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Rayonier Inc. REIT (RYN) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Specialty

Earnings in 5 days (2026-05-06). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $21.15 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Thin upside margin: 8.4%; Earnings in 5 days (event risk).

Rayonier is a timberland REIT owning approximately 2.0 million acres in the U.S. South (1.69 million acres) and U.S. Pacific Northwest (307,000 acres), generating revenues from timber harvest, log trading, and higher-and-better-use real estate sales through Southern Timber,... Read more

$21.15+8.4% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#8 of 14 REIT - Specialty
Stop $20.30Target $22.91(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.7:1
Analyst target$26.33+24.5%6 analysts
$22.91our TP
$21.15price
$26.33mean
$32

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $21.15 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Thin upside margin: 8.4%; Earnings in 5 days (event risk). Chart setup: RSI 44 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Thin upside margin: 8.4%
Earnings in 5 days (event risk)
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)45.1
P/E (Fwd)34.8
Mkt Cap$6.4B
EV/EBITDA32.7
Profit Mgn97.9%
ROE3.6%
Rev Growth-81.9%
Beta1.00
Dividend5.08%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C1.81bearish
IV239%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-18Item 4.01HIGH
    Rayonier reported a change in the registrant's certifying accountant, with the earliest event dated March 12, 2026. No additional details available regarding the outgoing or incoming auditor from the truncated filing body.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
3.5
Macd
4.0
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope flat

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Value Rank
1.2
Quality Rank
4.6
Best-in-class margins
GatesMomentum 2.6<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dA.R:R 1.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
44 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $20.55Resistance $21.73

Price Targets

$20
$23
A.Upside+8.3%
A.R:R1.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 2.6/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:5d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-06 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RYN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $21.15 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Thin upside margin: 8.4%; Earnings in 5 days (event risk). Chart setup: RSI 44 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $20.30. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RYN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $22.91 (+8.4% upside). Prior stop was $20.30. Stop-loss: $20.30.

What are the risks of investing in RYN?

Thin upside margin: 8.4%; Earnings in 5 days (event risk); Negative momentum.

Is RYN overvalued or undervalued?

Rayonier Inc. REIT trades at a P/E of 45.1 (forward 34.8). TrendMatrix value score: 4.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about RYN?

10 analysts cover RYN with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $26.

What does Rayonier Inc. REIT do?Rayonier is a timberland REIT owning approximately 2.0 million acres in the U.S. South (1.69 million acres) and U.S....

Rayonier is a timberland REIT owning approximately 2.0 million acres in the U.S. South (1.69 million acres) and U.S. Pacific Northwest (307,000 acres), generating revenues from timber harvest, log trading, and higher-and-better-use real estate sales through Southern Timber, Pacific Northwest Timber, and Real Estate segments. In January 2026, Rayonier completed a merger-of-equals with PotlatchDeltic Corporation. The company conducts substantially all operations through Rayonier Operating Partnership (99.0% owned) and maintained REIT status as of December 31, 2025.

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