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ONCBeOne Medicines Ltd.Buy Wait6.5·$373.36
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

BeOne Medicines combines 36% revenue growth, a Piotroski F-Score of 9/9, a wide economic moat, and a Rule of 40 score of 51 with strong analyst conviction (54% upside consensus), but the stock is in a confirmed falling knife pattern with RSI at 22, a death cross in place, and BRUKINSA product concentration risk from a single revenue driver.

Thesis pillars

  • Brukinsa Concentration Growth Engine→Stable
  • Wide Moat Compounder Quality→Stable
  • Falling Knife Technical Setup→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 26, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

BeOne Medicines Ltd. (ONC) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Earnings in 7 days (2026-11-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $346.02. At $373.36 the A.R:R is 0.6:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $346.02 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Product: BRUKINSA; Thin upside margin: 5.2%.

BeOne Medicines discovers and commercializes oncology medicines globally, led by BRUKINSA (zanubrutinib), a BTK inhibitor approved in 77 markets, and TEVIMBRA (tislelizumab), an anti-PD-1 antibody approved in 51 markets. The company generated approximately $5.3 billion in total... Read more

$373.36+5.2% A.UpsideScore 6.5/10#19 of 241 Biotechnology
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield2.07%
Entry $346.02(support + ATR (held))Stop $330.23Target $392.81(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.6:1
Analyst consensus$436.46+16.9%27 analysts
$392.81our TP
$373.36price
$436.46mean
$528

Wait for pullback to $346.02. At $373.36 the A.R:R is 0.6:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $346.02 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Product: BRUKINSA; Thin upside margin: 5.2%. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Growth is outpacing valuation and the technical setup has confirmed a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.00, quality 7.7/10, growth 9.9/10). Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 20267d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.7 in RISK_OFF)
Sector modifier (Healthcare): +0.5
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: BRUKINSA
Thin upside margin: 5.2%
Near 52-week high (3.9% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)66.8
P/E (Fwd)35.7
Mkt Cap$42.5B
EV/EBITDA36.8
Profit Mgn10.7%
ROE14.7%
Rev Growth29.6%
Beta0.61
DividendNone
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder✓

Options Flow

P/C0.51bullish
IV44%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductBRUKINSA
    10-K Item 1: 'total global revenue of approximately $5.3 billion ... BRUKINSA generated $3.9 billion in sales in 2025'
  • MEDIUMGeographicChina
    10-K Item 1A: 'which could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations in China'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesA.R:R 0.6 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 7d<=7dMomentum 5.3<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.3>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Speculative
RSI
64 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $340.44Resistance $388.66

Price Targets

$330
$346
$393
A.Upside+5.2%
A.R:R0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.6%
Max %1.3%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! RISK-OFF: MID-cap BUY_NOW needs quality>=8.5 or MoS>=50%
! asymmetry at 0.6 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:7d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (7d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ONC stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $346.02. At $373.36 the A.R:R is 0.6:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $346.02 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Product: BRUKINSA; Thin upside margin: 5.2%. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Growth is outpacing valuation and the technical setup has confirmed a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.00, quality 7.7/10, growth 9.9/10). Target $392.81 (+5.2%), stop $330.23 (−13.1%), A.R:R 0.6:1. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ONC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $392.81 (+5.2% upside). Target $392.81 (+5.2%), stop $330.23 (−13.1%), A.R:R 0.6:1. Stop-loss: $330.23.

What are the risks of investing in ONC?

Concentration risk — Product: BRUKINSA; Thin upside margin: 5.2%; Near 52-week high (3.9% away).

Is ONC overvalued or undervalued?

BeOne Medicines Ltd. trades at a P/E of 66.8 (forward 35.7). TrendMatrix value score: 4.8/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about ONC?

11 analysts cover ONC with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $436.

What does BeOne Medicines Ltd. do?BeOne Medicines discovers and commercializes oncology medicines globally, led by BRUKINSA (zanubrutinib), a BTK...

BeOne Medicines discovers and commercializes oncology medicines globally, led by BRUKINSA (zanubrutinib), a BTK inhibitor approved in 77 markets, and TEVIMBRA (tislelizumab), an anti-PD-1 antibody approved in 51 markets. The company generated approximately $5.3 billion in total revenue in 2025, with BRUKINSA contributing $3.9 billion in sales, and employs nearly 12,000 people across research, clinical, and commercial operations.

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