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EGPEastGroup Properties, Inc.Sell5.5·$200.87-0.80%
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EastGroup Properties, Inc. (EGP) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Industrial

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $200.87 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.3% away).

EastGroup Properties is an internally managed industrial REIT focused on development and operation of business distribution properties in Sunbelt markets, primarily Texas, Florida, California, Arizona and North Carolina. As of December 31, 2025, the company owned 550 industrial... Read more

$200.87+1.3% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#7 of 15 REIT - Industrial
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield3.40%
IncomeYield3.09%(5y avg 2.78%)Payout110.00%
Stop $192.95Target $203.57(resistance)A.R:R -0.7:1
Analyst target$214.89+7.0%19 analysts
$203.57our TP
$200.87price
$214.89mean
$180
$240

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $200.87 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.3% away). Chart setup: RSI 42 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 41d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-11
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 22, 202641d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.1 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (3.3% away)
Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)36.5
P/E (Fwd)36.4
Mkt Cap$10.8B
EV/EBITDA25.8
Profit Mgn39.8%
ROE8.5%
Rev Growth9.1%
Beta1.05
Dividend3.09%
Rating analysts24

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.87neutral
IV57%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWGeographicDallas11%
    10-K Item 1A: 'our largest markets were Houston and Dallas...represent 9.5% and 10.9%, respectively, of the Company's total Real estate properties based on percentage of total annualized base rent'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Ps
0.2
Analyst Target
4.0
P Ocf
5.0
P/OCF: 22.1x (FFO proxy — REITs gated off P/E)

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
4.1
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.3<4.5A.R:R -0.7=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 41d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
42 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $192.68Resistance $207.72

Price Targets

$193
$204
A.Upside+1.3%
A.R:R-0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.7% upside)
! momentum at 3.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-22 (41d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EGP stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $200.87 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.3% away). Chart setup: RSI 42 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $192.95. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the EGP stock price target?

Take-profit target: $203.57 (+1.3% upside). Prior stop was $192.95. Stop-loss: $192.95.

What are the risks of investing in EGP?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.3% away); Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2.

Is EGP overvalued or undervalued?

EastGroup Properties, Inc. trades at a P/E of 36.5 (forward 36.4). TrendMatrix value score: 3.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about EGP?

24 analysts cover EGP with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $215.

What does EastGroup Properties, Inc. do?EastGroup Properties is an internally managed industrial REIT focused on development and operation of business...

EastGroup Properties is an internally managed industrial REIT focused on development and operation of business distribution properties in Sunbelt markets, primarily Texas, Florida, California, Arizona and North Carolina. As of December 31, 2025, the company owned 550 industrial properties (~65 million sq ft) that were 97% leased to approximately 1,700 tenants; no single tenant exceeds 1.5% of annualized base rent.

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