Stag Industrial earns a Rule of 40 score of 62 and converts 187% of net income into free cash flow, reflecting elite industrial REIT cash economics, but the stock is trading above its analyst consensus price target with no near-term upside and an unfavorable reward-to-risk ratio.
Thesis pillars
- Elite Rule Of 40 Cash Economics↓Deteriorating
- Earnings Beat Consistency Reit↑Improving
- Industrial Property Concentration Risk→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 11, 2026
Stag Industrial, Inc. (STAG) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Real Estate · REIT - Industrial
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $36.31 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Property Type: industrial properties.
STAG Industrial is a REIT owning 601 industrial buildings across 41 U.S. states totaling approximately 120.0 million rentable square feet, with the portfolio 96.4% leased at December 31, 2025. Revenue comes from leasing industrial properties, with no single tenant exceeding 2.8%... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $36.31 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Property Type: industrial properties. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 57. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 104d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-10-29Recent Developments — Stag Industrial, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS STAG Industrial Streamlines Debt by Merging Term Loans and Extends Maturity to 2032 with Spread Reduction - Kalkine Medi — Kalkine Media positive
- NEWS Stag Industrial Q2 Results: FFO $0.65, Sales Beat Estimates - scanx.trade — scanx.trade positive
- NEWS Stag Industrial (STAG) Q2 FFO Meet Estimates - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance neutral
- NEWS STAG Industrial earnings beat by $0.01, revenue topped estimates - Investing.com — Investing.com positive
- NEWS STAG INDUSTRIAL ($STAG) Releases Q2 2026 Earnings - Quiver Quantitative — Quiver Quantitative neutral
Generated 2026-10-29T11:14:35Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHPropertyindustrial properties10-K Item 1A: 'all our buildings were industrial properties'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
10 dimensions · all in-band
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $36.31 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Property Type: industrial properties. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 57. Prior stop was $35.03. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.
Analyst target $35.96 reached (−1.0% from $36.31); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $35.03. Stop-loss: $35.03.
Concentration risk — Property Type: industrial properties; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3).
Stag Industrial, Inc. trades at a P/E of 25.8 (forward 41.3). TrendMatrix value score: 5.2/10. Verdict: Sell.
18 analysts cover STAG with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $41.
What does Stag Industrial, Inc. do?STAG Industrial is a REIT owning 601 industrial buildings across 41 U.S. states totaling approximately 120.0 million...
STAG Industrial is a REIT owning 601 industrial buildings across 41 U.S. states totaling approximately 120.0 million rentable square feet, with the portfolio 96.4% leased at December 31, 2025. Revenue comes from leasing industrial properties, with no single tenant exceeding 2.8% of total annualized base rental revenue across the broadly diversified portfolio.