Sunstone Hotel Investors, Inc. (SHO) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the SHO stock price target?

Entry $9.07, take-profit $9.70 (+6.9% upside). Target $9.70 (-1.8%), stop $8.69 (−13.7%), A.R:R -1.1:1.

Breakout setup

HoldModerate ConfidenceUpdated 2026-05-02

Real Estate · REIT - Hotel & Motel

Earnings in 3 days (2026-05-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sunstone Hotel Investors is a REIT owning 14 upper upscale and luxury hotels (6,999 rooms) in 7 states and Washington, DC, operated under Marriott, Hyatt, Four Seasons, Hilton, Montage, and independent brands. Revenue is generated through lease income from the TRS Lessee... Read more

$9.88+6.9% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#3 of 9 REIT - Hotel & Motel

Entry $9.07(200-day MA)Stop $8.69Target $9.70(resistance)A.R:R -1.1:1Setup A.R:R 1.6:1

Analyst target$10.08+2.1%12 analysts

$9.70our TP

$9.88price

$10.08mean

$11

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $9.88, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: California (Northern and Southern) (44.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $9.88 has reached target $9.70. No upside to wait for. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 3d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards

No bull case signals

Risks

Concentration risk — Geographic: California (Northern and Southern) (44.0%)

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Near 52-week high (3.8% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)245.5

P/E (Fwd)78.6

Mkt Cap$1.9B

EV/EBITDA14.1

Profit Mgn2.6%

ROE1.2%

Rev Growth10.3%

Beta0.98

Dividend3.67%

Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

IV106%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

HIGHGeographicCalifornia (Northern and Southern)44%
10-K Item 1A: 'Northern California| | 3| | 15| % | | 22| % Southern California| | 2| | 22| % | | 22| %'
MEDIUMGeographicHawaii14%
10-K Item 1A: 'Hawaii| | 1| | 8| % | | 14| %'
MEDIUMPropertyupper upscale and luxury hotels
10-K Item 1A: 'we own upper upscale and luxury hotels located in convention, urban, and resort destinations in an industry that is highly competitive'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value4.615%0.69

Quality4.415%0.66

Growth7.515%1.13

Momentum6.210%0.62

Sentiment5.810%0.58

Insider Activity5.010%0.50

Peer Rank4.010%0.40

Technical Setup3.95%0.20

Risk Profile6.65%0.33

Catalyst6.25%0.31

Overall (Σ contributions)5.41

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance

0.2

Bollinger

1.8

52w Position

9.8

GatesA.R:R -1.1=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 3d<=7dMomentum 6.2>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive

RSI

62 · Neutral

↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $8.89Resistance $9.90

Price Targets

$10

A.Upside-1.8%

A.R:R-1.1:1

Setup A.R:R (at entry)1.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-11.2% upside)

! Earnings in 3 days - binary event risk

! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

1/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-05-05 (3d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is SHO stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $9.88, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: California (Northern and Southern) (44.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $9.88 has reached target $9.70. No upside to wait for. Target $9.70 (-1.8%), stop $8.69 (−13.7%), A.R:R -1.1:1. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SHO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $9.70 (+6.9% upside). Target $9.70 (-1.8%), stop $8.69 (−13.7%), A.R:R -1.1:1. Stop-loss: $8.69.

What are the risks of investing in SHO?

Concentration risk — Geographic: California (Northern and Southern) (44.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.8% away).

Is SHO overvalued or undervalued?

Sunstone Hotel Investors, Inc. trades at a P/E of 245.5 (forward 78.6). TrendMatrix value score: 4.6/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about SHO?

16 analysts cover SHO with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $10.

What does Sunstone Hotel Investors, Inc. do?Sunstone Hotel Investors is a REIT owning 14 upper upscale and luxury hotels (6,999 rooms) in 7 states and Washington,...