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STAGStag Industrial, Inc.Sell5.2·$38.28+3.08%
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Stag Industrial, Inc. (STAG) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Industrial

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $38.28 — A.R:R is negative (-1.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Property Type: industrial properties (100.0%).

STAG Industrial is an industrial REIT with 601 buildings across 41 states (~120M sq ft), ~96.4% leased at year-end 2025. Revenue is base rent from single-tenant and multi-tenant industrial leases; no single tenant exceeded ~2.8% of annualized base rental revenue.

$38.28-0.4% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#8 of 15 REIT - Industrial
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield6.31%
IncomeYield4.17%(5y avg 4.03%)Payout116.67%
Stop $36.91Target $38.10(resistance)A.R:R -1.2:1
Analyst target$41.30+7.9%10 analysts
$38.10our TP
$38.28price
$41.30mean
$45

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $38.28 — A.R:R is negative (-1.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Property Type: industrial properties (100.0%). Chart setup: RSI 55 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 49d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09

Recent Developments — Stag Industrial, Inc.

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:47Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jul 28, 202649d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.3 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Concentration risk — Property Type: industrial properties (100.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.4% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)28.8
P/E (Fwd)42.2
Mkt Cap$7.2B
EV/EBITDA16.4
Profit Mgn28.3%
ROE6.9%
Rev Growth9.1%
Beta0.98
Dividend4.17%
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.71bearish
IV53%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHPropertyindustrial properties100%
    10-K Item 1A: 'As of December 31, 2025, all our buildings were industrial properties.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
4.8
GatesA.R:R -1.2=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 49d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
55 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $36.28Resistance $38.88

Price Targets

$37
$38
A.Upside-0.5%
A.R:R-1.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-6.1% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-28 (49d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is STAG stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $38.28 — A.R:R is negative (-1.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Property Type: industrial properties (100.0%). Chart setup: RSI 55 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $36.91. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the STAG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $38.10 (-0.4% upside). Prior stop was $36.91. Stop-loss: $36.91.

What are the risks of investing in STAG?

Concentration risk — Property Type: industrial properties (100.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.4% away).

Is STAG overvalued or undervalued?

Stag Industrial, Inc. trades at a P/E of 28.8 (forward 42.2). TrendMatrix value score: 4.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about STAG?

17 analysts cover STAG with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $41.

What does Stag Industrial, Inc. do?STAG Industrial is an industrial REIT with 601 buildings across 41 states (~120M sq ft), ~96.4% leased at year-end...

STAG Industrial is an industrial REIT with 601 buildings across 41 states (~120M sq ft), ~96.4% leased at year-end 2025. Revenue is base rent from single-tenant and multi-tenant industrial leases; no single tenant exceeded ~2.8% of annualized base rental revenue.

Related stocks: FR (First Industrial Realty Trust, ) · NSA (National Storage Affiliates Tru) · TRNO (Terreno Realty Corporation) · SMA (SmartStop Self Storage REIT, In) · EGP (EastGroup Properties, Inc.)
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