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Service Corporation Internation (SCI) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Personal Services

Sell if holding. At $80.61, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 3.2): -1.5; Thin upside margin: 5.6%.

Service Corporation International is North America's largest deathcare provider, operating 1,485 funeral service locations and 500 cemeteries across 44 states, DC, Canada, and Puerto Rico under the Dignity Memorial brand. Revenue is earned from at-need and preneed funeral and... Read more

$80.61+5.6% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#5 of 6 Personal Services
Stop $77.84Target $85.55(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.1:1
Analyst target$98.33+22.0%6 analysts
$85.55our TP
$80.61price
$98.33mean
$110

Sell if holding. At $80.61, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 3.2): -1.5; Thin upside margin: 5.6%. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.1/10, high confidence.

Passes 4/6 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 89d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Thin upside margin: 5.6%
Leverage penalty (D/E 3.2): -1.5
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)21.4
P/E (Fwd)17.5
Mkt Cap$11.2B
EV/EBITDA12.9
Profit Mgn12.6%
ROE32.7%
Rev Growth1.7%
Beta0.98
Dividend1.57%
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.74neutral
IV45%normal
Max Pain$65-19.4% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicCalifornia, Texas, and Florida
    10-K Item 1A: 'Three of our largest states by total revenue are California, Texas, and Florida, areas where natural disasters may be prevalent'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Value Rank
2.8
Quality Rank
3.8

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
2.9
Earnings Growth
3.8

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Obv
1.0
Macd
2.4
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume
6.8
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.9<4.5A.R:R 1.1 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 89d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
48 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $80.25Resistance $88.67

Price Targets

$78
$86
A.Upside+6.1%
A.R:R1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 3.9/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 1.1:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (89d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SCI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $80.61, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 3.2): -1.5; Thin upside margin: 5.6%. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $77.84. Score 5.1/10, high confidence.

What is the SCI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $85.55 (+5.6% upside). Prior stop was $77.84. Stop-loss: $77.84.

What are the risks of investing in SCI?

Thin upside margin: 5.6%; Leverage penalty (D/E 3.2): -1.5; Weak growth.

Is SCI overvalued or undervalued?

Service Corporation Internation trades at a P/E of 21.4 (forward 17.5). TrendMatrix value score: 6.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SCI?

11 analysts cover SCI with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $98.

What does Service Corporation Internation do?Service Corporation International is North America's largest deathcare provider, operating 1,485 funeral service...

Service Corporation International is North America's largest deathcare provider, operating 1,485 funeral service locations and 500 cemeteries across 44 states, DC, Canada, and Puerto Rico under the Dignity Memorial brand. Revenue is earned from at-need and preneed funeral and cemetery merchandise and services.

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