Value
6.1/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 5.5 |
| P/S | 8.0 |
| EV/EBITDA | 3.3 |
| Fwd P/E | 7.5 |
| PEG | 5.9 |
| Analyst target | 6.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 16.4x
- ▸PEG: 1.28
QSR · Why this verdict
Why Restaurant Brands International (QSR) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score5.7/10
ConfidenceHIGH
MacroRISK_OFF
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
6.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 9.4 |
| ROA | 4.3 |
| Gross margin | 2.8 |
| Op margin | 10.0 |
| Net margin | 5.0 |
| Current ratio | 4.0 |
| FCF quality | 10.0 |
| Moat | 5.4 |
| Piotroski F | 7.8 |
- ▸Excellent ROE: 28%
- ▸Excellent cash conversion: 173% FCF/NI
- ▸No competitive moat
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9
Growth
7.2/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 4.3 |
| EPS growth | 10.0 |
Momentum
4.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 8.2 |
| MACD | 0.0 |
| OBV | 10.0 |
| MA position | 4.0 |
| Volume | 0.0 |
- ▸Uptrend pullback (RSI 33) - buy opportunity
- ▸Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
- ▸Above 200-day MA
Sentiment
6.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| LLM sentiment | 3.5 |
| Analyst rating | 7.5 |
| Price target | 7.6 |
Insider
3.9/10data confidence 75%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 4.5 |
| insider conviction | 2.0 |
| holder change | 5.1 |
- ▸Modest insider selling — $29,209,698 (0.088% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
4.6/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 3.6 |
| quality rank | 5.6 |
| growth rank | 4.0 |
Technical
8.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 8.3 |
| support resistance | 8.6 |
| 52w position | 7.6 |
Risk (lower is worse)
5.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 7.1 |
| days to cover | 5.8 |
| volatility | 6.4 |
| put call | 0.0 |
| implied vol | 5.9 |
| max pain risk | 3.0 |
| beta | 9.9 |
| debt equity | 2.0 |
- ▸Elevated put/call: 2.71
- ▸Above max pain $60
Catalyst
3.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 1.1 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 0.0 |
| dividend safety | 4.2 |
| news activity | 7.0 |
- ▸Earnings concerns: 1B/2M
- ▸Yield trap warning: high yield but unsafe
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_SELLPassed (6)
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:59d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (2)
- MOMENTUM:4.4<4.5
- ASYMMETRY:1.4<1.5@spot
Warning (0)
none
Reward-to-Risk
1.41
Upside
+7.1%
Downside
5.0%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupUNKNOWN — No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityMODERATE — Balanced profile
Investment implication
The F-path SELL output reflects an overall score of 2.7 below the 5.6 soft trigger — multiple weakening dimensions accumulated rather than a single hard-floor breach. The strongest dimension ( Technical at 8.2) was not enough to lift the adjusted overall above the threshold. Co-occurring failed gates ( MOMENTUM:4.4<4.5, ASYMMETRY:1.4<1.5@spot) reinforce the read. Current asymmetry R:R is 1.41 — supplementary context, not the trigger for this path.
The strongest dimensions are Technical at 8.2, Growth at 7.2, and Quality at 6.5; the weakest are Catalyst at 3.7, Insider at 3.9, and Momentum at 4.4. The V9 engine flagged 2 failed gates, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 1.41 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.