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UNITUniti Group Inc.Sell5.6·$12.77+2.00%
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Uniti Group Inc. (UNIT) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Specialty

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $12.77 — A.R:R is negative (-2.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.2% away).

Uniti Group is a digital infrastructure company formed via the August 2025 Windstream merger, operating ~240,000 fiber route miles across 47 states with 1.0M+ customers. Revenue of $2,234.5M in 2025 comes from Kinetic (ILEC broadband in 18 states, $928.4M), Uniti Solutions... Read more

$12.77-1.9% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#6 of 14 REIT - Specialty
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield3.77%
Stop $11.87Target $12.51(resistance)A.R:R -2.0:1
Analyst target$10.25-19.7%9 analysts
$12.51our TP
$12.77price
$10.25mean
$6
$16

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $12.77 — A.R:R is negative (-2.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.2% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 46d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202646d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Positive momentum
Outperforming peers
Margin of safety: 81%
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (0.2% away)
Leverage penalty (D/E 34.8): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)2.9
P/E (Fwd)-18.0
Mkt Cap$3.1B
EV/EBITDA10.1
Profit Mgn41.7%
ROE
Rev Growth236.0%
Beta1.42
DividendNone
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.19bullish
IV92%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.1
52w Position
10.0
GatesA.R:R -2.0=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.3>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 46d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
75 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $10.53Resistance $12.77

Price Targets

$12
$13
A.Upside-2.0%
A.R:R-2.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-30.1% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (46d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is UNIT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $12.77 — A.R:R is negative (-2.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.2% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $11.87. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the UNIT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $12.51 (-1.9% upside). Prior stop was $11.87. Stop-loss: $11.87.

What are the risks of investing in UNIT?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.2% away); Leverage penalty (D/E 34.8): -1.5.

Is UNIT overvalued or undervalued?

Uniti Group Inc. trades at a P/E of 2.9 (forward -18.0). TrendMatrix value score: 5.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about UNIT?

14 analysts cover UNIT with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $10.

What does Uniti Group Inc. do?Uniti Group is a digital infrastructure company formed via the August 2025 Windstream merger, operating ~240,000 fiber...

Uniti Group is a digital infrastructure company formed via the August 2025 Windstream merger, operating ~240,000 fiber route miles across 47 states with 1.0M+ customers. Revenue of $2,234.5M in 2025 comes from Kinetic (ILEC broadband in 18 states, $928.4M), Uniti Solutions (enterprise managed services, $332.3M), and Fiber Infrastructure (legacy fiber and wholesale) segments.

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