Skip to main content
SLNOSoleno Therapeutics, Inc.Sell5.3·$53.02+0.06%
Open full analysis

Soleno Therapeutics, Inc. (SLNO) Stock Analysis

SellDEATH CROSS (EXEMPT)Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $53.02 — A.R:R is negative (-0.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: VYKAT XR.

Soleno Therapeutics received FDA approval on March 26, 2025 for VYKAT XR (diazoxide choline extended-release), the first approved treatment for hyperphagia in Prader-Willi syndrome patients age 4+. Revenue began in Q2 2025 from VYKAT XR sales; the company had net income of... Read more

$53.02+15.0% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#64 of 157 Biotechnology
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield3.32%
Stop $52.89Target $60.96(default +15%)A.R:R -0.9:1
Analyst target$53.00-0.0%5 analysts
Range unavailable (5 analysts)

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $53.02 — A.R:R is negative (-0.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: VYKAT XR. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, positive momentum, news events none recent, earnings proximity 55d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202655d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Wide economic moat
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: VYKAT XR
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Expensive valuation

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)27.5
P/E (Fwd)-23.4
Mkt Cap$2.8B
EV/EBITDA28.0
Profit Mgn33.7%
ROE26.4%
Rev Growth
Beta-2.22
DividendNone
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.63bullish
IV61%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductVYKAT XR
    10-K Item 1A: 'we have just begun to generate product revenue and are dependent upon the success of VYKAT XR'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-26Item 5.02LOW
    Jennifer Fulk appointed CFO effective March 2, 2026, succeeding James Mackaness who intends to retire by end of March. Fulk was previously CFO of 120Water Inc. and Talkspace, Inc. Planned succession; no disagreement cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.0
Bollinger
1.4
52w Position
1.7

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Analyst Target
3.0
Ps
3.7
Pe
4.7
Expensive valuation
GatesA.R:R -0.9=NEGATIVEDeath cross exempted (quality + momentum high enough)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.0>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 55d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
93 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $52.65Resistance $53.01

Price Targets

$53
$61
A.Upside+15.0%
A.R:R-0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-13.0% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (55d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SLNO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $53.02 — A.R:R is negative (-0.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: VYKAT XR. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $52.89. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SLNO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $60.96 (+15.0% upside). Prior stop was $52.89. Stop-loss: $52.89.

What are the risks of investing in SLNO?

Concentration risk — Product: VYKAT XR; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Expensive valuation.

Is SLNO overvalued or undervalued?

Soleno Therapeutics, Inc. trades at a P/E of 27.5 (forward -23.4). TrendMatrix value score: 2.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SLNO?

16 analysts cover SLNO with a consensus score of 2.7/5. Average price target: $53.

What does Soleno Therapeutics, Inc. do?Soleno Therapeutics received FDA approval on March 26, 2025 for VYKAT XR (diazoxide choline extended-release), the...

Soleno Therapeutics received FDA approval on March 26, 2025 for VYKAT XR (diazoxide choline extended-release), the first approved treatment for hyperphagia in Prader-Willi syndrome patients age 4+. Revenue began in Q2 2025 from VYKAT XR sales; the company had net income of $20.9M in 2025 but an accumulated deficit of $431.4M from prior clinical-stage losses.

Related stocks: AUPH (Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Inc) · INCY (Incyte Corporation) · ADMA (ADMA Biologics Inc) · ONC (BeOne Medicines Ltd.) · HRMY (Harmony Biosciences Holdings, I)
Home Stocks SLNO

Latest news

Latest News

TMX Newsfile47d agoLegal
MarketBeat47d agoEarnings
Thelegaladvocate.com19d ago
ACCESS Newswire19d agoLegal
The National Law Review48d agoLegal
Moomoo27d agoMerger Acquisition
Newser28d ago
Meyka28d ago
Morningstar41d agoLegal
Morningstar41d agoLegal
PR Newswire41d agoLegal
PR Newswire42d agoLegal
PR Newswire42d agoLegal
Morningstar46d agoLegal
GlobeNewswire46d agoLegal
PR Newswire46d agoLegal
MSN47d ago
Newser.com33d ago
Stockhouse15d agoLegal
TradingView37d ago
Loading more...