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SNASnap-On IncorporatedSell5.1·$358.60
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Snap-on is a high-quality industrial tools business with a perfect Piotroski F-Score of 9/9, wide economic moat, and 20% operating margins, but the stock has surpassed analyst price targets with negative asymmetry, making the business quality case attractive while the current price offers no margin of safety.

Thesis pillars

  • Perfect Piotroski Score Wide Moat↓Deteriorating
  • Earnings Consistency Three Of Four Beats↓Deteriorating
  • Golden Cross Breakout Momentum↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 12, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Snap-On Incorporated (SNA) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueQualityShortModerate Confidence

Industrials · Tools & Accessories

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $358.60 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: United States.

Snap-on manufactures professional tools, equipment, diagnostics, and repair information sold in more than 130 countries through four segments: Commercial & Industrial, Snap-on Tools, Repair Systems & Information, and Financial Services. The company generated $4.743 billion in... Read more

$358.60-2.0% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#8 of 8 Tools & Accessories
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield5.89%
IncomeYield2.74%(5y avg 2.47%)Payout50.70%sustainable
Stop $342.90Analyst target $351.58(reached)A.R:R -0.2:1
Analyst consensus$404.11+12.7%9 analysts
$358.60price
$404.11mean
$340
$485

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $358.60 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: United States. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 96d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-30
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Feb 4, 202796d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.7 in RISK_OFF)
High-quality business
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: United States
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)18.6
P/E (Fwd)17.2
Mkt Cap$18.5B
EV/EBITDA12.9
Profit Mgn19.2%
ROE17.3%
Rev Growth-0.7%
Beta0.70
Dividend2.74%
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C13.14bearish
IV38%normal
Max Pain$430+19.9% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMProductSnap-on Tools Group38%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Approximately 38% of our consolidated net revenues (net sales plus financial services revenue) in 2025 were generated by the Snap-on Tools Group'
  • HIGHGeographicUnited States
    10-K Item 1: 'Snap-on’s largest geographic market is the United States'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Revenue shrinking — -0.7% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Earnings Growth
0.5
Revenue Growth
2.3
Declining revenue: -1%
GatesA.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 96d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
47 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $328.86Resistance $372.26

Price Targets

A.Upside-2.0%
A.R:R-0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.0% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-04 (96d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SNA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $358.60 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: United States. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $342.90. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SNA stock price target?

Analyst target $351.58 reached (−2.0% from $358.60); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $342.90. Stop-loss: $342.90.

What are the risks of investing in SNA?

Concentration risk — Geographic: United States; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Is SNA overvalued or undervalued?

Snap-On Incorporated trades at a P/E of 18.6 (forward 17.2). TrendMatrix value score: 5.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SNA?

16 analysts cover SNA with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $404.

What does Snap-On Incorporated do?Snap-on manufactures professional tools, equipment, diagnostics, and repair information sold in more than 130 countries...

Snap-on manufactures professional tools, equipment, diagnostics, and repair information sold in more than 130 countries through four segments: Commercial & Industrial, Snap-on Tools, Repair Systems & Information, and Financial Services. The company generated $4.743 billion in net sales in 2025, distributed through approximately 4,700 franchise van routes globally alongside direct sales, distributors, and digital channels.

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