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Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc. (APLE) Stock Analysis

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Hotel & Motel

Earnings in 3 days (2026-05-04). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $13.39. BUY gates pass at $13.65, but concentration risk — Supplier: Marriott or Hilton brands and analyst target reached - limited upside remaining argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $13.39 (1 ATR pullback) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum.

Apple Hospitality REIT is one of the largest U.S. hospitality REITs by room count, owning 217 select-service hotels (29583 rooms) in 37 states and D.C., with substantially all operating under Marriott or Hilton brands. Revenue comes from hotel operations managed by 16... Read more

$13.65+17.3% A.UpsideScore 4.6/10#7 of 9 REIT - Hotel & Motel
Entry $13.39(1 ATR pullback)Stop $12.87Target $15.70(default +15%)A.R:R -1.1:1Setup A.R:R 4.4:1
Analyst target$13.13-3.8%8 analysts
$15.70our TP
$13.65price
$13.13mean
$12
$16

Wait for pullback to $13.39. BUY gates pass at $13.65, but concentration risk — Supplier: Marriott or Hilton brands and analyst target reached - limited upside remaining argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $13.39 (1 ATR pullback) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 3d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: Marriott or Hilton brands
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (-0.6% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)18.2
P/E (Fwd)19.0
Mkt Cap$3.2B
EV/EBITDA10.9
Profit Mgn12.4%
ROE5.5%
Rev Growth-2.0%
Beta0.82
Dividend7.13%
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.88neutral
IV63%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSupplierMarriott or Hilton brands
    10-K Item 1A: 'Substantially all of the Company's hotels operate under Marriott or Hilton brands; therefore, the Company is subject to risks associated with concentrating its portfolio in these brand families.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-13Item 5.02LOW
    Kristian Gathright resigned from the Board of Directors effective February 9, 2026 after seven years of service. Resignation is not due to any disagreement with the Company operations, policies or practices. No successor named.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -2.0% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
2.0
Earnings Growth
2.2
Declining revenue: -2%

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.0
Bollinger
1.2
52w Position
10.0
GatesA.R:R -1.1=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 3d<=7dMomentum 6.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
83 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $11.36Resistance $13.65

Price Targets

$13
$13
$16
A.Upside+15.0%
A.R:R-1.1:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)4.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-16.3% upside)
! Earnings in 3 days - binary event risk
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-04 (3d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is APLE stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $13.39. BUY gates pass at $13.65, but concentration risk — Supplier: Marriott or Hilton brands and analyst target reached - limited upside remaining argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $13.39 (1 ATR pullback) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $15.70 (+15.0%), stop $12.87 (−6.1%), Setup A.R:R 4.4:1. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the APLE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $15.70 (+17.3% upside). Target $15.70 (+15.0%), stop $12.87 (−6.1%), Setup A.R:R 4.4:1. Stop-loss: $12.87.

What are the risks of investing in APLE?

Concentration risk — Supplier: Marriott or Hilton brands; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (-0.6% away).

Is APLE overvalued or undervalued?

Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc. trades at a P/E of 18.2 (forward 19.0). TrendMatrix value score: 4.9/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about APLE?

16 analysts cover APLE with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $13.

What does Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc. do?Apple Hospitality REIT is one of the largest U.S. hospitality REITs by room count, owning 217 select-service hotels...

Apple Hospitality REIT is one of the largest U.S. hospitality REITs by room count, owning 217 select-service hotels (29583 rooms) in 37 states and D.C., with substantially all operating under Marriott or Hilton brands. Revenue comes from hotel operations managed by 16 third-party management companies; ADR was 159.06 and occupancy was 74.1% in 2025.

Related stocks: HST (Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc.) · RHP (Ryman Hospitality Properties, I) · SHO (Sunstone Hotel Investors, Inc. ) · DRH (Diamondrock Hospitality Company) · PK (Park Hotels & Resorts Inc.)