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TWTradeweb Markets Inc.Buy Wait6.0·$118.88
Buy WaitHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Tradeweb Markets combines best-in-class 40% net margins, a perfect four-quarter earnings beat streak, and 21% revenue growth with a quality score of 8.2 that is among the highest in the batch, but a put/call ratio of 7.42 and a below-trend price signal caution on near-term timing.

Thesis pillars

  • Extreme Put Call Ratio↓Deteriorating
  • Best In Class Margins Quality→Stable
  • Earnings Beat Streak Revenue Growth↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 5, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Tradeweb Markets Inc. (TW) Stock Analysis

Buy WaitQualityHigh Confidence

Financial Services · Capital Markets

Wait for pullback to $113.62. Price sits above the model's entry target of $113.62; the risk/reward becomes favorable on a pullback. Key risk: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Tradeweb Markets builds and operates electronic trading platforms for rates, credit, equities, and money markets, serving more than 3,000 clients in over 85 countries. Revenue comes from transaction fees and data subscriptions, with credit asset class revenues reaching $488.0... Read more

$118.88-3.2% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#21 of 50 Capital Markets
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield—
IncomeYield0.47%(5y avg 0.39%)Payout12.44%sustainable
Entry $113.62(Default 5pct Sticky)Stop $108.14Analyst target $115.02(reached)A.R:R -0.2:1
Analyst consensus$127.80+7.5%15 analysts
$118.88price
$127.80mean
$102
$182

Wait for pullback to $113.62. Price sits above the model's entry target of $113.62; the risk/reward becomes favorable on a pullback. Key risk: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Wide-moat business. Accumulate on weakness. Score 6.0/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Tradeweb Markets Inc.

About Tradeweb Markets Inc.

Tradeweb Markets posted $488.0 million in credit asset class revenues for the year ended December 31, 2025, part of a platform that processed $2.6 trillion in average daily volume — up 213% from $0.8 trillion in 2020. The company serves more than 3,000 clients across 85 countries spanning institutional, wholesale, retail, and corporate treasury sectors. LSEG is Tradeweb's controlling shareholder and simultaneously holds a market data distribution agreement through which it distributes Tradeweb pricing data via its flagship financial platforms.

Tradeweb generates revenue through transaction fees and subscription charges across rates, credit, equities, and money markets, with credit revenues having grown from a niche product to $488.0 million annually over more than a decade since launch. The institutional client sector is the largest, comprising asset managers, hedge funds, insurance companies, and central banks that trade primarily through Tradeweb's D2C protocols including RFQ, portfolio trading, and AiEX automated execution. Dealer clients are foundational to the marketplace model: without dealers willing to provide two-way liquidity, the D2C protocols fail. Competitors include Bloomberg and Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), each of which also offers data and analytics to institutional market participants and holds relationships with the vast majority of institutional, wholesale, and retail clients. The August 2024 acquisition of Institutional Cash Distributors broadened the company's offering to corporate treasury clients trading short-term instruments such as money market funds.

Show full overview

Tradeweb's relationship with LSEG spans ownership control and a commercial market data license, creating a dual dependency that the 10-K flags as a governance risk where LSEG's interests may conflict with those of other stockholders. LSEG controls Tradeweb under Nasdaq 'controlled company' status, which exempts it from certain board independence requirements. The market data license agreement with LSEG affiliates distributes Tradeweb pricing data through LSEG platforms; the filing also identifies potential expansion of this agreement as a key data monetization path, meaning LSEG's strategic priorities could shape Tradeweb's data distribution trajectory.

See also: Financial Services · Capital Markets

From Tradeweb Markets Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 16, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-30
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Oct 29, 2026Date unconfirmed· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.4 in RISK_OFF)
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)28.4
P/E (Fwd)25.4
Mkt Cap$25.9B
EV/EBITDA—
Profit Mgn40.7%
ROE14.5%
Rev Growth9.0%
Beta0.61
Dividend0.47%
Rating analysts24

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder✓

Options Flow

P/C0.31bullish
IV40%normal
Max Pain$80-32.7% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMcounterpartydealer clients
    10-K Item 1A: 'We are dependent on our dealer clients to support our marketplaces by transacting with our other institutional, wholesale and retail clients'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
70 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $102.20Resistance $123.63

Price Targets

A.Upside-3.2%
A.R:R-0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.6%
Max %1.3%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.2% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-29 (Date unconfirmed)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TW stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $113.62. Price sits above the model's entry target of $113.62; the risk/reward becomes favorable on a pullback. Key risk: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Wide-moat business. Accumulate on weakness. Analyst target $115.02 reached (−3.2%), stop $108.14 (−9.9%), A.R:R -0.2:1. Score 6.0/10, high confidence.

What is the TW stock price target?

Analyst target $115.02 reached (−3.2% from $118.88); no take-profit level is published. Analyst target $115.02 reached (−3.2%), stop $108.14 (−9.9%), A.R:R -0.2:1. Stop-loss: $108.14.

What are the risks of investing in TW?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is TW overvalued or undervalued?

Tradeweb Markets Inc. trades at a P/E of 28.4 (forward 25.4). TrendMatrix value score: 4.0/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about TW?

24 analysts cover TW with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $128.

What does Tradeweb Markets Inc. do?Tradeweb Markets builds and operates electronic trading platforms for rates, credit, equities, and money markets,...

Tradeweb Markets builds and operates electronic trading platforms for rates, credit, equities, and money markets, serving more than 3,000 clients in over 85 countries. Revenue comes from transaction fees and data subscriptions, with credit asset class revenues reaching $488.0 million for 2025 and average daily volume of $2.6 trillion. LSEG is the controlling shareholder.

Related stocks: LCLN (Lincoln International, Inc.) · PIPR (Piper Sandler Companies) · MRX (Marex Group Limited) · NMR (Nomura Holdings Inc) · FIGR (Figure Technology Solutions, In)
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