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RYNRayonier Inc. REITSell6.1·$21.02+1.15%
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Rayonier Inc. REIT (RYN) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Specialty

Sell if holding. At $21.02, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 7.8%; Concentration risk — Geographic: U.S. South timberlands (90.0%).

Rayonier is a timberland REIT with ~2.0M acres in the US South (1.69M acres) and Pacific Northwest (307K acres), generating revenue from timber harvest and sale across Southern Timber, Pacific Northwest Timber, and Real Estate segments. It completed a merger with PotlatchDeltic... Read more

$21.02+7.8% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#2 of 14 REIT - Specialty
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield5.55%
IncomeYield4.96%(5y avg 3.75%)Payout234.24%
Stop $20.08Target $22.62(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.1:1
Analyst target$26.00+23.7%6 analysts
$22.62our TP
$21.02price
$26.00mean
$32

Sell if holding. At $21.02, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 7.8%; Concentration risk — Geographic: U.S. South timberlands (90.0%). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 69. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 56d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and SEC filing concern. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-10
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202656d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: U.S. South timberlands (90.0%)
Thin upside margin: 7.8%
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)45.6
P/E (Fwd)31.8
Mkt Cap$6.3B
EV/EBITDA29.6
Profit Mgn68.6%
ROE1.8%
Rev Growth233.8%
Beta0.92
Dividend4.96%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.40bearish
IV76%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicU.S. South timberlands90%
    10-K Item 1: 'South| | | | | | 67,161 | | | 90 |'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-18Item 4.01HIGH
    Rayonier Inc. disclosed a change in certifying accountant effective March 12, 2026, following its January 30, 2026 merger with PotlatchDeltic. Full details of incoming/departing auditor not available in truncated filing.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesA.R:R 1.1 < 1.5@spotSEC critical: Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 56d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
69 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $19.56Resistance $21.41

Price Targets

$20
$23
A.Upside+7.6%
A.R:R1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 1.1 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! Critical SEC filing

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (56d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RYN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $21.02, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 7.8%; Concentration risk — Geographic: U.S. South timberlands (90.0%). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 69. Prior stop was $20.08. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RYN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $22.62 (+7.8% upside). Prior stop was $20.08. Stop-loss: $20.08.

What are the risks of investing in RYN?

Concentration risk — Geographic: U.S. South timberlands (90.0%); Thin upside margin: 7.8%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0).

Is RYN overvalued or undervalued?

Rayonier Inc. REIT trades at a P/E of 45.6 (forward 31.8). TrendMatrix value score: 4.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about RYN?

10 analysts cover RYN with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $26.

What does Rayonier Inc. REIT do?Rayonier is a timberland REIT with ~2.0M acres in the US South (1.69M acres) and Pacific Northwest (307K acres),...

Rayonier is a timberland REIT with ~2.0M acres in the US South (1.69M acres) and Pacific Northwest (307K acres), generating revenue from timber harvest and sale across Southern Timber, Pacific Northwest Timber, and Real Estate segments. It completed a merger with PotlatchDeltic on January 30, 2026, significantly expanding its portfolio and adding wood products manufacturing.

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