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Rollins, Inc. (ROL) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Personal Services

Sell if holding. At $55.48, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.2%; Expensive valuation.

Rollins provides pest and wildlife control services to 2M+ residential and commercial customers through 800+ locations in approximately 70 countries under brands including Orkin, HomeTeam Pest Defense, and Clark Pest Control. Revenue is approximately 75% recurring services under... Read more

$55.48+4.2% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#6 of 6 Personal Services
Stop $53.38Target $57.83(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.8:1
Analyst target$64.25+15.8%16 analysts
$57.83our TP
$55.48price
$64.25mean
$50
$72

Sell if holding. At $55.48, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.2%; Expensive valuation. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 57. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 89d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
High-quality business
Risks
Thin upside margin: 4.2%
Expensive valuation
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)51.1
P/E (Fwd)40.0
Mkt Cap$26.8B
EV/EBITDA32.3
Profit Mgn13.8%
ROE38.7%
Rev Growth10.2%
Beta0.84
Dividend1.31%
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C1.03bearish
IV44%normal
Max Pain$48-14.4% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWGeographicinternational operations7.0%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 7% of our 2025 revenues derived from our international operations'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Pe
2.4
Forward Pe
2.8
Peg Ratio
3.0
Analyst Target
5.0
Ps
5.5
Forward P/E: 40.0xPEG: 4.09

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
2.3
Revenue Growth
5.0
GatesMomentum 4.0<4.5A.R:R 0.8 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 89d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
57 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $53.47Resistance $57.44

Price Targets

$53
$58
A.Upside+4.2%
A.R:R0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 4.0/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 0.8:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (89d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ROL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $55.48, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.2%; Expensive valuation. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 57. Prior stop was $53.38. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ROL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $57.83 (+4.2% upside). Prior stop was $53.38. Stop-loss: $53.38.

What are the risks of investing in ROL?

Thin upside margin: 4.2%; Expensive valuation; Weak growth.

Is ROL overvalued or undervalued?

Rollins, Inc. trades at a P/E of 51.1 (forward 40.0). TrendMatrix value score: 3.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ROL?

22 analysts cover ROL with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $64.

What does Rollins, Inc. do?Rollins provides pest and wildlife control services to 2M+ residential and commercial customers through 800+ locations...

Rollins provides pest and wildlife control services to 2M+ residential and commercial customers through 800+ locations in approximately 70 countries under brands including Orkin, HomeTeam Pest Defense, and Clark Pest Control. Revenue is approximately 75% recurring services under scheduled service agreements; approximately 7% of 2025 revenues came from international operations.

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