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ONCBeOne Medicines Ltd.Hold6.6·$309.46+3.97%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

BeOne Medicines combines 36% revenue growth, a Piotroski F-Score of 9/9, a wide economic moat, and a Rule of 40 score of 51 with strong analyst conviction (54% upside consensus), but the stock is in a confirmed falling knife pattern with RSI at 22, a death cross in place, and BRUKINSA product concentration risk from a single revenue driver.

Thesis pillars

  • Brukinsa Concentration Growth EngineStable
  • Wide Moat Compounder QualityStable
  • Falling Knife Technical SetupStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

BeOne Medicines Ltd. (ONC) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $309.46, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: BRUKINSA; Overbought (RSI 82).

BeOne Medicines discovers and commercializes oncology medicines globally, led by BRUKINSA (zanubrutinib), a BTK inhibitor approved in 77 markets, and TEVIMBRA (tislelizumab), an anti-PD-1 antibody approved in 51 markets. The company generated approximately $5.3 billion in total... Read more

$309.46+19.9% A.UpsideScore 6.6/10#7 of 253 Biotechnology
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield2.73%
Stop $291.00Target $371.14(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.3:1
Analyst target$412.38+33.3%27 analysts
$371.14our TP
$309.46price
$412.38mean
$501

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $309.46, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: BRUKINSA; Overbought (RSI 82). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 82. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost earnings 0.70, earnings proximity 30d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202630d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: BRUKINSA
Overbought (RSI 82)
Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.6%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)67.5
P/E (Fwd)30.6
Mkt Cap$30.9B
EV/EBITDA36.8
Profit Mgn8.9%
ROE12.4%
Rev Growth35.5%
Beta0.49
DividendNone
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.43bullish
IV52%elevated
Max Pain$230-25.7% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductBRUKINSA
    10-K Item 1: 'total global revenue of approximately $5.3 billion ... BRUKINSA generated $3.9 billion in sales in 2025'
  • MEDIUMGeographicChina
    10-K Item 1A: 'which could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations in China'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·2 ceiling hits

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
1.1
Gap
4.0
52w Position
6.1
GatesA.R:R 1.3 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST EARNINGS 0.70EARNINGS PROXIMITY 30d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Speculative
RSI
82 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $253.95Resistance $316.00

Price Targets

$291
$371
A.Upside+19.9%
A.R:R1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 1.3 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (30d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ONC stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $309.46, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: BRUKINSA; Overbought (RSI 82). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 82. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $371.14 (+19.9%), stop $291.00 (−6.3%), A.R:R 1.3:1. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ONC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $371.14 (+19.9% upside). Target $371.14 (+19.9%), stop $291.00 (−6.3%), A.R:R 1.3:1. Stop-loss: $291.00.

What are the risks of investing in ONC?

Concentration risk — Product: BRUKINSA; Overbought (RSI 82); Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.6%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is ONC overvalued or undervalued?

BeOne Medicines Ltd. trades at a P/E of 67.5 (forward 30.6). TrendMatrix value score: 5.4/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about ONC?

12 analysts cover ONC with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $412.

What does BeOne Medicines Ltd. do?BeOne Medicines discovers and commercializes oncology medicines globally, led by BRUKINSA (zanubrutinib), a BTK...

BeOne Medicines discovers and commercializes oncology medicines globally, led by BRUKINSA (zanubrutinib), a BTK inhibitor approved in 77 markets, and TEVIMBRA (tislelizumab), an anti-PD-1 antibody approved in 51 markets. The company generated approximately $5.3 billion in total revenue in 2025, with BRUKINSA contributing $3.9 billion in sales, and employs nearly 12,000 people across research, clinical, and commercial operations.

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