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GLPIGaming and Leisure Properties, Sell6.0·$46.84-1.34%
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Gaming and Leisure Properties, (GLPI) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Specialty

Sell if holding. At $46.84, A.R:R 0.9:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.7): -1.0; Thin upside margin: 4.7%.

Gaming and Leisure Properties is a REIT that owns casino and gaming real estate leased under triple-net agreements to operators including PENN Entertainment, Caesars, Boyd Gaming, Cordish, and Bally's. It earns rental income through long-term master leases with escalating rent... Read more

$46.84+4.7% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#2 of 14 REIT - Specialty
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield3.62%
IncomeYield6.91%(5y avg 6.05%)Payout98.42%
Stop $45.15Target $49.07(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.9:1
Analyst target$54.52+16.4%23 analysts
$49.07our TP
$46.84price
$54.52mean
$62

Sell if holding. At $46.84, A.R:R 0.9:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.7): -1.0; Thin upside margin: 4.7%. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 48, MACD bullish. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 45d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202645d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Thin upside margin: 4.7%
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.7): -1.0

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.0
P/E (Fwd)14.3
Mkt Cap$13.4B
EV/EBITDA14.1
Profit Mgn55.1%
ROE19.1%
Rev Growth6.3%
Beta0.69
Dividend6.91%
Rating analysts30

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.69bearish
IV57%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R 0.9 < 1.5@spotMomentum 6.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 45d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
48 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $45.06Resistance $48.17

Price Targets

$45
$49
A.Upside+4.8%
A.R:R0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 0.9 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (45d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GLPI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $46.84, A.R:R 0.9:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.7): -1.0; Thin upside margin: 4.7%. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 48, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $45.15. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GLPI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $49.07 (+4.7% upside). Prior stop was $45.15. Stop-loss: $45.15.

What are the risks of investing in GLPI?

Thin upside margin: 4.7%; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.7): -1.0.

Is GLPI overvalued or undervalued?

Gaming and Leisure Properties, trades at a P/E of 15.0 (forward 14.3). TrendMatrix value score: 5.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about GLPI?

30 analysts cover GLPI with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $55.

What does Gaming and Leisure Properties, do?Gaming and Leisure Properties is a REIT that owns casino and gaming real estate leased under triple-net agreements to...

Gaming and Leisure Properties is a REIT that owns casino and gaming real estate leased under triple-net agreements to operators including PENN Entertainment, Caesars, Boyd Gaming, Cordish, and Bally's. It earns rental income through long-term master leases with escalating rent structures tied to tenant gaming revenues.

Related stocks: FRMI (Fermi Inc.) · DLR (Digital Realty Trust, Inc.) · RYN (Rayonier Inc. REIT) · AMT (American Tower Corporation (REI) · UNIT (Uniti Group Inc.)
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