Skip to main content

Uniti Group Inc. (UNIT) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5High Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Specialty

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $11.84 — A.R:R is negative (-2.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.8% away).

Uniti Group is a digital infrastructure company formed from the 2025 merger of Old Uniti and Windstream, operating ~240,000 fiber route miles across 47 states via Kinetic (fiber broadband ILEC), Uniti Solutions (enterprise managed services), and Fiber Infrastructure segments.... Read more

$11.84+0.9% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#9 of 14 REIT - Specialty
Stop $11.01Target $11.94(resistance)A.R:R -2.5:1
Analyst target$8.50-28.2%9 analysts
$11.94our TP
$11.84price
$8.50mean
$6

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $11.84 — A.R:R is negative (-2.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.8% away). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.1/10, high confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Outperforming peers
Margin of safety: 84%
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (2.8% away)
Leverage penalty (D/E 26.5): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)2.4
P/E (Fwd)-16.7
Mkt Cap$2.9B
EV/EBITDA11.5
Profit Mgn58.4%
ROE
Rev Growth212.7%
Beta1.34
DividendNone
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C0.14bullish
IV86%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMregulatorygovernment funding programs
    10-K Item 1A: 'We are the recipient of a meaningful amount of end user revenue and government funding under various government programs, including broadband funding programs'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Macd
2.4
Rsi
5.0
Ma Position
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Negative sentiment — recent news tone and/or analyst downgrades drag the composite below neutral.static

Price Target
1.6
Llm Sentiment
3.5
Analyst Rating
5.0
Below analyst target
GatesMomentum 3.5<4.5A.R:R -2.5=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 9d<=14d (soft)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
66 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $10.05Resistance $12.18

Price Targets

$11
$12
A.Upside+0.8%
A.R:R-2.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-37.5% upside)
! Momentum score 3.5/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-11 (9d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is UNIT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $11.84 — A.R:R is negative (-2.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.8% away). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $11.01. Score 5.1/10, high confidence.

What is the UNIT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $11.94 (+0.9% upside). Prior stop was $11.01. Stop-loss: $11.01.

What are the risks of investing in UNIT?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.8% away); Leverage penalty (D/E 26.5): -1.5.

Is UNIT overvalued or undervalued?

Uniti Group Inc. trades at a P/E of 2.4 (forward -16.7). TrendMatrix value score: 4.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about UNIT?

14 analysts cover UNIT with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $9.

What does Uniti Group Inc. do?Uniti Group is a digital infrastructure company formed from the 2025 merger of Old Uniti and Windstream, operating...

Uniti Group is a digital infrastructure company formed from the 2025 merger of Old Uniti and Windstream, operating ~240,000 fiber route miles across 47 states via Kinetic (fiber broadband ILEC), Uniti Solutions (enterprise managed services), and Fiber Infrastructure segments. Total revenues were $2,234.5M in 2025. As of Dec 31, 2025, long-term debt was ~$9.5B.

Related stocks: GLPI (Gaming and Leisure Properties, ) · RYN (Rayonier Inc. REIT) · SBAC (SBA Communications Corporation) · FRMI (Fermi Inc.) · EPR (EPR Properties)