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Gaming and Leisure Properties, (GLPI) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Specialty

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $47.72 — A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Tenant: PENN.

Gaming and Leisure Properties is a Pennsylvania REIT owning interests in 69 gaming and related facilities across 20 states, 97% occupied, leased under long-term triple-net arrangements to gaming operators. PENN Entertainment is the largest tenant and the majority source of... Read more

$47.72+2.7% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#2 of 14 REIT - Specialty
Stop $46.24Target $48.99(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.4:1
Analyst target$54.43+14.1%23 analysts
$48.99our TP
$47.72price
$54.43mean
$46
$62

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $47.72 — A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Tenant: PENN. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 57, MACD bullish. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 90d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Val5.1Qual6.9Grw6.7Mom6.8Sent6.7Ins5.0Peer5.7Tech4.7Risk5.36.0OVERALL

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Concentration risk — Tenant: PENN
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.5% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.3
P/E (Fwd)14.5
Mkt Cap$13.7B
EV/EBITDA14.3
Profit Mgn55.1%
ROE19.1%
Rev Growth6.3%
Beta0.71
Dividend6.44%
Rating analysts30

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C1.90bearish
IV52%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHTenantPENN
    10-K Item 1A: 'The majority of our revenues are dependent on PENN and its subsidiaries.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R 0.4 < 1.5@spotMomentum 6.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 90d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
57 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $44.15Resistance $48.61

Price Targets

$46
$49
A.Upside+2.7%
A.R:R0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (2.7% upside)
! Reward/Risk 0.4:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (90d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GLPI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $47.72 — A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Tenant: PENN. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 57, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $46.24. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GLPI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $48.99 (+2.7% upside). Prior stop was $46.24. Stop-loss: $46.24.

What are the risks of investing in GLPI?

Concentration risk — Tenant: PENN; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.5% away).

Is GLPI overvalued or undervalued?

Gaming and Leisure Properties, trades at a P/E of 15.3 (forward 14.5). TrendMatrix value score: 5.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about GLPI?

30 analysts cover GLPI with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $54.

What does Gaming and Leisure Properties, do?Gaming and Leisure Properties is a Pennsylvania REIT owning interests in 69 gaming and related facilities across 20...

Gaming and Leisure Properties is a Pennsylvania REIT owning interests in 69 gaming and related facilities across 20 states, 97% occupied, leased under long-term triple-net arrangements to gaming operators. PENN Entertainment is the largest tenant and the majority source of revenue; other significant tenants include Caesars, Boyd, Bally's, and Cordish.

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