Skip to main content
PVHPVH Corp.Sell4.9·$71.94+3.73%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

PVH Corp. has delivered a perfect 4-for-4 earnings beat streak with an average surprise of 16%, trades at a forward P/E of 6.5x with a PEG of 0.06, and shows strong free cash flow at 295% of net income, but the stock is priced at or above analyst targets and carries high short interest of 13% pointing to skepticism about its concentrated brand portfolio.

Thesis pillars

  • Brand Concentration RiskDeteriorating
  • Earnings Beat And ValueStable
  • Free Cash Flow QualityStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

PVH Corp. (PVH) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueShortModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Manufacturing

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $71.94: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.92; Below-average business quality.

PVH Corp. generated $9.0 billion in 2025 revenues from two owned global apparel brands, TOMMY HILFIGER and Calvin Klein, which together contributed over 95% of total revenue across EMEA, Americas, APAC, and Licensing segments. The company sells through wholesale, direct retail,... Read more

$71.94+11.9% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#11 of 14 Apparel Manufacturing
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield16.26%
IncomeYield0.21%(5y avg 0.13%)Payout4.55%sustainable
Stop $65.70Target $79.02(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.4:1
Analyst target$90.83+26.3%12 analysts
$79.02our TP
$71.94price
$90.83mean
$128

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $71.94: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.92; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 80d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-13
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Dec 2, 202680d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: TOMMY HILFIGER and Calvin Klein
Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)5.6
Mkt Cap$3.3B
EV/EBITDA7.0
Profit Mgn-1.9%
ROE-3.5%
Rev Growth-3.2%
Beta1.72
Dividend0.21%
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.92bearish
IV93%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductTOMMY HILFIGER and Calvin Klein
    10-K Item 1: 'TOMMY HILFIGER ... Calvin Klein ... together generated over 95% of our revenue during each of 2025 and 2024'
  • LOWCustomertop five customers17%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Sales to our five largest customers were 16.6%, 15.1% and 13.3% of our revenue in 2025, 2024 and 2023, respectively'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.5
Volume
2.2
Rsi
3.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope flat

Revenue shrinking — -3.2% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
1.7
Declining revenue: -3%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
2.1
Roa
2.5
Moat
4.0
Fcf Quality
5.2
Current Ratio
5.9
Piotroski F
6.7
Gross Margin
7.5
FCF-positive but moderate margins (FCF margin 6%, FCF yield 16.3%)No competitive moat
GatesMomentum 1.6<4.5A.R:R 1.4 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 80d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
34 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $67.62Resistance $82.74

Price Targets

$66
$79
A.Upside+11.9%
A.R:R1.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)
! momentum at 1.6 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 1.4 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-12-02 (80d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PVH stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $71.94: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.92; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $65.70. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PVH stock price target?

Take-profit target: $79.02 (+11.9% upside). Prior stop was $65.70. Stop-loss: $65.70.

What are the risks of investing in PVH?

Concentration risk — Product: TOMMY HILFIGER and Calvin Klein; Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0).

Is PVH overvalued or undervalued?

PVH Corp. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 5.6). TrendMatrix value score: 8.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PVH?

18 analysts cover PVH with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $91.

What does PVH Corp. do?PVH Corp. generated $9.0 billion in 2025 revenues from two owned global apparel brands, TOMMY HILFIGER and Calvin...

PVH Corp. generated $9.0 billion in 2025 revenues from two owned global apparel brands, TOMMY HILFIGER and Calvin Klein, which together contributed over 95% of total revenue across EMEA, Americas, APAC, and Licensing segments. The company sells through wholesale, direct retail, and digital channels in 40+ countries with approximately 26,000 associates.

Related stocks: FIGS (FIGS, Inc.) · KTB (Kontoor Brands, Inc.) · LEVI (Levi Strauss & Co) · GIL (Gildan Activewear, Inc.) · RL (Ralph Lauren Corporation)
Home Stocks PVH

Latest news

Latest News

Investing.com Nigeria110d agoEarnings
MSN110d agoEarnings
Investing.com110d agoAnalyst
MSN111d ago
MSN111d ago
Finance.yahoo.com111d ago
Yahoo Finance111d ago
MSN111d ago
Finance.yahoo.com111d ago
Yahoo Finance111d ago
Vinanet26d agoEarnings
MarketBeat27d ago
Marketscreener.com103d ago
Yahoo Finance104d agoEarnings
StockStory104d agoEarnings
TradingView104d agoEarnings
Yahoo Finance108d agoEarnings
The Globe and Mail109d ago
Investing.com109d agoEarnings
GuruFocus109d agoAnalyst
Loading more...