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Harmony Biosciences Holdings, I (HRMY) Stock Analysis

HoldHigh Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Harmony Biosciences Holdings, Inc., a commercial-stage pharmaceutical company, focuses on developing and commercializing therapies for patients with rare neurological diseases in the United States. The company offers WAKIX (pitolisant), a molecule with a novel mechanism of... Read more

$27.59+29.4% upside
Score 6.6/10Target $35.70Reward/Risk 5.0:1

TrendMatrix rates Harmony Biosciences Holdings, I (HRMY) as Hold with high confidence. The stock trades at $27.59 with +29.4% upside to the $35.70 price target. Overall score: 6.6/10 across 10 analysis dimensions. Reward/risk ratio: 5.0:1.

Passes 3/5 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Val9.5Qual8.2Grw8.9Mom3.4Sent6.1Ins3.2Peer5.3Tech5.8Risk7.06.6OVERALL

Investment Thesis

+ V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.2 in RISK_OFF)
+ Sector modifier (): +1.2
+ High-quality business
- Consecutive earnings misses (2)
- Earnings estimates trending DOWN
- Negative momentum

Fundamentals

P/E (TTM)10.0
P/E (Fwd)4.7
Mkt Cap$1.6B
EV/EBITDA4.2
Profit Mgn18.3%
ROE20.8%
Rev Growth21.1%
Beta0.91
DividendNone
Analysts17
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HRMY stock a buy right now?

TrendMatrix rates Harmony Biosciences Holdings, I (HRMY) as Hold with high confidence. Score 6.6/10.

What is the HRMY stock price target?

Take-profit target: $35.70 (+29.4% upside). Reward/risk ratio: 5.0:1. Stop-loss: $25.95.

What are the risks of investing in HRMY?

Consecutive earnings misses (2); Earnings estimates trending DOWN; Negative momentum.

Is HRMY overvalued or undervalued?

Harmony Biosciences Holdings, I trades at a P/E of 10.0 (forward 4.7). TrendMatrix value score: 9.5/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about HRMY?

17 analysts cover HRMY with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $42.

What does Harmony Biosciences Holdings, I do?Harmony Biosciences Holdings, Inc., a commercial-stage pharmaceutical company, focuses on developing and...

Harmony Biosciences Holdings, Inc., a commercial-stage pharmaceutical company, focuses on developing and commercializing therapies for patients with rare neurological diseases in the United States. The company offers WAKIX (pitolisant), a molecule with a novel mechanism of action for the treatment of excessive daytime sleepiness in adult patients with narcolepsy. It also develops Pitolisant that is in Phase 3 clinical trial for the treatment of Prader-Willi Syndrome (PWS); in Phase 2 clinical trial to treat Myotonic Dystrophy (DM1); and is in Phase 2 clinical trials for the treatment of Pitolisant Gastro-Resistant (GR) and Pitolisant High-Dose (HD). In addition, the company's products under development include BP1.15205, an orexin 2 receptor agonist for the treatment of narcolepsy and other potential indications; and HBS-102, a melanin-concentrating hormone receptor type 1 (MCHR1) antagonist. Further, it develops ZYN-002 that is in a Phase 3 registrational trial for the treatment of Fragile X Syndrome; and 22q Deletion Syndrome, a disorder caused by a small missing piece on the long arm of the 22nd chromosome. Additionally, the company is developing EPX-100 (clemizole hydrochloride), a serotonin (5HT-2) receptor agonist to treat dravet syndrome and lenox-gastaut syndrome; EPX-200 (liquid formulation of lorcaserin), a selective 5HT-2C agonist to treat developmental and epileptic encephalopathies; CBS105 for the treatment-resistant narcolepsy; and CBS104 for refractory epilepsy. The company was formerly known as Harmony Biosciences II, Inc. and changed its name to Harmony Biosciences Holdings, Inc. in February 2020. Harmony Biosciences Holdings, Inc. was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in Plymouth Meeting, Pennsylvania.

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39 NEUTRAL
<20d<50d<200dDEATH CROSSSupp $26.75Res $29.36

Price Targets

$26
$36
Upside+29.4%
Reward/Risk5.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNONE
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRISK_OFF

Risk Alerts

! MOMENTUM:3.4<5.0
! DEATH_CROSS:HARD_BLOCK
TEMP HEADWINDSuitability: Aggressive
Risk/Reward 5.9>=2.0
Insider activity: OK
No SEC red flags
Momentum 3.4<5.0
Death cross (50MA < 200MA)