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EPREPR PropertiesSell5.1·$59.85+1.17%
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EPR Properties (EPR) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Specialty

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $59.85 — A.R:R is negative (-1.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Property Type: theatres.

EPR Properties is a net lease REIT specializing in experiential real estate (94% of $7.0B total investments) including theatres, eat & play venues, attractions, ski properties, fitness/wellness and gaming, leased under long-term triple-net arrangements across 43 U.S. states and... Read more

$59.85-0.1% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#11 of 14 REIT - Specialty
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield7.53%
IncomeYield5.99%(5y avg 6.78%)Payout109.72%
Stop $57.47Target $59.80(resistance)A.R:R -1.6:1
Analyst target$61.10+2.1%10 analysts
$59.80our TP
$59.85price
$61.10mean
$55
$70

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $59.85 — A.R:R is negative (-1.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Property Type: theatres. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 60, MACD bullish. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 45d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-14
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202645d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Positive momentum
Risks
Concentration risk — Property Type: theatres
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (3.6% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)18.5
P/E (Fwd)19.8
Mkt Cap$4.6B
EV/EBITDA13.8
Profit Mgn37.7%
ROE11.7%
Rev Growth3.6%
Beta1.02
Dividend5.99%
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV47%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMTenantTopgolf14%
    10-K Item 1A: 'total revenues of approximately $102.3 million or 14.2% were from Topgolf'
  • MEDIUMTenantAMC14%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately $97.4 million or 13.6% were from AMC'
  • MEDIUMTenantRegal12%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately $82.8 million or 11.5% were from Regal'
  • HIGHPropertytheatres
    10-K Item 1: 'A significant portion of our Experiential portfolio consists of modern megaplex theatres...Due to our asset concentration and historical challenges, we intend to reduce our investments in theatres'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
1.0
Revenue Growth
3.4
GatesA.R:R -1.6=NEGATIVEMomentum 8.1>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 45d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
60 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $55.64Resistance $61.02

Price Targets

$57
$60
A.Upside-0.1%
A.R:R-1.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-11.2% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (45d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EPR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $59.85 — A.R:R is negative (-1.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Property Type: theatres. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 60, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $57.47. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the EPR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $59.80 (-0.1% upside). Prior stop was $57.47. Stop-loss: $57.47.

What are the risks of investing in EPR?

Concentration risk — Property Type: theatres; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.6% away).

Is EPR overvalued or undervalued?

EPR Properties trades at a P/E of 18.5 (forward 19.8). TrendMatrix value score: 4.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about EPR?

16 analysts cover EPR with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $61.

What does EPR Properties do?EPR Properties is a net lease REIT specializing in experiential real estate (94% of $7.0B total investments) including...

EPR Properties is a net lease REIT specializing in experiential real estate (94% of $7.0B total investments) including theatres, eat & play venues, attractions, ski properties, fitness/wellness and gaming, leased under long-term triple-net arrangements across 43 U.S. states and Canada. Revenue is significantly tenant-concentrated: Topgolf (14.2%), AMC (13.6%) and Regal (11.5%) together represent 39.3% of total revenue.

Related stocks: GLPI (Gaming and Leisure Properties, ) · RYN (Rayonier Inc. REIT) · UNIT (Uniti Group Inc.) · OUT (OUTFRONT Media Inc.) · IRM (Iron Mountain Incorporated (Del)
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