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SMASmartStop Self Storage REIT, InSell5.4·$32.16-0.77%
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SmartStop Self Storage REIT, In (SMA) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Industrial

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $32.16 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Property Type: self storage.

SmartStop Self Storage REIT is a self-managed REIT owning 177 operating self storage properties (122,000 units, 13.9M sq ft) across 19 states, DC, and Canada, ranked 10th largest in the U.S. by rentable sq ft. Revenue comes from month-to-month unit rentals; the company also... Read more

$32.16+1.6% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#7 of 15 REIT - Industrial
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield6.44%
IncomeYield4.94%Payout500.00%
Stop $30.69Target $32.72(resistance)A.R:R -0.2:1
Analyst target$36.20+12.6%10 analysts
$32.72our TP
$32.16price
$36.20mean
$40

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $32.16 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Property Type: self storage. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 63. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 54d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-12
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202654d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Property Type: self storage
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)101.3
P/E (Fwd)58.9
Mkt Cap$1.8B
EV/EBITDA22.1
Profit Mgn4.7%
ROE1.5%
Rev Growth13.1%
Beta
Dividend4.94%
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.13bearish

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHPropertyself storage
    10-K Item 1: 'self-managed and fully-integrated self storage real estate investment trust...wholly-owned portfolio consisted of 177 operating self storage properties'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-20Item 5.02LOW
    Board expanded from 5 to 6 members; Wayne Johnson (Chief Investment Officer) appointed as employee director effective Feb 19, 2026. No departures.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
2.0
Support Resistance
2.9
52w Position
6.8
GatesA.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 54d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
63 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $29.28Resistance $33.39

Price Targets

$31
$33
A.Upside+1.7%
A.R:R-0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.2% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (54d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SMA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $32.16 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Property Type: self storage. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 63. Prior stop was $30.69. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SMA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $32.72 (+1.6% upside). Prior stop was $30.69. Stop-loss: $30.69.

What are the risks of investing in SMA?

Concentration risk — Property Type: self storage; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is SMA overvalued or undervalued?

SmartStop Self Storage REIT, In trades at a P/E of 101.3 (forward 58.9). TrendMatrix value score: 4.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SMA?

14 analysts cover SMA with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $36.

What does SmartStop Self Storage REIT, In do?SmartStop Self Storage REIT is a self-managed REIT owning 177 operating self storage properties (122,000 units, 13.9M...

SmartStop Self Storage REIT is a self-managed REIT owning 177 operating self storage properties (122,000 units, 13.9M sq ft) across 19 states, DC, and Canada, ranked 10th largest in the U.S. by rentable sq ft. Revenue comes from month-to-month unit rentals; the company also manages 273 additional properties through its Managed Platform including 221 via the Argus acquisition (October 2025).

Related stocks: FR (First Industrial Realty Trust, ) · TRNO (Terreno Realty Corporation) · NSA (National Storage Affiliates Tru) · EGP (EastGroup Properties, Inc.) · STAG (Stag Industrial, Inc.)
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