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CLDTChatham Lodging Trust (REIT)Sell5.8·$14.89
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Chatham Lodging Trust is a hotel REIT with a perfect 4-quarter earnings beat streak, strong cash conversion and a breakout chart, but at $14.03 the price is already above the $12.18 analyst target, so little upside remains.

Thesis pillars

  • Analyst Target Already Exceeded→Stable
  • Perfect Earnings Beat Streak→Stable
  • Strong Cash Conversion Thin Returns→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Oct 24, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 27, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Chatham Lodging Trust (REIT) (CLDT) Stock Analysis

SellValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Hotel & Motel

Earnings in 6 days (2026-11-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $14.89 — A.R:R is negative (-1.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.2% away).

Chatham Lodging Trust is an internally-managed hotel REIT that owns 33 upscale extended-stay and premium-branded select-service hotels with 5,021 rooms across 15 states and Washington, D.C., primarily flagged under Marriott and Hilton brands. The trust leases each hotel to a... Read more

$14.89-17.2% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#3 of 12 REIT - Hotel & Motel
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield10.51%
IncomeYield2.69%(5y avg 5.74%)Payout475.00%
Stop $14.01Analyst target $12.32(reached)A.R:R -1.5:1
Analyst consensus$14.50-2.6%3 analysts
$14.89price
$14.50mean
$13
$16

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $14.89 — A.R:R is negative (-1.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.2% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 20266d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (0.2% away)
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)186.1
P/E (Fwd)-124.1
Mkt Cap$731M
EV/EBITDA12.8
Profit Mgn4.0%
ROE1.6%
Rev Growth9.4%
Beta1.13
Dividend2.69%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.33bullish
IV99%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.2
52w Position
10.0
GatesA.R:R -1.5=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dMomentum 6.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
76 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $13.18Resistance $14.92

Price Targets

A.Upside-17.2%
A.R:R-1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-17.2% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:6d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CLDT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $14.89 — A.R:R is negative (-1.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.2% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $14.01. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CLDT stock price target?

Analyst target $12.32 reached (−17.2% from $14.89); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $14.01. Stop-loss: $14.01.

What are the risks of investing in CLDT?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.2% away); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9).

Is CLDT overvalued or undervalued?

Chatham Lodging Trust (REIT) trades at a P/E of 186.1 (forward -124.1). TrendMatrix value score: 4.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CLDT?

10 analysts cover CLDT with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $15.

What does Chatham Lodging Trust (REIT) do?Chatham Lodging Trust is an internally-managed hotel REIT that owns 33 upscale extended-stay and premium-branded...

Chatham Lodging Trust is an internally-managed hotel REIT that owns 33 upscale extended-stay and premium-branded select-service hotels with 5,021 rooms across 15 states and Washington, D.C., primarily flagged under Marriott and Hilton brands. The trust leases each hotel to a taxable REIT subsidiary, which contracts day-to-day operations to Island Hospitality Management, the sole manager of all 33 properties.

Related stocks: DRH (Diamondrock Hospitality Company) · APLE (Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc.) · INN (Summit Hotel Properties, Inc.) · RLJ (RLJ Lodging Trust) · PK (Park Hotels & Resorts Inc.)
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