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SCHWCharles Schwab Corporation (TheHold6.3·$91.37+0.30%
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Charles Schwab Corporation (The (SCHW) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Capital Markets

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $91.37, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Counterparty: TD Depository Institutions; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5.

Charles Schwab is a savings and loan holding company providing brokerage, banking, wealth management, and asset management through Investor Services and Advisor Services segments. With $11.90 trillion in client assets and 38.5 million active brokerage accounts at December 31,... Read more

$91.37+14.2% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#8 of 40 Capital Markets
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield1.41%(5y avg 1.25%)Payout22.47%sustainable
Stop $86.97Target $104.45(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.7:1
Analyst target$116.05+27.0%19 analysts
$104.45our TP
$91.37price
$116.05mean
$84
$137

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $91.37, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Counterparty: TD Depository Institutions; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 56. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 30d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 16, 202630d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Counterparty: TD Depository Institutions
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5
Below 200-day MA

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)18.1
P/E (Fwd)12.6
Mkt Cap$158.4B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn38.0%
ROE19.1%
Rev Growth15.8%
Beta0.77
Dividend1.41%
Rating analysts28

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.47bearish
IV37%normal
Max Pain$68-26.1% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHcounterpartyTD Depository Institutions
    10-K Item 1: 'bank deposit account fees are primarily recognized pursuant to the Second Amended and Restated Insured Deposit Account Agreement ... with TD Bank USA, National Association and TD Bank, National Association'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
1.9
Support Resistance
2.1
52w Position
7.1

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
4.1
Value Rank
4.2
Quality Rank
7.1
Best-in-class margins
GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.2>=5.5A.R:R 1.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 30d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
56 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $83.96Resistance $93.43

Price Targets

$87
$104
A.Upside+14.3%
A.R:R1.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Analyst Consensus

Analysts28
Consensus4.1/5
Avg Target$116

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-16 (30d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SCHW stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $91.37, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Counterparty: TD Depository Institutions; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 56. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $104.45 (+14.3%), stop $86.97 (−5.1%), A.R:R 1.7:1. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SCHW stock price target?

Take-profit target: $104.45 (+14.2% upside). Target $104.45 (+14.3%), stop $86.97 (−5.1%), A.R:R 1.7:1. Stop-loss: $86.97.

What are the risks of investing in SCHW?

Concentration risk — Counterparty: TD Depository Institutions; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5; Below 200-day MA.

Is SCHW overvalued or undervalued?

Charles Schwab Corporation (The trades at a P/E of 18.1 (forward 12.6). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about SCHW?

28 analysts cover SCHW with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $116.

What does Charles Schwab Corporation (The do?Charles Schwab is a savings and loan holding company providing brokerage, banking, wealth management, and asset...

Charles Schwab is a savings and loan holding company providing brokerage, banking, wealth management, and asset management through Investor Services and Advisor Services segments. With $11.90 trillion in client assets and 38.5 million active brokerage accounts at December 31, 2025, revenue is primarily from net interest income, asset management fees, and bank deposit account fees from its multi-bank sweep program.

Related stocks: TW (Tradeweb Markets Inc.) · MS (Morgan Stanley) · LPLA (LPL Financial Holdings Inc.) · NMR (Nomura Holdings Inc) · GS (Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (The))
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