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DRHDiamondrock Hospitality CompanySell5.4·$11.70+0.00%
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Diamondrock Hospitality Company (DRH) Stock Analysis

SellHigh Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Hotel & Motel

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $11.70 — A.R:R is negative (-0.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: major metropolitan market hotels (71.0%).

DiamondRock Hospitality is a self-managed hotel REIT owning 35 premium hotels with 9,595 rooms across 26 U.S. markets, primarily luxury and upper-upscale urban and destination resort properties. Revenue is earned through hotel operations managed by third-party operators under... Read more

$11.70-0.1% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#3 of 9 REIT - Hotel & Motel
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield4.11%
IncomeYield3.09%(5y avg 4.88%)Payout71.74%
Stop $11.14Target $11.63(resistance)A.R:R -0.9:1
Analyst target$11.87+1.5%13 analysts
$11.63our TP
$11.70price
$11.87mean
$10
$13

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $11.70 — A.R:R is negative (-0.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: major metropolitan market hotels (71.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.4/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 56d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-11
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202656d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: major metropolitan market hotels (71.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (1.9% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)25.3
P/E (Fwd)21.2
Mkt Cap$2.4B
EV/EBITDA12.6
Profit Mgn9.3%
ROE6.9%
Rev Growth1.3%
Beta1.02
Dividend3.09%
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.50bullish
IV73%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicmajor metropolitan market hotels71%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Several of our hotels are in major metropolitan markets that have been, or may be, targets of terrorist attacks or active shooter incidents. These hotels constitute 71% of our total revenues in 2025.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-25Item 5.02LOW
    Board Chairman William W. McCarten retiring from Board at end of current term (April 29, 2026 annual meeting); not standing for re-election. Bruce D. Wardinski to become non-executive Chairman. No disagreement cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -0.9=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 56d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
79 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $10.25Resistance $11.87

Price Targets

$11
$12
A.Upside-0.6%
A.R:R-0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-11.3% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (56d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DRH stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $11.70 — A.R:R is negative (-0.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: major metropolitan market hotels (71.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $11.14. Score 5.4/10, high confidence.

What is the DRH stock price target?

Take-profit target: $11.63 (-0.1% upside). Prior stop was $11.14. Stop-loss: $11.14.

What are the risks of investing in DRH?

Concentration risk — Geographic: major metropolitan market hotels (71.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.9% away).

Is DRH overvalued or undervalued?

Diamondrock Hospitality Company trades at a P/E of 25.3 (forward 21.2). TrendMatrix value score: 4.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about DRH?

18 analysts cover DRH with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $12.

What does Diamondrock Hospitality Company do?DiamondRock Hospitality is a self-managed hotel REIT owning 35 premium hotels with 9,595 rooms across 26 U.S. markets,...

DiamondRock Hospitality is a self-managed hotel REIT owning 35 premium hotels with 9,595 rooms across 26 U.S. markets, primarily luxury and upper-upscale urban and destination resort properties. Revenue is earned through hotel operations managed by third-party operators under Marriott, Hilton, IHG, or independent brands.

Related stocks: HST (Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc.) · RHP (Ryman Hospitality Properties, I) · SHO (Sunstone Hotel Investors, Inc. ) · XHR (Xenia Hotels & Resorts, Inc.) · RLJ (RLJ Lodging Trust)
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