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ROPRoper Technologies, Inc.Buy Wait6.2·$384.67-5.73%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Roper Technologies is a software-driven industrial holding company with a perfect four-quarter earnings beat streak, 127% free-cash-flow-to-net-income conversion, and 21% analyst upside, currently in a technical downtrend from a death cross that may offer a patient accumulation window for investors in a proven compounder.

Thesis pillars

  • Perfect Earnings Beat Streak SoftwareStable
  • Superior Free Cash Flow ConversionDeteriorating
  • Sole Source Supplier Supply ChainDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Roper Technologies, Inc. (ROP) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup

Buy WaitValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Wait for pullback to $344.08. At $384.67 the A.R:R is 0.2:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $344.08 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Supplier: sole source suppliers; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Roper Technologies designs and develops vertical software and technology-enabled products across three segments: Application Software (57% of 2025 net revenues, $4.48 billion), Network Software (20%, $1.60 billion), and Technology Enabled Products (23%, $1.82 billion). The... Read more

$384.67+2.5% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#42 of 125 Software - Application
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield5.61%
IncomeYield0.93%(5y avg 0.59%)Payout14.46%sustainable
Entry $344.08(Ma50 Sticky)Stop $311.08Target $395.21(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.2:1
Analyst target$439.12+14.2%15 analysts
$395.21our TP
$384.67price
$439.12mean
$335
$550

Wait for pullback to $344.08. At $384.67 the A.R:R is 0.2:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $344.08 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Supplier: sole source suppliers; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 59, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +1 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, earnings proximity 84d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Roper Technologies, Inc.

About Roper Technologies, Inc.

Roper Technologies split $7.9 billion in 2025 net revenues across three segments — Application Software at 56.7% ($4.48 billion), Technology Enabled Products at 23.0% ($1.82 billion), and Network Software at 20.3% ($1.60 billion) — with no single customer accounting for 10% or more of any segment or total net revenues. The company employed approximately 19,400 people worldwide at December 31, 2025 and deployed roughly $8.96 billion toward acquisitions over the past three years, including CentralReach (ABA therapy SaaS) for about $1.85 billion in 2025 and Subsplash (faith-based SaaS) for about $800 million.

Roper earns recurring software subscription and maintenance revenue across niche end markets including law firms (Aderant, Deltek), healthcare (Clinisys, Data Innovations, Strata, MHA), K-12 education (Frontline), commercial freight matching (DAT), property and casualty insurance (Vertafore), and faith-based organizations (Subsplash). The Technology Enabled Products segment — covering medical devices (Verathon, CIVCO Medical Solutions), precision measurement (Northern Digital), and water metering (Neptune) — adds hardware revenue with recurring software components. Distribution occurs primarily through direct sales offices, manufacturers' representatives, resellers, and distributors. Roper faces no single competitor across a significant number of product lines, competing on product quality, applications expertise, and customer service in each niche. Total remaining performance obligations stood at $5.2 billion at December 31, 2025, up from $4.75 billion in 2024.

Show full overview

Roper's Technology Enabled Products segment carries sole-source component risk: the 10-K acknowledges that for certain products, transitioning to alternative suppliers would require significant time, redesign, and capital investment, or may not be feasible. A separate exposure sits in the SaaS portfolio — Application Software and Network Software rely on cloud platforms including Amazon Web Services, Google Cloud Platform, Microsoft Azure, and Oracle Cloud, and the filing notes that concentration with a limited number of providers increases exposure to outages and pricing changes. These dual dependencies are distinct: the hardware sole-source risk is product-specific, while the cloud-platform exposure cuts across the entire software business.

See also: Technology · Software - Application

From Roper Technologies, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-30
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Oct 22, 202684d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Earnings estimates trending UP
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: sole source suppliers
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.3
P/E (Fwd)16.8
Mkt Cap$40.4B
EV/EBITDA15.8
Profit Mgn30.2%
ROE13.1%
Rev Growth8.5%
Beta0.75
Dividend0.93%
Rating analysts25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.66bullish
IV45%normal
Max Pain$210-45.4% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSuppliersole source suppliers
    10-K Item 1A: 'some of our products are provided by sole source suppliers and our SaaS offerings are increasingly reliant on a limited number of third-party cloud computing platforms'
  • MEDIUMSupplierAmazon Web Services, Google Cloud Platform, Microsoft Azure, Oracle Cloud
    10-K Item 1A: 'cloud platforms, such as Amazon Web Services, Google Cloud Platform, Microsoft Azure, and Oracle Cloud...concentration with a limited number of providers increases exposure'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-19Item 5.02LOW
    Shareholders approved amendment to the 2021 Incentive Plan at May 19, 2026 annual meeting in Sarasota, Florida; amended plan authorizes 14.15 million new shares for equity compensation awards.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-04-01Item 1.01LOW
    On March 30, 2026, Roper entered a new five-year $3.50 billion unsecured revolving credit facility replacing the July 2022 facility; JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A. is administrative agent; $1.00 billion accordion option included.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-04-01Item 1.02MEDIUM
    Termination of existing $3.50 billion unsecured credit facility dated July 21, 2022, upon entry into replacement credit facility on March 30, 2026.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
1.6
Support Resistance
3.3
52w Position
3.5
Gap
6.0
GatesA.R:R 0.2 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKEARNINGS PROXIMITY 84d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Moderate
RSI
59 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $335.50Resistance $410.26

Price Targets

$311
$344
$395
A.Upside+2.5%
A.R:R0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (2.5% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! asymmetry at 0.2 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-22 (84d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ROP stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $344.08. At $384.67 the A.R:R is 0.2:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $344.08 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Supplier: sole source suppliers; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 59, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +1 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $395.21 (+2.7%), stop $311.08 (−23.7%), A.R:R 0.2:1. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ROP stock price target?

Take-profit target: $395.21 (+2.5% upside). Target $395.21 (+2.7%), stop $311.08 (−23.7%), A.R:R 0.2:1. Stop-loss: $311.08.

What are the risks of investing in ROP?

Concentration risk — Supplier: sole source suppliers; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is ROP overvalued or undervalued?

Roper Technologies, Inc. trades at a P/E of 16.3 (forward 16.8). TrendMatrix value score: 5.7/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about ROP?

25 analysts cover ROP with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $439.

What does Roper Technologies, Inc. do?Roper Technologies designs and develops vertical software and technology-enabled products across three segments:...

Roper Technologies designs and develops vertical software and technology-enabled products across three segments: Application Software (57% of 2025 net revenues, $4.48 billion), Network Software (20%, $1.60 billion), and Technology Enabled Products (23%, $1.82 billion). The company serves defensible niche markets including legal, healthcare, K-12 education, and construction, employing approximately 19,400 people worldwide.

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