Stag Industrial earns a Rule of 40 score of 62 and converts 187% of net income into free cash flow, reflecting elite industrial REIT cash economics, but the stock is trading above its analyst consensus price target with no near-term upside and an unfavorable reward-to-risk ratio.
Thesis pillars
- Elite Rule Of 40 Cash Economics→Stable
- Earnings Beat Consistency Reit↓Deteriorating
- Industrial Property Concentration Risk↑Improving
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Stag Industrial, Inc. (STAG) Stock Analysis
Real Estate · REIT - Industrial
Wait for pullback to $38.64. BUY gates pass at $40.35, but concentration risk — Property Type: industrial properties and analyst target reached - limited upside remaining argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $38.64 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum.
STAG Industrial is a REIT owning 601 industrial buildings across 41 U.S. states totaling approximately 120.0 million rentable square feet, with the portfolio 96.4% leased at December 31, 2025. Revenue comes from leasing industrial properties, with no single tenant exceeding 2.8%... Read more
Wait for pullback to $38.64. BUY gates pass at $40.35, but concentration risk — Property Type: industrial properties and analyst target reached - limited upside remaining argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $38.64 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 91d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-29Recent Developments — Stag Industrial, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS STAG Industrial Streamlines Debt by Merging Term Loans and Extends Maturity to 2032 with Spread Reduction - Kalkine Medi — Kalkine Media positive
- NEWS Stag Industrial Q2 Results: FFO $0.65, Sales Beat Estimates - scanx.trade — scanx.trade positive
- NEWS Stag Industrial (STAG) Q2 FFO Meet Estimates - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance neutral
- NEWS STAG Industrial earnings beat by $0.01, revenue topped estimates - Investing.com — Investing.com positive
- NEWS STAG INDUSTRIAL ($STAG) Releases Q2 2026 Earnings - Quiver Quantitative — Quiver Quantitative neutral
Generated 2026-07-31T02:43:38Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHPropertyindustrial properties10-K Item 1A: 'all our buildings were industrial properties'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Wait for pullback to $38.64. BUY gates pass at $40.35, but concentration risk — Property Type: industrial properties and analyst target reached - limited upside remaining argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $38.64 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $41.76 (+3.5%), stop $37.07 (−8.8%), A.R:R -1.6:1. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $41.76 (-10.4% upside). Target $41.76 (+3.5%), stop $37.07 (−8.8%), A.R:R -1.6:1. Stop-loss: $37.07.
Concentration risk — Property Type: industrial properties; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.4% away).
Stag Industrial, Inc. trades at a P/E of 31.6 (forward 46.3). TrendMatrix value score: 3.4/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).
18 analysts cover STAG with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $42.
What does Stag Industrial, Inc. do?STAG Industrial is a REIT owning 601 industrial buildings across 41 U.S. states totaling approximately 120.0 million...
STAG Industrial is a REIT owning 601 industrial buildings across 41 U.S. states totaling approximately 120.0 million rentable square feet, with the portfolio 96.4% leased at December 31, 2025. Revenue comes from leasing industrial properties, with no single tenant exceeding 2.8% of total annualized base rental revenue across the broadly diversified portfolio.