine leadership hire.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
1.3
Growth Rank
2.5
Quality Rank
3.8

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2M
GatesMomentum 4.3<4.5A.R:R 0.6 < 1.5@spotExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 52d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
49 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $14.34Resistance $16.77

Price Targets

$14
$16
A.Upside+5.9%
A.R:R0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 4.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.6 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (52d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SONO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $15.36, A.R:R 0.6:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 5.8%; Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $14.28. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SONO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $16.26 (+5.9% upside). Prior stop was $14.28. Stop-loss: $14.28.

What are the risks of investing in SONO?

Thin upside margin: 5.8%; Consecutive earnings misses (2); Elevated risk factors.

Is SONO overvalued or undervalued?

Sonos, Inc. trades at a P/E of 90.4 (forward 14.2). TrendMatrix value score: 6.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SONO?

10 analysts cover SONO with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $19.

What does Sonos, Inc. do?Sonos is an audio company selling smart speakers, home theater soundbars, headphones, and system components under the...

Sonos is an audio company selling smart speakers, home theater soundbars, headphones, and system components under the Sonos brand in 60+ countries to 17.1 million households. Products are sold through retailers, custom installers, and DTC; revenue is primarily hardware-driven with Best Buy representing 14% of fiscal 2025 revenue.

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