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Diamondrock Hospitality Company (DRH) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Hotel & Motel

Sell if holding. At $10.43, A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Property Type: hotels; Concentration risk — Geographic: major metropolitan markets (71.0%).

DiamondRock Hospitality is a self-managed lodging REIT owning 35 premium hotels and resorts with 9,595 rooms across 26 U.S. markets. Revenue flows through TRS lessees from third-party-managed hotels; over 97% of 2025 revenues were from core urban and destination resort hotels.... Read more

$10.43+0.4% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#4 of 9 REIT - Hotel & Motel
Stop $9.94Target $10.42(resistance)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst target$10.90+4.5%13 analysts
$10.42our TP
$10.43price
$10.90mean
$10
$13

Sell if holding. At $10.43, A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Property Type: hotels; Concentration risk — Geographic: major metropolitan markets (71.0%). Chart setup: RSI 56 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/6 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Concentration risk — Property Type: hotels
Concentration risk — Geographic: major metropolitan markets (71.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)23.2
P/E (Fwd)18.4
Mkt Cap$2.1B
EV/EBITDA11.6
Profit Mgn9.3%
ROE6.9%
Rev Growth1.3%
Beta
Dividend3.53%
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.56bullish
IV92%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHPropertyhotels
    10-K Item 1A: 'We own hotels, which may be a more volatile asset class than those owned by other REITs'
  • HIGHGeographicmajor metropolitan markets71%
    10-K Item 1A: 'several of our hotels are in major metropolitan markets...These hotels constitute 71% of our total revenues in 2025'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-25Item 5.02LOW
    Chairman William McCarten announced he will retire and not stand for reelection at the April 29, 2026 Annual Meeting. Bruce Wardinski named incoming non-executive Chairman. No disagreement cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Macd
3.7
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.8<4.5A.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
56 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $9.28Resistance $10.63

Price Targets

$10
$10
A.Upside-0.1%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-8.6% upside)
! Momentum score 3.8/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-30 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DRH stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $10.43, A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Property Type: hotels; Concentration risk — Geographic: major metropolitan markets (71.0%). Chart setup: RSI 56 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $9.94. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the DRH stock price target?

Take-profit target: $10.42 (+0.4% upside). Prior stop was $9.94. Stop-loss: $9.94.

What are the risks of investing in DRH?

Concentration risk — Property Type: hotels; Concentration risk — Geographic: major metropolitan markets (71.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is DRH overvalued or undervalued?

Diamondrock Hospitality Company trades at a P/E of 23.2 (forward 18.4). TrendMatrix value score: 5.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about DRH?

17 analysts cover DRH with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $11.

What does Diamondrock Hospitality Company do?DiamondRock Hospitality is a self-managed lodging REIT owning 35 premium hotels and resorts with 9,595 rooms across 26...

DiamondRock Hospitality is a self-managed lodging REIT owning 35 premium hotels and resorts with 9,595 rooms across 26 U.S. markets. Revenue flows through TRS lessees from third-party-managed hotels; over 97% of 2025 revenues were from core urban and destination resort hotels. About 18 of 35 hotels operate under Marriott, Hilton, or IHG franchise agreements.

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