Value
2.9/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 4.7 |
| P/S | 3.7 |
| EV/EBITDA | 0.0 |
| Analyst target | 3.0 |
- ▸Expensive valuation
SLNO · Why this verdict
Why Soleno Therapeutics (SLNO) is rated HOLD
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Show full disclosure ▾Hide full disclosure ▴
About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.
Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.
Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.
No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.
No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.
Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.
VerdictHOLD
Overall score5.3/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroRISK_OFF
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
8.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 8.8 |
| ROA | 8.0 |
| Gross margin | 10.0 |
| Op margin | 10.0 |
| Net margin | 10.0 |
| Current ratio | 7.4 |
| FCF quality | 6.8 |
| Moat | 8.0 |
| Piotroski F | 10.0 |
- ▸Excellent ROE: 26%
- ▸Strong margins: 34%
- ▸Wide economic moat
- ▸Compounder quality: strong returns + growth
Growth
5.0/10data confidence 50%Momentum
6.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 3.3 |
| MACD | 0.0 |
| OBV | 10.0 |
| MA position | 7.5 |
| Volume | 10.0 |
| vol acceleration | 5.5 |
- ▸Overbought (RSI 93)
- ▸Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
- ▸Above 200-MA but MA slope flat/negative + RSI 93 (late-cycle distribution risk)
Sentiment
5.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 5.0 |
| Price target | 5.0 |
| erm sentiment | 5.0 |
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 5.0 |
- ▸Insider selling (low materiality) — $429,344 (0.016% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
4.5/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 4.7 |
| quality rank | 8.4 |
| growth rank | 5.0 |
- ▸Superior ROE vs peers
Technical
1.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 1.4 |
| support resistance | 0.0 |
| 52w position | 1.7 |
Risk (lower is worse)
7.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 7.9 |
| days to cover | 10.0 |
| volatility | 10.0 |
| put call | 9.2 |
| implied vol | 0.2 |
| debt equity | 9.6 |
- ▸Short squeeze setup: 18% short, quality 7.5
- ▸High IV: 79%
- ▸Concentration risks: 1 HIGH (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)
Catalyst
6.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 3.5 |
| earnings history | 6.7 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 10.0 |
- ▸Strong earnings: 3B/1M
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
News gate: 0 distinct critical events (0 MATERIAL_RISK articles).
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_E_WIDE_MOAT|NEWS_GATE:BLOCKEDPassed (7)
- MOMENTUM:6.0>=5.5
- INSIDER:OK
- DEATH_CROSS:QUALITY_MOMENTUM_EXEMPT
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:58d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
- ASYMMETRY:-0.9=NEGATIVE
Warning (2)
- DEATH_CROSS:quality=8.8>=7.5+momentum=6.0>=5.0 exempted
- 8K_CSUITE_CHANGE:5.02 (officer departure/appointment)
Reward-to-Risk
-0.87
Upside
-13.0%
Downside
15.0%
Sizing output
STARTER
SetupUNKNOWN — No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — MCap $2.8B<$5B
Investment implication
The HOLD_IF_HOLDING verdict reflects the ASYMMETRY gate's -0.9=NEGATIVE outcome against Quality at 8.8 and asymmetric R:R of -0.87.
The strongest dimensions are Quality at 8.8, Risk (lower is worse) at 7.8, and Catalyst at 6.3; the weakest are Technical at 1.0, Value at 2.9, and Peer rank at 4.5. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate with 2 warnings, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of -0.87 and an engine sizing output of STARTER.