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SNASnap-On IncorporatedHold5.6·$412.14-0.65%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Snap-on is a high-quality industrial tools business with a perfect Piotroski F-Score of 9/9, wide economic moat, and 20% operating margins, but the stock has surpassed analyst price targets with negative asymmetry, making the business quality case attractive while the current price offers no margin of safety.

Thesis pillars

  • Perfect Piotroski Score Wide MoatStable
  • Earnings Consistency Three Of Four BeatsImproving
  • Golden Cross Breakout MomentumImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Snap-On Incorporated (SNA) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Tools & Accessories

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $412.14, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: United States; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Snap-on manufactures professional tools, equipment, diagnostics, and repair information sold in more than 130 countries through four segments: Commercial & Industrial, Snap-on Tools, Repair Systems & Information, and Financial Services. The company generated $4.743 billion in... Read more

$412.14-14.0% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#7 of 8 Tools & Accessories
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield5.17%
IncomeYield2.33%(5y avg 2.46%)Payout48.27%sustainable
Stop $395.35Target $412.49(resistance)A.R:R -2.7:1
Analyst target$409.33-0.7%9 analysts
$412.49our TP
$412.14price
$409.33mean
$330
$461

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $412.14, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: United States; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 59, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 77d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-30
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Oct 15, 202677d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
High-quality business
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: United States
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (1.6% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)21.2
P/E (Fwd)19.5
Mkt Cap$21.5B
EV/EBITDA14.9
Profit Mgn19.6%
ROE17.9%
Rev Growth4.2%
Beta0.72
Dividend2.33%
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.79neutral
IV36%normal
Max Pain$350-15.1% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMProductSnap-on Tools Group38%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Approximately 38% of our consolidated net revenues (net sales plus financial services revenue) in 2025 were generated by the Snap-on Tools Group'
  • HIGHGeographicUnited States
    10-K Item 1: 'Snap-on’s largest geographic market is the United States'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
3.0
Revenue Growth
3.6
GatesA.R:R -2.7=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 77d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
59 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $392.42Resistance $420.91

Price Targets

$395
$412
A.Upside-14.0%
A.R:R-2.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-14.0% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-15 (77d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SNA stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $412.14, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: United States; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 59, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $412.49 (+0.1%), stop $395.35 (−4.2%), A.R:R -2.7:1. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SNA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $412.49 (-14.0% upside). Target $412.49 (+0.1%), stop $395.35 (−4.2%), A.R:R -2.7:1. Stop-loss: $395.35.

What are the risks of investing in SNA?

Concentration risk — Geographic: United States; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.6% away).

Is SNA overvalued or undervalued?

Snap-On Incorporated trades at a P/E of 21.2 (forward 19.5). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about SNA?

16 analysts cover SNA with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $409.

What does Snap-On Incorporated do?Snap-on manufactures professional tools, equipment, diagnostics, and repair information sold in more than 130 countries...

Snap-on manufactures professional tools, equipment, diagnostics, and repair information sold in more than 130 countries through four segments: Commercial & Industrial, Snap-on Tools, Repair Systems & Information, and Financial Services. The company generated $4.743 billion in net sales in 2025, distributed through approximately 4,700 franchise van routes globally alongside direct sales, distributors, and digital channels.

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