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RHPRyman Hospitality Properties, ISell5.6·$122.81+1.12%
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Ryman Hospitality Properties, I (RHP) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Hotel & Motel

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $122.81 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Counterparty: Marriott.

Ryman Hospitality Properties is a REIT owning 11,869-room network of upscale group-oriented convention hotels (Gaylord Hotels and JW Marriott brands) and the Opry Entertainment Group. Hospitality generated 83% and Entertainment 17% of total 2025 revenues; all hotels are... Read more

$122.81-1.6% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#2 of 9 REIT - Hotel & Motel
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield7.23%
IncomeYield3.87%(5y avg 5.00%)Payout123.68%
Stop $117.25Target $120.88(resistance)A.R:R -0.7:1
Analyst target$123.20+0.3%15 analysts
$120.88our TP
$122.81price
$123.20mean
$112
$133

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $122.81 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Counterparty: Marriott. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 54d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202654d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive momentum
Risks
Concentration risk — Counterparty: Marriott
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (0.4% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)32.4
P/E (Fwd)24.8
Mkt Cap$7.8B
EV/EBITDA15.0
Profit Mgn9.5%
ROE23.4%
Rev Growth13.2%
Beta1.23
Dividend3.87%
Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.42bullish
IV62%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHcounterpartyMarriott
    10-K Item 1A: 'The operation and management of our current hotel properties, the operation of which generates substantially all our Hospitality segment revenue, is concentrated in Marriott.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.3
Bollinger
0.8
52w Position
9.9
GatesA.R:R -0.7=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.2>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 54d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
79 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $103.92Resistance $123.35

Price Targets

$117
$121
A.Upside-1.6%
A.R:R-0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-9.7% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (54d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RHP stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $122.81 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Counterparty: Marriott. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $117.25. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RHP stock price target?

Take-profit target: $120.88 (-1.6% upside). Prior stop was $117.25. Stop-loss: $117.25.

What are the risks of investing in RHP?

Concentration risk — Counterparty: Marriott; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.4% away).

Is RHP overvalued or undervalued?

Ryman Hospitality Properties, I trades at a P/E of 32.4 (forward 24.8). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about RHP?

19 analysts cover RHP with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $123.

What does Ryman Hospitality Properties, I do?Ryman Hospitality Properties is a REIT owning 11,869-room network of upscale group-oriented convention hotels (Gaylord...

Ryman Hospitality Properties is a REIT owning 11,869-room network of upscale group-oriented convention hotels (Gaylord Hotels and JW Marriott brands) and the Opry Entertainment Group. Hospitality generated 83% and Entertainment 17% of total 2025 revenues; all hotels are day-to-day managed exclusively by Marriott.

Related stocks: HST (Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc.) · XHR (Xenia Hotels & Resorts, Inc.) · DRH (Diamondrock Hospitality Company) · SHO (Sunstone Hotel Investors, Inc. ) · RLJ (RLJ Lodging Trust)
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